Monster Beverage Reports Soon: How Has The Stock Reacted To Past Earnings?
Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) is scheduled to report its earnings on Thursday, October 29, 2026. The company has a market value of about $88.9 billion. Over the last twelve months, it generated $9.2 billion in revenue and $2.7 billion in operating profit, with net income of $2.1 billion.
Nobody knows how the market will take the numbers. What we can measure is how Monster Beverage stock has reacted to its past earnings releases, which is useful context for anyone trading around the event.
See the earnings reaction history of all stocks
How Often Has Monster Beverage Stock Risen After Earnings?
Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns, measured from the last close before each release:
- There are 20 earnings releases in the last five years, with 13 positive and 7 negative 1D returns. Positive 1D returns were seen 65% of the time.
- Over the last three years that share rises to 67%, across 12 releases.
- The median of the 13 positive 1D returns is 5.3%, and the median of the 7 negative ones is -4.0%.
- The largest one-day reactions were 13.6% and -10.9%.
The table below shows the 1D, 5-day (5D) and 21-day (21D) returns after each release, followed by summary statistics.
| Earnings Date | 1D | 5D | 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/6/2026 | -4.0% | -0.8% | -6.9% |
| 5/7/2026 | 13.6% | 13.0% | 16.5% |
| 2/26/2026 | -1.6% | -11.5% | -17.1% |
| 11/6/2025 | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.9% |
| 8/7/2025 | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% |
| 2/27/2025 | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% |
| 11/7/2024 | -1.1% | 2.2% | -2.8% |
| 8/7/2024 | -10.9% | -8.5% | -3.7% |
| 5/2/2024 | 3.0% | 3.4% | -2.8% |
| 2/28/2024 | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% |
| 11/2/2023 | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% |
| 8/3/2023 | -4.9% | 0.2% | -2.5% |
| 5/4/2023 | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 2/28/2023 | -2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| 11/3/2022 | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% |
| 8/4/2022 | -5.2% | -7.3% | -8.3% |
| 5/5/2022 | 4.4% | 3.2% | 10.0% |
| 2/24/2022 | 5.3% | 3.7% | -2.1% |
| 11/4/2021 | 4.4% | 5.1% | -2.4% |
| Statistic | 1D | 5D | 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Positive | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| # Negative | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -7.9% | -2.8% |
| Max Positive | 13.6% | 13.0% | 16.5% |
| Max Negative | -10.9% | -11.5% | -17.1% |
Correlation Between 1D, 5D, And 21D Post-Earnings Returns
Another approach is to wait for the initial reaction and ask whether it tends to continue. The table below shows the correlation between the 1D return and the return over the following 5 and 21 trading days, and between the 5D return and the following 21 trading days. A value near 1 means the first move has tended to continue; near -1, to reverse; near 0, no consistent pattern. None of these correlations is strong enough to trade on: all are below 0.40 in absolute terms over five years, so the early post-earnings move has not reliably predicted what followed.
| History | 1D vs next 5D | 1D vs next 21D | 5D vs next 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Years | -0.15 | -0.04 | 0.06 |
| 3 Years | -0.03 | -0.03 | 0.17 |
Do Peers That Report First Offer A Clue?
PepsiCo (PEP) and Coca-Cola (KO) usually report about 10 to 21 days before Monster Beverage, and have already reported this season: PepsiCo shares rose 3.7% on its October 8 report, and Coca-Cola shares fell 1.6% on its October 27 report, just two days before Monster’s. The table compares each peer’s one-day reaction to its own earnings with Monster Beverage’s one-day reaction to the report that followed. It covers only releases with a matching peer report, and n/a marks a peer report we could not pair. The correlations are PEP (0.14), KO (0.27); the closer to 1, the more the peer’s reaction has foreshadowed Monster Beverage’s. Both figures are weak, so neither shows a consistent link.
| MNST Earnings Date | MNST 1D | PEP 1D | KO 1D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/6/2026 | -4.0% | -3.3% | 5.0% |
| 5/7/2026 | 13.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% |
| 2/26/2026 | -1.6% | 4.9% | -1.5% |
| 11/6/2025 | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 8/7/2025 | 6.4% | 7.5% | -0.6% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.4% | -4.9% | 0.8% |
| 2/27/2025 | 5.3% | -4.5% | 4.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | -1.1% | n/a | -2.1% |
| 8/7/2024 | -10.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 5/2/2024 | 3.0% | -3.0% | -0.4% |
| 2/28/2024 | 5.8% | -3.6% | -0.6% |
| 11/2/2023 | 5.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% |
| 8/3/2023 | -4.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| 5/4/2023 | 3.3% | 2.3% | -0.2% |
| 2/28/2023 | -2.5% | 0.9% | -1.7% |
| 11/3/2022 | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| 8/4/2022 | -5.2% | -0.6% | 1.6% |
| 5/5/2022 | 4.4% | -0.3% | 1.1% |
| 2/24/2022 | 5.3% | -2.1% | 0.6% |
| Correlation | – | 0.14 | 0.27 |
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