Semtech Stock On Fire: Up 24% With 5-Day Winning Streak
Semtech (SMTC) – a semiconductor company specializing in analog, mixed-signal, and protection products – hit a 5-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to 24%. The company’s market cap has surged by about $3.0 Bil over the last 5 days and currently stands at $15 Bil.
Is this an opportunity or a trap? There are only a couple of things to fear in SMTC stock given its overall Moderate operating performance and financial condition. But keeping in mind its Very High valuation, we think that the stock is Unattractive (For details, see Buy or Sell SMTC).
But here is the interesting part. You are reading about this 24% move after it happened. The market has already priced in the news. To catch the next winner before the headlines, you need predictive signals, not notifications. High Quality Portfolio is based on an architecture that includes such signals.
Returns vs S&P 500
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The following table summarizes the return for SMTC stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | SMTC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| 5D (Current Streak) | 24.2% | 1.6% |
| 1M (21D) | 49.8% | 4.9% |
| 3M (63D) | 82.4% | 9.1% |
| YTD 2026 | 123.2% | 9.8% |
| 2025 | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 182.3% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | -23.6% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has SMTC behaved after prior drops? See SMTC Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 111 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 37 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 10 | 26 |
| 4D | 85 | 9 |
| 5D | 4 | 1 |
| 6D | 12 | 1 |
| 7D or more | 0 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 111 | 37 |
Key Financials for Semtech (SMTC)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $909.3 Mil | $1.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $62.4 Mil | $123.3 Mil |
| Net Income | $-161.9 Mil | $-40.4 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2026 FQ3 | 2026 FQ4 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $267.0 Mil | $274.4 Mil |
| Operating Income | $31.8 Mil | $27.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $-2.9 Mil | $-29.8 Mil |
While SMTC stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.