U.S. Bancorp (USB) Last Update 2/26/26
Related: BAC C GS UBS
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
U.S. Bancorp
$51.42
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$56.05
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
loading revenue data...
loading ebitda data...
loading cash flow data...

RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

U.S. Bancorp Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Wholesale Banking & Wealth Management constitutes 71% of the Trefis price estimate for U.S. Bancorp's stock.
  2. Consumer Banking constitutes 15% of the Trefis price estimate for U.S. Bancorp's stock.
  3. Card & Payment Services constitute 13% of the Trefis price estimate for U.S. Bancorp's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q4 and Full Year 2025

U.S. Bancorp reported Q4 2025 net revenue of $6.9 billion, representing a 2.1% increase year-over-year. Full-year 2025 revenue reached $27.4 billion. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter stood at $0.98, up from $0.91 in the prior year period, reflecting a 7.7% increase. Growth was primarily driven by a stabilization in net interest income as deposit costs leveled off, alongside robust growth in payment services and fixed income capital markets activity.

Note: U.S. Bancorp's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025.

Payments Ecosystem Expansion and Tech Modernization

U.S. Bancorp has accelerated its "business-led, tech-enabled" strategy, specifically targeting the integration of payment processing with business banking software. In late 2025, the bank completed a major migration of its core processing systems to the cloud, aiming to reduce legacy maintenance costs by 15% over the next two years. This strategic pivot focuses on capturing higher-margin small business clients who require bundled merchant services and treasury management, differentiating USB from larger money-center peers who often treat these as siloed products.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of U.S. Bancorp's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Consumer and Business Banking

  • Net Interest Margin (NIM) Recovery: As the interest rate environment stabilizes, USB's NIM is expected to see modest expansion. Current metrics show a NIM of 2.74% versus the Trefis estimate of 2.80%. An upside scenario exists if the bank successfully shifts its deposit mix toward lower-cost non-interest-bearing accounts, potentially adding $0.15 to annual EPS.
  • Credit Quality and Provisions: Provision for credit losses remains a critical swing factor. The bank's net charge-off ratio stood at 0.58% in the recent quarter. If economic resilience continues and charge-offs remain below the Trefis projected 0.65%, there is significant downside protection to the current valuation.

For additional details, select a driver above or a division from the interactive Trefis split for U.S. Bancorp at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

U.S. Bancorp is the largest regional bank in the United States, operating a diversified financial services model that spans consumer and business banking, payment services, wealth management, and commercial banking. Unlike global systemic banks, USB maintains a lower-risk profile with a heavy emphasis on secured lending and high-fee payment processing.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The bank's diversified fee-based income streams provide a cushion against interest rate volatility, making its Payment Services segment the most resilient driver of value.

Dominant Payment Services Franchise

U.S. Bancorp owns Elavon, a top-tier global merchant acquirer, and maintains a massive corporate scale in credit and purchasing cards. This vertical integration allows the bank to capture the entire value chain of a transaction, generating stable fee income that accounts for nearly 25% of total net revenue.

Efficiency and Operational Scale

USB consistently maintains one of the best efficiency ratios among large-scale banks, hovering near the 60% mark. Its massive branch footprint across the Midwest and West Coast provides a low-cost core deposit base, which serves as a competitive advantage in funding its high-quality loan portfolio compared to non-bank lenders.

KEY TRENDS

Digital Transformation in Retail Banking

The industry is shifting toward "digital-first" engagement. U.S. Bancorp has seen digital active customers grow to over 85% of its user base. The bank is aggressively closing underperforming physical branches while investing in its mobile app capabilities to reduce the cost to serve and improve customer retention through AI-driven personalized financial insights.

Capital Management and Regulatory Compliance

Following the finalization of Basel III endgame rules, U.S. Bancorp has focused on building its Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio, which reached 10.6% at the end of 2025. This strengthened capital position allows the bank to resume more aggressive share repurchases and maintain its track record of consistent dividend growth, appealing to value-oriented investors.