Ormat Technologies Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go?

ORAYTD-10.7%SPYYTD+8.9%XLUYTD+7.4%
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Ormat Technologies (ORA) stock is down 15.6% in 21 trading days. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around margin pressures, asset impairments, and valuation concerns, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Ormat Technologies stands today.

  • Size: Ormat Technologies is a $6.5 Bil company with $944 Mil in revenue currently trading at $106.47.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 6.1% and operating margin of 19.0%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.43 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.01
  • Valuation: Ormat Technologies stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 48.5 and P/EBIT multiple of 25.6
  • Has returned (median) 14.3% within a year following sharp dips since 2010. See ORA Dip Buy Analysis.

These metrics point to a Moderate operational performance, alongside Very High valuation – making the stock Unattractive. For details, see Buy or Sell ORA Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is ORA stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose ORA stock falls another 20-30% to $75 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock has fared worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

Trefis: ORA Stock Insights

2022 Inflation Shock

  • ORA stock fell 53.2% from a high of $126.02 on 10 February 2021 to $59.01 on 13 November 2023 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 27 January 2026
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $129.71 on 3 February 2026 , and currently trades at $106.47

  ORA S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -53.2% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 806 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • ORA stock fell 36.5% from a high of $86.37 on 19 February 2020 to $54.86 on 21 September 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 18 December 2020

  ORA S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -36.5% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 88 days 148 days

 
2018 Correction

  • ORA stock fell 29.4% from a high of $70.08 on 31 January 2018 to $49.51 on 6 November 2018 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 8 August 2019

  ORA S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -29.4% -19.8%
Time to Full Recovery 275 days 120 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • ORA stock fell 59.9% from a high of $57.00 on 28 December 2007 to $22.85 on 29 October 2008 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 21 February 2017

  ORA S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -59.9% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 3,037 days 1,480 days

 
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