Liberty Global Stock Climbs 34% On A 9-Day Winning Streak

LBTYAYTD-4.5%SPYYTD+12.0%XLCYTD-7.2%
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Shares of Liberty Global (LBTYA) have closed higher in each of the last 9 sessions, a cumulative gain of 34.3%. That added about $886 million to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $3.5 billion. The stock closed at $10.26 on Tuesday, November 10, 21.3% below its 52-week high of $13.03 and 36.8% above its low of $7.50.

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The Streak Next To The S&P 500

Returns for LBTYA and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Tuesday, November 10 and including dividends:
 

Return Period LBTYA S&P 500
1 Day 2.7% -0.4%
9 Days (Current Streak) 34.3% -2.8%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 19.9% -3.6%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) -1.5% -2.7%
Year To Date -7.9% 10.9%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) -4.2% 13.1%

Is This Move About Liberty Global Or The Market?

Over the same 9 trading days, the S&P 500 returned -2.8% including dividends, so the run is mostly Liberty Global’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is down 1.5%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 54 sessions of that window it was down 26.7%.

Do The Fundamentals Support The Run?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 17.4% over the last twelve months, against a median of 9.1% for S&P 500 Communication Services stocks; and its operating margin is 1.0%, versus a median of 21.1%. Liberty Global does not have positive trailing earnings, so there is no meaningful price-to-earnings multiple to compare. The read is mixed: revenue growth above the median on one side, margins below the median on the other.

If you are looking for strength with more behind it than a hot tape, our Guidance Momentum screen surfaces the names where management raised its own outlook.

One Hot Stock Is A Story. Thirty Sound Ones Are A Strategy

A streak like this earns a place on your watchlist, and it also earns a question: how much of your outcome do you want depending on one company keeping this up?

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio answers it with breadth: roughly 30 businesses picked for consistent cash generation, strong margins, and balance-sheet strength, sized and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Follow the story; invest in the strategy.