Applied Materials Stock Jumped More Than 3.5x Since 2018: Here’s Why

+4.07%
Upside
194
Market
202
Trefis
AMAT: Applied Materials logo
AMAT
Applied Materials

Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) stock price rose 3.6x from $32 in 2018 end to around $120 currently, primarily due to favorable changes in its P/S multiple. During this period, the company also witnessed a 49% rise in revenues and a 13% drop in the outstanding share count. Due to this, the company’s stock price has rallied and managed to outperform the S&P 500, which returned a little over 60% during the same period.

In our interactive dashboard, Why Applied Materials Stock Moved: AMAT Stock Has Gained 265% Since 2018, we break down the factors behind this move.

(A) AMAT’s Total Revenue has risen 49% from $16.7 billion in FY 2018 to $24.8 billion currently

  • AMAT’s total revenue initially dropped to $14.6 billion in FY ’19 before rising to $17.2 billion in FY ’20 as demand started picking up (AMAT’s fiscal year ends in October).
  • Further, demand has surged since, and sales rose to $23.1 billion in FY ’21, and currently stand as high as $24.8 billion on an LTM basis.
  • Semiconductor systems sales make up the bulk of Applied Materials’ revenues, with $6.68 billion of the company’s sales coming from this segment as of FY ’21, making up almost 60% of total revenue.
  • For details about AMAT’s EBITDA and comparison to peers, see Applied Materials (AMAT) EBITDA Comparison
Relevant Articles
  1. Rallying 30% YTD, What’s Spurring The Rally In Applied Materials’ Stock?
  2. Up 35% This Year, How Will Applied Materials Stock Trend Following Q4 Results?
  3. Up 50% This Year, Will Applied Materials Stock Continue To Outperform?
  4. What To Expect As Applied Materials Reports Q3 Earnings?
  5. What’s Happening With Applied Materials Stock?
  6. What To Expect From Applied Materials Q2 Results?

(B) Revenue per share (RPS) increased 72% from $16.50 in FY 2018 to $28.30 currently

  • AMAT’s revenue rose from $16.7 billion in FY 2018 to $24.8 billion currently, while the outstanding share count dropped from 1 billion in FY 2018 to around 0.9 billion currently.
  • Due to this, RPS has jumped 72% from $16.50 in FY ’18 to $28.30 currently.

(C) Price-To-Sales (P/S) multiple for AMAT rose strongly from 1.7x in 2018 to 5.9x by 2021 end but has pulled back to 4.2x currently, still around 2.5x higher than its 2018 level

  • AMAT’s P/S multiple rose strongly to around 5.9x by late 2021, on the back of rising investor expectations surrounding increased demand for its semiconductors, leading to a rise in the company’s sales.
  • However, due to the current geopolitical tensions and increased economic uncertainty weighing on the broader markets, the P/S multiple has pulled back, currently standing at around 4.2x.
  • For additional details about the company stock returns and comparison to peers, see Applied Materials (AMAT) Stock Return Comparison.

What if you’re looking for a more balanced portfolio instead? Our high-quality portfolio and multi-strategy portfolio have beaten the market consistently since the end of 2016.

 Returns May 2022
MTD [1]
2022
YTD [1]
2017-22
Total [2]
 AMAT Return 6% -25% 263%
 S&P 500 Return 0% -13% 85%
 Trefis Multi-Strategy Portfolio 0% -17% 225%

[1] Month-to-date and year-to-date as of 5/31/2022
[2] Cumulative total returns since the end of 2016

 

Invest with Trefis Market Beating Portfolios
See all Trefis Price Estimates