S&P 500 Movers | Winners: NDSN, COIN, DE | Losers: MRNA, WMT, ISRG

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A down day for the averages hid some truly dramatic single-stock moves.

Moderna (MRNA) was the weakest S&P 500 stock of the day, returning -23.5% in a session where the major indices saw much smaller declines. The S&P 500 returned -0.9%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average returned -1.3%, and the Nasdaq-100 returned -0.7%. The gap between the index and its most extreme member raises a key question: what separates a one-day shock from a longer-term trend? The day’s full list of extremes follows.

Photo by ArtsyBee on Pixabay

Thursday’s S&P 500 Winners

The 10 stocks with the highest returns on the last trading day:

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# Ticker Company Name 1-D
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 NDSN Nordson 8.0% 40.0%
2 COIN Coinbase Global 7.6% -23.8%
3 DE Deere 6.9% 34.1%
4 LITE Lumentum 6.2% 138.6%
5 Q Qnity Electronics 5.9% 63.7%
6 MRVL Marvell Technology 5.8% 195.8%
7 CF CF Industries 5.6% 64.9%
8 MOS Mosaic 5.0% -1.3%
9 CBOE Cboe Global Markets 4.8% 17.7%
10 ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities 4.7% 11.3%

Thursday’s S&P 500 Losers

And the 10 stocks with the lowest returns:

# Ticker Company Name 1-D
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna -23.5% 352.1%
2 WMT Walmart -9.4% -6.6%
3 ISRG Intuitive Surgical -5.8% -33.9%
4 CRWD CrowdStrike -5.6% 62.4%
5 STLD Steel Dynamics -5.2% 29.9%
6 BSX Boston Scientific -5.1% -48.2%
7 CCL Carnival Corporation -4.9% -15.6%
8 AXON Axon Enterprise -4.9% 8.2%
9 CSGP CoStar -4.4% -52.0%
10 NRG NRG Energy -4.3% -26.8%

Some declines are sudden, others build over time.

While a single day’s move can be jarring, some periods of weakness are more persistent. Consider NRG Energy (NRG), which appears on both the one-day and one-month losers lists. Its one-month return is -17.3%, a decline that the data shows has been building for weeks. This contrasts with the day’s biggest loser, Moderna, whose business saw revenue decline 27.7% over the last twelve months.

Movers Over The Last Week

Widening the window to five trading days, these are the strongest and weakest S&P 500 names:

# Ticker Company Name 1-W
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna 109.5% 352.1%
2 CPRT Copart 16.8% -12.3%
3 TRGP Targa Resources 13.3% 66.2%
4 MRVL Marvell Technology 13.0% 195.8%
5 COIN Coinbase Global 12.0% -23.8%
6 NEM Newmont 11.8% 28.4%
7 DVN Devon Energy 11.1% 36.3%
8 APA APA 11.0% 85.7%
9 EL Estee Lauder Companies 10.1% -7.5%
10 MRK Merck 9.9% 43.6%

 

# Ticker Company Name 1-W
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 STLD Steel Dynamics -15.9% 29.9%
2 CRWD CrowdStrike -15.6% 62.4%
3 JBL Jabil -14.5% 39.0%
4 NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line -14.3% -25.0%
5 AVGO Broadcom -12.9% 5.6%
6 AKAM Akamai Technologies -12.1% 26.2%
7 DELL Dell Technologies -12.1% 248.6%
8 INTC Intel -11.9% 149.7%
9 PANW Palo Alto Networks -11.7% 89.8%
10 NUE Nucor -11.7% 48.3%

Movers Over The Last Month

And over the last 21 trading days:

# Ticker Company Name 1-M
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna 129.6% 352.1%
2 WDAY Workday 49.0% -8.1%
3 IT Gartner 46.6% -23.2%
4 CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions 41.9% -25.3%
5 PLTR Palantir Technologies 39.6% -2.1%
6 ZBRA Zebra Technologies 37.2% 48.5%
7 VEEV Veeva Systems 35.8% 12.2%
8 PTC PTC 35.7% -11.9%
9 NEM Newmont 33.3% 28.4%
10 CRL Charles River Laboratories International 33.3% 46.1%

 

# Ticker Company Name 1-M
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide -30.6% -9.9%
2 APP AppLovin -25.1% -54.2%
3 DVA DaVita -24.5% 54.2%
4 TTD Trade Desk -24.2% -64.9%
5 LII Lennox International -23.8% -15.9%
6 HONA Honeywell Aerospace -20.2% n/a
7 NXPI NXP Semiconductors -20.0% 3.6%
8 APTV Aptiv -19.2% -38.2%
9 ON ON Semiconductor -19.1% 38.0%
10 NRG NRG Energy -17.3% -26.8%

A movers list is a map of attention, not a set of instructions.

The tables earlier in this report are a starting point for research, not a conclusion. A significant move, like the +8.0% return for Nordson (NDSN), simply tells you where the market’s focus has landed. The disciplined follow-up is to examine the business behind the stock. In Nordson’s case, that means looking at facts like its valuation of 33.6 times trailing earnings and its revenue growth of 7.0% over the last twelve months. A big price change is information, never an order.

Either side of these lists can be a lead worth following, with the same follow-up question: does the business back the move? For the winners, our Guidance Momentum screen tracks which companies raised their own forward numbers. For the losers, our Buy the Dip screen flags which marked-down names still have the fundamentals to recover.

Today’s Winner Is Tomorrow’s Loser Often Enough

The movers list is the most honest picture of single-stock risk the market prints each day: the same volatility that makes the winners column also fills the losers column, and no one reliably knows which side a stock lands on next.

That is the case for owning a disciplined basket instead of chasing the tape. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio holds roughly 30 businesses selected for consistent cash generation, strong margins, and resilient balance sheets, sized and rebalanced with rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the three major indices – the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap, and Russell 2000. Watch the movers for information; let the portfolio do the compounding.