8 Green Days In A Row: Nexstar Media Stock Is Up 22%

NXSTYTD+1.8%SPYYTD+11.0%XLCYTD-8.3%
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Nexstar Media (NXST) stock has risen for 8 consecutive trading days, gaining 22.3% over that stretch. That added about $1.1 billion to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $6.2 billion. The stock closed at $201.23 on Monday, November 9, 19.1% below its 52-week high of $248.77 and 31.4% above its low of $153.17.

Image from Pixabay

 
How The Streak Stacks Up Against The S&P 500

Returns for NXST and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Monday, November 9 and including dividends:
 

Return Period NXST S&P 500
1 Day 5.9% 2.3%
8 Days (Current Streak) 22.3% -2.5%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 24.6% -3.3%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 10.1% -2.1%
Year To Date 1.8% 11.3%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 10.3% 13.7%

How The Streak Compares With The Market

Over the same 8 trading days, the S&P 500 returned -2.5% including dividends, so the run is mostly Nexstar Media’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is up 10.1%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 55 sessions of that window it was down 10.0%.

What The Numbers Say About The Rally

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 32.3% over the last twelve months, against a median of 9.0% for S&P 500 Communication Services stocks; and its operating margin is 20.8%, versus a median of 20.9%. At least one of the last four quarters was a loss, so a price-to-earnings multiple would not be a meaningful yardstick here. The read is mixed: revenue growth above the median on one side, margins below the median on the other.

A climb like this is worth respecting, and worth testing. Our Guidance Momentum screen tracks the stocks whose companies just raised their own forward numbers.

Momentum Is A Tailwind, Not A Plan

Riding a stock that rises every day feels effortless, and that is precisely the danger: the same momentum that built this run can reverse without notice, and one name’s reversal should never be able to reset your whole year.

That is what the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio is for: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive momentum’s mood swings, held with rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Watch the runs; own the resilience.