HubSpot Stock: 10 Straight Red Days, Down 26%

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HubSpot (HUBS) stock is on a 10-day losing streak, down 25.9% since the run began. That erased about $3.5 billion from the company’s market value, which now stands at about $9.9 billion. The stock closed at $200.61 on Friday, November 6, 50.6% below its 52-week high of $405.83 and 17.8% above its low of $170.28.

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HUBS Versus The S&P 500

Returns for HUBS and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Friday, November 6 and including dividends:
 

Return Period HUBS S&P 500
1 Day -2.1% 0.3%
10 Days (Current Streak) -25.9% -3.2%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) -13.5% -4.9%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) -7.1% -4.6%
Year To Date -50.0% 8.8%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) -56.8% 9.8%

How The Streak Compares With The Market

Over the same 10 trading days, the S&P 500 returned -3.2% including dividends, so the slide is mostly HubSpot’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is down 7.1%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 53 sessions of that window it was up 25.5%.

Is The Business As Weak As The Stock?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 20.1% over the last twelve months, against a median of 17.9% for S&P 500 Information Technology stocks; its operating margin is 5.4%, versus a median of 21.6%; and the stock trades at 46.5 times trailing earnings against a median of 27.9. The read is mixed: revenue growth above the median on one side, margins below the median and a multiple well above the median on the other.

If the drop has you weighing an entry, resist buying on price alone. Our Buy the Dip screen ranks the marked-down names where growth and cash generation still hold up.

Falling Prices Test Conviction. Rules Do Not Flinch

A losing streak forces a choice on every holder: sell into weakness, average down, or freeze. All three are emotional answers to what should be an analytical question, and decisions made that way tend to be expensive ones.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio takes the emotion out: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive bad stretches, held and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Let the rules decide, not the tape.