What Is The Likelihood Of Toyota Motor’s Stock Growing In The Next Month?

+36.96%
Upside
153
Market
209
Trefis
TM: Toyota Motor logo
TM
Toyota Motor

Toyota Motor’s stock (NYSE: TM) rose by 7.2% in the last twenty-one trading days. In comparison, the broader S&P500 index fell by 4.3% over the same period. The stock has seen growth in recent weeks, before its Q3 FY 2022 results on Wednesday, February 9. Now, is TM stock poised to grow? Based on our machine learning analysis of trends in the stock price over the last ten years, there is a 49% chance of a rise in TM stock over the next month (twenty-one trading days). See our analysis on Toyota Motor’s Stock Chance Of Rise for more details.

Five Days: TM 2.8%, vs. S&P500 5.5%; Underperformed market

(14% event probability)

  • Toyota Motor’s stock rose 2.8% over a five day trading period, compared to the broader market (S&P500) which rose by 5.5%
  • A change of 2.8% or more over five trading days has a 14% event probability, which has occurred 346 times out of 2516 in the last ten years
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Ten Days: TM -1.4%, vs. S&P500 1.2%; Underperformed market

(35% event probability)

  • Toyota Motor’s stock declined 1.4% over the last ten trading days (two weeks), compared to the broader market (S&P500) rise of 1.2%
  • A change of -1.4% or more over ten trading days has a 35% event probability, which has occurred 875 times out of 2517 in the last ten years

Twenty-One Days: TM 7.2%, vs. S&P500 -4.3%; Outperformed market

(12% event probability)

  • Toyota Motor’s stock rose 7.2% over the last twenty-one trading days (one month), compared to the broader market (S&P500) decline of 4.3%
  • A change of 7.2% or more over twenty-one trading days has a 12% event probability, which has occurred 297 times out of 2516 in the last ten years

Further, you will find useful comparisons for companies across industries at Peer Comparisons.

What if you’re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Here’s a high-quality portfolio that’s beaten the market consistently since the end of 2016.

 Returns Feb 2022
MTD [1]
2022
YTD [1]
2017-22
Total [2]
 TM Return 1% 8% 70%
 S&P 500 Return 2% -4% 105%
 Trefis MS Portfolio Return 1% -9% 260%

[1] Month-to-date and year-to-date as of 2/3/2022
[2] Cumulative total returns since the end of 2016

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