Would You Still Hold Franklin Electric Stock If It Fell Another 30%?

FELE: Franklin Electric logo
FELE
Franklin Electric

Franklin Electric (FELE) stock is down 14.7% in a day. The recent slide reflects renewed concerns around its Q4 revenue miss and weaker 2026 guidance for water and fuel systems, but sharp drops like this often raise a tougher question: is the weakness temporary, or a sign of deeper cracks in the story?

Before judging its downturn reslience, let’s look at where Franklin Electric stands today.

  • Size: Franklin Electric is a $4.1 Bil company with $2.1 Bil in revenue currently trading at $92.98.
  • Fundamentals: Last 12 month revenue growth of 5.1% and operating margin of 12.5%.
  • Liquidity: Has Debt to Equity ratio of 0.07 and Cash to Assets ratio of 0.05
  • Valuation: Franklin Electric stock is currently trading at P/E multiple of 29.2 and P/EBIT multiple of 21.1
  • Has one instance since 2010 where it dipped >30% in < 30 days and subsequently returned 89.6% within a year. See FELE Dip Buy Analysis.

These metrics point to a Moderate operational performance, alongside Moderate valuation – making the stock Fairly Priced. For details, see Buy or Sell FELE Stock

That brings us to the key consideration for investors worried about this fall: how resilient is FELE stock if markets turn south? This is where our downturn resilience framework comes in. Suppose FELE stock falls another 20-30% to $65 – can investors comfortably hold on? Turns out, the stock saw an impact slightly better than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns, based on (a) how much the stock fell and, (b) how quickly it recovered. Below, we dive deeper into each such downturn.

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Trefis

2022 Inflation Shock

  • FELE stock fell 29.4% from a high of $96.69 on 23 November 2021 to $68.28 on 26 April 2022 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 23 February 2023
  • Since then, the stock increased to a high of $110.40 on 25 November 2024 , and currently trades at $92.98

  FELE S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -29.4% -25.4%
Time to Full Recovery 303 days 464 days

 
2020 Covid Pandemic

  • FELE stock fell 32.0% from a high of $60.94 on 5 February 2020 to $41.43 on 25 March 2020 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 6 October 2020

  FELE S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -32.0% -33.9%
Time to Full Recovery 195 days 148 days

 
2018 Correction

  • FELE stock fell 22.4% from a high of $51.05 on 18 September 2018 to $39.62 on 24 October 2018 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 19.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 19 February 2019

  FELE S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -22.4% -19.8%
Time to Full Recovery 118 days 120 days

 
2008 Global Financial Crisis

  • FELE stock fell 66.5% from a high of $25.89 on 19 July 2007 to $8.67 on 5 March 2009 vs. a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500.
  • However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 1 February 2012

  FELE S&P 500
% Change from Pre-Recession Peak -66.5% -56.8%
Time to Full Recovery 1,063 days 1,480 days

 
Feeling jittery about FELE stock? Consider portfolio approach.

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