Acadia Healthcare Stock: 6 Straight Green Days, Up 31%

ACHCYTD+173.4%SPYYTD+12.0%XLVYTD+23.1%
Analyze ACHC →

Acadia Healthcare (ACHC) stock has risen for 6 consecutive trading days, gaining 31.0% over that stretch. That added about $834 million to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $3.5 billion. The stock closed at $38.80 on Wednesday, November 11, its highest close of the past year.

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The Streak Next To The S&P 500

Returns for ACHC and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Wednesday, November 11 and including dividends:
 

Return Period ACHC S&P 500
1 Day 0.4% 1.3%
6 Days (Current Streak) 31.0% 0.7%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 28.3% -2.3%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 28.3% -2.0%
Year To Date 173.4% 12.4%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 113.5% 12.8%

Is This Move About Acadia Healthcare Or The Market?

Over the same 6 trading days, the S&P 500 returned +0.7% including dividends, so the run is mostly Acadia Healthcare’s own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is up 28.3%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 57 sessions of that window it was down 2.1%.

Is The Business Keeping Up With The Stock?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 4.5% over the last twelve months, against a median of 7.9% for S&P 500 Health Care stocks; and its operating margin is 9.8%, versus a median of 17.4%. Acadia Healthcare does not have positive trailing earnings, so there is no meaningful price-to-earnings multiple to compare. The read is mixed.

A climb like this is worth respecting, and worth testing. Our Guidance Momentum screen tracks the stocks whose companies just raised their own forward numbers.

One Hot Stock Is A Story. Thirty Sound Ones Are A Strategy

A streak like this earns a place on your watchlist, and it also earns a question: how much of your outcome do you want depending on one company keeping this up?

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio answers it with breadth: roughly 30 businesses picked for consistent cash generation, strong margins, and balance-sheet strength, sized and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Follow the story; invest in the strategy.