Par Pacific Stock 15-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls -23%
Par Pacific (PARR) stock hit day 15 of a continuous streak of days with losses, with cumulative losses over this period amounting to a -23% return. The company has lost about $543 Mil in value over the last 15 days, with its current market capitalization at about $1.8 Bil. The stock remains 121.2% above its value at the end of 2024. This compares with year-to-date returns of 16.9% for the S&P 500.
Par Pacific’s recent streak reflects investor concern over its substantial 2026 capital expenditure guidance, signaling significant near-term outlays. This comes as analysts forecast softening refining margins for December and Q1 2026, creating a challenging backdrop amplified by persistent bearish technical signals.
What is the point? Sustained weakness can be more than noise. It often signals shifting sentiment or deeper concerns. A multi-day losing streak may warn of further downside, or present an opportunity to buy if fundamentals are intact. Our take: There are several things to fear in PARR stock given its overall Very Weak operating performance and financial condition. Hence, despite its Very Low valuation, we think that the stock is Unattractive (see Buy or Sell PARR).
For quick background, PARR provides energy and infrastructure services through refining, retail, and logistics, operating 119 fuel retail outlets across Hawaii, the Pacific Northwest, Wyoming, and Idaho.
- Is HCA Healthcare Stock Utilizing Systematic Share Retirement for Long-Term Alpha?
- Is Booking Stock Undervalued Stock Or Value Trap?
- Decoding PLTR Stock’s Premium Valuation
- Intuit Stock: Strong Cash Flow Poised for a Re-Rating?
- Five-Year Tally: Lowe’s Companies Stock Delivers $50 Bil Gain
- Five-Year Tally: Mastercard Stock Delivers $60 Bil Gain
Comparing PARR Stock Returns With The S&P 500
The following table summarizes the return for PARR stock vs. the S&P 500 index over different periods, including the current streak:
| Return Period | PARR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1D | -4.0% | 0.6% |
| 15D (Current Streak) | -23.2% | 1.0% |
| 1M (21D) | -14.5% | 5.2% |
| 3M (63D) | -2.7% | 3.3% |
| YTD 2025 | 121.2% | 16.9% |
| 2024 | -54.9% | 23.3% |
| 2023 | 56.4% | 24.2% |
| 2022 | 41.0% | -19.4% |
Take a look at what history tells you about whether past dips like this have been buying opportunities or traps: PARR Dip Buyer Analysis.
Gains and Losses Streaks: S&P 500 Constituents
There are currently 131 S&P constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive gains and 34 constituents with 3 days or more of consecutive losses.
| Consecutive Days | # of Gainers | # of Losers |
|---|---|---|
| 3D | 95 | 21 |
| 4D | 27 | 3 |
| 5D | 6 | 8 |
| 6D | 1 | 1 |
| 7D or more | 2 | 1 |
| Total >=3 D | 131 | 34 |
Key Financials for Par Pacific (PARR)
Last 2 Fiscal Years:
| Metric | FY2023 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $8.2 Bil | $8.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $685.6 Mil | $36.0 Mil |
| Net Income | $728.6 Mil | $-33.3 Mil |
Last 2 Fiscal Quarters:
| Metric | 2025 FQ2 | 2025 FQ3 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenues | $1.9 Bil | $2.0 Bil |
| Operating Income | $88.2 Mil | $354.2 Mil |
| Net Income | $59.5 Mil | $262.6 Mil |
The losing streak PARR stock is currently on doesn’t inspire much confidence among investors. In contrast, Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.