SII Stock Surges 28% With A 10-day Winning Spree On TD’s C$176 Target
Sprott (SII)—a provider of asset, wealth, and fund management services. – hit a 10-day winning streak, with cumulative gains over this period amounting to 28%. The company’s market cap has surged by about $739 million over the last 10 days and currently stands at $3.4 billion.
The stock has a YTD (year-to-date) return of 34.7% compared to 1% for the S&P 500. This calls for a re-evaluation of the stock’s valuation to find out whether this is an opportunity or a trap.
What Triggered The Rally?
[1] TD Securities Price Target Hike
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- Price Target Raised to C$176
- 35.38% Increase From Prior Target
- Impact: Strengthened Investor Confidence, Analyst Validation Of Surge
[2] Positive Macro Outlook & AUM Growth Potential
- Bullish 2026 Copper & Uranium Reports
- Upsized $2B Silver Trust ATM Program
- Impact: Increased Institutional Buying, Anticipation Of Higher Management Fees
Opportunity or Trap?
Below is our take on valuation.
There is not much to fear in SII stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. Hence, together with its Very High valuation, this makes the stock look Risky (For details, see Buy or Sell SII).
But here is the really interesting point.
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Returns vs S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for SII stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | SII | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| 10D (Current Streak) | 27.7% | -0.1% |
| 1M (21D) | 31.8% | 0.5% |
| 3M (63D) | 63.4% | 3.2% |
| YTD 2026 | 34.7% | 1.0% |
| 2025 | 137.2% | 16.4% |
| 2024 | 27.4% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 5.0% | 24.2% |
However, big gains can follow sharp reversals – but how has SII behaved after prior drops? See SII Dip Buyer Analysis to learn more.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 72 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 16 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 50 | 4 |
| 4D | 15 | 7 |
| 5D | 4 | 2 |
| 6D | 1 | 3 |
| 7D or more | 2 | 0 |
| Total >=3 D | 72 | 16 |
Key Financials for Sprott (SII)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $141.4 Mil | $168.4 Mil |
| Operating Income | $38.2 Mil | $59.8 Mil |
| Net Income | $41.8 Mil | $49.3 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $62.2 Mil | $57.9 Mil |
| Operating Income | $19.4 Mil | $9.6 Mil |
| Net Income | $13.5 Mil | $13.2 Mil |
While SII stock looks attractive given its winning streak, investing in a single stock without detailed, thorough analysis can be risky. The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.