Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) Last Update 6/19/26
Related: MBGAF F HMC GM
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Volkswagen AG
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Porsche, Bentley
13.2%
$2.43
Audi
13.1%
$2.42
Skoda
6.2%
$1.14
Net Debt
23.5% $4.32
TOTAL
100%
$18.41
$14.08
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$10.20
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Volkswagen AG Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Volkswagen Financial Services constitute 24% of the Trefis price estimate for Volkswagen AG's stock.
  2. Passenger Cars, SEAT, LCVs constitute 18% of the Trefis price estimate for Volkswagen AG's stock.
  3. Volkswagen China & Affiliates constitute 16% of the Trefis price estimate for Volkswagen AG's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 Fiscal Year 2026

Volkswagen AG reported Q1 2026 sales revenue of EUR 75.7 billion, down 2.5% year-over-year, while earnings after tax declined 28.4% to EUR 1.56 billion. The performance was heavily impacted by lower volumes in China and North America, specialized US tariff burdens, and EUR 0.5 billion in costs linked to winding down ID.4 production in the United States, though a EUR 1.0 billion reduction in overhead costs provided a partial offset.

Note: Volkswagen AG's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 31, 2026.

Strategic Software Overhaul and Rivian Partnership

Volkswagen AG finalized its joint venture with electric vehicle maker Rivian to co-develop next-generation software architecture. This strategic move addresses long-standing software delays at Volkswagen's Cariad unit, accelerating the rollout of regional cloud platforms and advanced driver assistance systems across its volume brands.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Volkswagen AG's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles


  • Electric Vehicle Transition Rate: Battery electric vehicles accounted for 9.8% of total deliveries, falling below the initial Trefis expectation of 11%. Slowing European demand poses a 5% downside risk to our valuation if regulatory fines for emissions are triggered, whereas a rebound in affordable EV models offers a 4% upside.

  • Operating Margin Efficiency: The core brand group's operating margin hovered around 4.4% due to restructuring costs and high raw material expenses. Sustaining performance improvements toward the 6.5% target could drive a 7% upside over the baseline scenario.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Volkswagen AG at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Volkswagen AG is a global automotive manufacturing powerhouse that designs, produces, and distributes passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and motorcycles, while also offering tailored financial and fleet management services worldwide.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Passenger Cars segment represents the cornerstone of Volkswagen AG's corporate value due to its massive multi-brand ecosystem and global manufacturing footprint.

Unrivaled Multi-Brand Portfolio Strategy

Volkswagen's unique brand architecture spans mass-market names like Volkswagen and Skoda up to premium and luxury giants like Audi and Porsche. This diverse portfolio allows the company to capture consumer demand across all price points, leveraging shared modular platforms to optimize development costs and maximize market reach.

Entrenched European Production Scale

As Europe's largest automotive manufacturer, Volkswagen maintains an unparalleled manufacturing base and supply chain network across the continent. This immense localized footprint creates strong regional barriers to entry and provides substantial purchasing power when negotiating with global component suppliers.

KEY TRENDS

Global Electric Vehicle Market Deceleration

The global automotive landscape is experiencing a temporary cooling of pure battery electric vehicle demand, forcing major legacy automakers to recalibrate their production lines. Volkswagen is responding by scaling up its hybrid and plug-in hybrid vehicle production to capture bridge demand from consumers who are not yet ready to transition fully to all-electric platforms.

Rigorous Fixed-Cost Restructuring Program

Faced with escalating competition from low-cost manufacturers and high energy costs in Germany, Volkswagen is aggressively executing an ongoing multi-billion euro performance program. This corporate strategy focuses on reducing administrative staff costs, streamlining factory utilization, and optimizing component purchasing to structurally elevate mid-term operating margins.