Keurig Dr Pepper Reports Soon: How Has The Stock Reacted To Past Earnings?
Keurig Dr Pepper (NASDAQ:KDP) is scheduled to report its earnings on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. The company has a market value of about $48.8 billion. Over the last twelve months it generated $20.1 billion in revenue and $3.3 billion in operating profit, with net income of $1.4 billion.
How the stock moves after the release will depend on how the results and outlook compare with expectations. What history can offer is the base rate: how often, and how far, the stock has moved after past reports.
See the earnings reaction history of all stocks
Keurig Dr Pepper’s Historical Odds Of A Positive Post-Earnings Return
Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns, measured from the last close before each release:
- There are 19 earnings releases in the last five years, with 12 positive and 7 negative one-day (1D) returns. Positive 1D returns were seen 63% of the time.
- Over the last three years that share rises to 64%, across 11 releases.
- The median of the 12 positive 1D returns is 3.1%, and the median of the 7 negative ones is -3.7%.
- The largest one-day reactions were 7.6% and -5.5%.
The table below shows the 1D, 5-day (5D) and 21-day (21D) returns after each release, followed by summary statistics.
| Earnings Date | 1D | 5D | 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/6/2026 | -1.2% | -3.9% | 6.9% |
| 4/23/2026 | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% |
| 2/24/2026 | 4.2% | 0.7% | -12.0% |
| 10/27/2025 | 7.6% | n/a | 0.7% |
| 7/24/2025 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 5.1% |
| 4/24/2025 | -2.1% | -1.7% | -6.2% |
| 2/25/2025 | 2.4% | 0.03% | -0.8% |
| 10/24/2024 | -4.8% | -10.1% | -12.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 1.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% |
| 4/25/2024 | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% |
| 2/22/2024 | -3.9% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 10/26/2023 | 1.4% | 4.7% | 12.1% |
| 7/27/2023 | 3.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| 4/27/2023 | -5.5% | -7.6% | -11.1% |
| 2/23/2023 | 0.9% | -4.4% | -4.7% |
| 10/27/2022 | -1.7% | -4.6% | -1.3% |
| 7/28/2022 | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% |
| 4/28/2022 | 0.3% | -1.7% | -6.2% |
| 2/24/2022 | -3.7% | 1.4% | -2.1% |
| Statistic | 1D | 5D | 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Positive | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% |
| Median Negative | -3.7% | -4.5% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.1% |
| Max Negative | -5.5% | -10.1% | -12.2% |
Do Early Post-Earnings Moves Continue?
Another approach is to wait for the initial reaction and ask whether it tends to continue. The table below shows the correlation between the 1D return and the return over the following 5 and 21 trading days, and between the 5D return and the following 21 trading days. A value near 1 means the first move has tended to continue; near -1, to reverse; near 0, no consistent pattern. None of these correlations is strong enough to trade on: all are below 0.40 in absolute terms over five years, so the early post-earnings move has not reliably predicted what followed.
| History | 1D vs next 5D | 1D vs next 21D | 5D vs next 21D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Years | -0.04 | -0.02 | 0.06 |
| 3 Years | -0.07 | -0.12 | 0.07 |
Is There Any Correlation With Peer Earnings?
Coca-Cola (KO) and PepsiCo (PEP) usually report before Keurig Dr Pepper, and have already reported this season. Coca-Cola’s stock fell 1.6% on October 27, the day of its report, and PepsiCo’s rose 3.7% on October 8, the day of its report. The table compares each peer’s one-day reaction to its own earnings with Keurig Dr Pepper’s one-day reaction to the report that followed. The correlations are KO (0.37), PEP (0.15); the closer to 1, the more the peer’s reaction has foreshadowed Keurig Dr Pepper’s.
| KDP Earnings Date | KDP 1D | KO 1D | PEP 1D |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/6/2026 | -1.2% | 5.0% | n/a |
| 4/23/2026 | 7.5% | n/a | 2.3% |
| 2/24/2026 | 4.2% | -1.5% | 4.9% |
| 10/27/2025 | 7.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| 7/24/2025 | 0.2% | -0.6% | 7.5% |
| 2/25/2025 | 2.4% | 4.7% | -4.5% |
| 10/24/2024 | -4.8% | -2.1% | 1.9% |
| 7/25/2024 | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 4/25/2024 | 4.6% | n/a | -3.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | -3.9% | -0.6% | -3.6% |
| 10/26/2023 | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| 7/27/2023 | 3.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% |
| 4/27/2023 | -5.5% | -0.2% | 2.3% |
| 2/23/2023 | 0.9% | -1.7% | 0.9% |
| 10/27/2022 | -1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% |
| 7/28/2022 | 3.7% | 1.6% | -0.6% |
| 4/28/2022 | 0.3% | 1.1% | -0.3% |
| 2/24/2022 | -3.7% | 0.6% | -2.1% |
| Correlation | – | 0.37 | 0.15 |
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