OneStream Stock To $17?

OS: OneStream logo
OS
OneStream

OneStream (OS) stock has jumped 28% during the past day, and is currently trading at $23.61. Our multi-factor assessment suggests that it may be time to reduce exposure to OS stock. We are primarily concerned current valuation and a price of $17 may not be out of reach. We believe there is not much to fear in OS stock given its overall Strong operating performance and financial condition. But given its Very High valuation, the stock appears Relatively Expensive.

Below is our assessment:

  CONCLUSION
What you pay:
Valuation Very High
What you get:
Growth Very Strong
Profitability Very Weak
Financial Stability Very Strong
Downturn Resilience N/A
Operating Performance Strong
 
Stock Opinion Relatively Expensive

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Let’s get into details of each of the assessed factors but before that, for quick background: With $4.4 Bil in market cap, OneStream provides a unified, AI-enabled Finance Cloud platform that modernizes and enhances the strategic impact of the Office of the CFO through a scalable, extensible software solution.

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[1] Valuation Looks Very High

  OS S&P 500
Price-to-Sales Ratio 7.7 3.3
Price-to-Earnings Ratio -53.2 23.8
Price-to-Free Cash Flow Ratio 46.5 21.2

This table highlights how OS is valued vs broader market. For more details see: OS Valuation Ratios

[2] Growth Is Very Strong

  • OneStream has seen its top line grow at an average rate of 24.2% over the last 3 years
  • Its revenues have grown 24% from $460 Mil to $571 Mil in the last 12 months
  • Also, its quarterly revenues grew 19.5% to $154 Mil in the most recent quarter from $129 Mil a year ago.

  OS S&P 500
3-Year Average 24.2% 5.6%
Latest Twelve Months* 24.2% 6.2%
Most Recent Quarter (YoY)* 19.5% 7.3%

This table highlights how OS is growing vs broader market. For more details see: OS Revenue Comparison

[3] Profitability Appears Very Weak

  • OS last 12 month operating income was $-137 Mil representing operating margin of -24.0%
  • With cash flow margin of 16.8%, it generated nearly $96 Mil in operating cash flow over this period
  • For the same period, OS generated nearly $-83 Mil in net income, suggesting net margin of about -14.5%

  OS S&P 500
Current Operating Margin -24.0% 18.8%
Current OCF Margin 16.8% 20.5%
Current Net Income Margin -14.5% 13.1%

This table highlights how OS profitability vs broader market. For more details see: OS Operating Income Comparison

[4] Financial Stability Looks Very Strong

  • OS Debt was $18 Mil at the end of the most recent quarter, while its current Market Cap is $4.4 Bil. This implies Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.4%
  • OS Cash (including cash equivalents) makes up $654 Mil of $949 Mil in total Assets. This yields a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 68.9%

  OS S&P 500
Current Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.4% 20.2%
Current Cash-to-Assets Ratio 68.9% 7.2%

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.