Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC) Last Update 5/4/26
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% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Wells Fargo & Co.
$84.68
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$83.73
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Wells Fargo & Co. Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Corp & Investment Banking constitutes 33% of the Trefis price estimate for Wells Fargo & Co.'s stock.
  2. Community Banking constitutes 32% of the Trefis price estimate for Wells Fargo & Co.'s stock.
  3. Commercial Banking constitutes 19% of the Trefis price estimate for Wells Fargo & Co.'s stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026

Wells Fargo reported total revenue of $21.45 billion for Q1 2026, a 6% increase from the prior year. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose 15% to $1.60, compared to $1.39 in Q1 2025, surpassing analyst expectations. Performance was bolstered by a 5% increase in net interest income to $12.10 billion and an 8% rise in non-interest income. Key drivers included robust growth in asset-based fees within the Wealth and Investment Management division and significant momentum in the Corporate and Investment Bank, where market revenue surged 19%.

Note: Wells Fargo & Co.'s FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 31, 2026.

Federal Reserve Lifts Long-Standing Asset Cap

The Federal Reserve officially removed the $1.95 trillion asset cap in mid-2025, which had restricted the bank's growth since 2018. This regulatory milestone allowed Wells Fargo to expand its balance sheet to approximately $2.17 trillion by the end of Q1 2026. The lifting of these constraints has enabled a strategic pivot toward reclaiming market share in commercial lending and scaling its trading assets, significantly improving the bank's operational leverage and return on tangible common equity (ROTCE), which reached 14.5%.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Wells Fargo & Co.'s value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Consumer Banking and Lending


  • Net Interest Income Margin: Despite the impact of lower interest rates on floating-rate assets, net interest income grew 5% due to higher deposit balances and fixed-rate asset repricing. If the bank maintains its deposit cost discipline as rates stabilize, there is upside potential to Trefis margin estimates. Conversely, a faster-than-expected shift from non-interest-bearing to interest-bearing accounts could pressure spreads.

  • Credit Card and Auto Loan Expansion: Consumer lending revenue grew 7% year-over-year, supported by a 20% increase in new credit card accounts. While this drives top-line growth, a rise in the consumer net loan charge-off rate to 0.78% suggests potential downside risk if macroeconomic conditions weaken and provision for credit losses exceeds the current $1.14 billion quarterly run rate.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Wells Fargo & Co. at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Wells Fargo & Co. is a diversified financial services company providing banking, investment, and mortgage products, as well as consumer and commercial finance. It operates through four primary segments: Consumer Banking and Lending, Commercial Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking, and Wealth and Investment Management. The company focuses on a relationship-based model, leveraging its extensive U.S. branch network and growing digital capabilities to serve one in three U.S. households.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Consumer Banking and Lending segment remains the primary driver of value due to its massive scale and deposit base.

Leading Retail Banking Presence

Wells Fargo maintains one of the largest branch footprints in the United States, serving over 65 million customers. This scale provides a low-cost funding base through $1.42 trillion in average deposits, creating a sustainable competitive advantage in a fluctuating interest rate environment.

Diversified Fee Income Streams

The bank has successfully reduced its reliance on interest income by growing its non-interest revenue to 44% of total revenue. Strengths in wealth management, with $2.5 trillion in total client assets, and a 14% growth in investment banking fees provide a buffer against net interest margin volatility.

KEY TRENDS

Post-Regulatory Growth Acceleration

With the removal of the asset cap and the termination of multiple consent orders, Wells Fargo is transitioning from a period of regulatory remediation to aggressive growth. The bank is redeploying excess capital into higher-yielding commercial loans and expanding its markets business, which grew revenue by 19% in the most recent quarter.

Efficiency and Productivity Initiatives

The company continues to execute on its multi-year efficiency program, aiming for an efficiency ratio below 60%. Recent actions include a $612 million severance charge for workforce reductions and heavy investment in AI to automate back-office processes, which has already contributed to a 1% year-over-year decline in non-interest expenses.