KO Capital Return Hits $85 Bil in 10 Years

+5.14%
Upside
70.36
Market
73.97
Trefis
KO: Coca-Cola logo
KO
Coca-Cola

In the last decade, Coca-Cola (KO) has returned a notable $85 Bil back to its shareholders through cold, hard cash via dividends and buybacks. Let’s look at some numbers and compare how this payout power stacks up against the market’s biggest capital-return machines.

As it turns out, KO has returned the 24th highest amount to shareholders in history.

  KO S&P Median
Dividends $66 Bil $2.8 Bil
Share Repurchase $19 Bil $5.2 Bil
Total Returned $85 Bil $8.8 Bil
Total Returned as % of Current Market Cap 28.6% 25.6%

Why should you care? Because dividends and share repurchases represent direct, tangible returns of capital to shareholders. They also signal management’s confidence in the company’s financial health and ability to generate sustainable cash flows. And there are more companies like that. Here is a list of the top 10 companies ranked by total capital returned to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases.

Top 10 Companies By Total Shareholder Return

Relevant Articles
  1. Ten-Year Tally: Coca-Cola Stock Delivers $85 Bil Gain
  2. How To Trade Coca-Cola Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?
  3. KO Has Paid Out $85 Bil to Investors in the Past Decade
  4. Better Bet Than Coca-Cola Stock: Pay Less To Get More From COKE
  5. How Will Coca-Cola Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?
  6. Better Bet Than Coca-Cola Stock: Pay Less To Get More From COKE

  Total Money Returned As % Of Current Market Cap via Dividends via Share Repurchases
AAPL $835 Bil 24.5% $140 Bil $695 Bil
MSFT $364 Bil 9.7% $165 Bil $199 Bil
GOOGL $343 Bil 13.6% $12 Bil $331 Bil
XOM $207 Bil 42.3% $144 Bil $63 Bil
WFC $206 Bil 78.2% $59 Bil $147 Bil
JPM $168 Bil 20.2% $0.0 $168 Bil
META $167 Bil 8.8% $6.4 Bil $160 Bil
ORCL $163 Bil 24.6% $34 Bil $129 Bil
JNJ $157 Bil 36.7% $104 Bil $52 Bil
CVX $149 Bil 54.0% $97 Bil $53 Bil

For full ranking, visit Buybacks & Dividends Ranking

What do you notice here? The total capital returned to shareholders as a % of the current market cap appears inversely proportional to growth prospects for reinvestments. Companies like META and MSFT are growing much faster, in a more predictable way, compared to the others, but they have returned a much lower fraction of their market cap to shareholders.

That’s the flip side to high capital returns. Sure, they are attractive, but you have to ask yourself the question: Am I sacrificing growth and sound fundamentals? With that in mind, let’s look at some numbers for KO. (see Buy or Sell KO Stock for more details)

KO Fundamentals

  • Revenue Growth: 1.3% LTM and 4.5% last 3-year average.
  • Cash Generation: Nearly -1.5% free cash flow margin and 30.6% operating margin LTM.
  • Recent Revenue Shocks: The minimum annual revenue growth in the last 3 years for KO was 1.3%.
  • Valuation: KO trades at a P/E multiple of 24.4
  • Opportunity vs S&P: Compared to S&P, you get higher valuation, lower revenue growth, and better operating margins

  KO S&P Median
Sector Consumer Staples
Industry Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
PE Ratio 24.4 24.0

   
LTM* Revenue Growth 1.3% 5.2%
3Y Average Annual Revenue Growth 4.5% 5.2%
Min Annual Revenue Growth Last 3Y 1.3% -0.3%

   
LTM* Operating Margin 30.6% 18.8%
3Y Average Operating Margin 29.4% 17.8%
LTM* Free Cash Flow Margin -1.5% 13.0%

*LTM: Last Twelve Months

That’s a good overview, but evaluating a stock from an investment perspective involves much more. That is exactly what Trefis High Quality Portfolio does. It is designed to reduce stock-specific risk while giving upside exposure.

KO Historical Risk

That said, Coca-Cola isn’t immune to big drops. It fell about 38% in the Dot-Com Bubble and even more, around 41%, during the Global Financial Crisis. The Covid pandemic led to a roughly 37% dip, while the 2018 correction and the inflation shock triggered smaller declines of about 14% and 17%, respectively. So, despite its steady reputation, KO can still take a hit when markets get rough.

But the risk is not limited to major market crashes. Stocks fall even when markets are good – think events like earnings, business updates, and outlook changes. Read KO Dip Buyer Analyses to see how the stock has recovered from sharp dips in the past.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, has a track record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark that includes all 3 – the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. Why is that? As a group, HQ Portfolio stocks provided better returns with less risk versus the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as evident in HQ Portfolio performance metrics.