Tapestry (TPR) Last Update 12/4/25
Related: AEO ANF GAP NKE
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Tapestry
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Coach
84.0%
$98
Kate Spade
16.0%
$19
Net Debt
5.1% $6
TOTAL
100%
$116
$110.47
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$115
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

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Tapestry Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Coach constitutes 84% of the Trefis price estimate for Tapestry's stock.
  2. Kate Spade constitutes 16% of the Trefis price estimate for Tapestry's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

  1. Tapestry Q1 Snapshot
In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Tapestry delivered a standout performance: net sales came in at US$ 1.70 billion, up ~13% year-over-year (or ~16% on a pro-forma basis, excluding the recently divested Stuart Weitzman business). Adjusted earnings per share were US$ 1.38, beating consensus estimates and representing roughly a 35% year-on-year increase. Profitability improved sharply — gross margin expanded ~120 basis points to ~76.5%, and adjusted operating margin rose ~200 basis points to ~20.9%, driven by strong demand (particularly for Coach) and operational leverage.

Demand was especially strong for Coach, which saw double-digit revenue growth (over 20%) across regions; the company also added ~2.2 million new customers globally, a large proportion of them younger (Gen Z / Millennials).

Note: Tapestry's FY'25 ended on June 28, 2025.

  1. Outlook
Tapestry raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance. The company now expects full-year revenue of approximately US$ 7.3 billion, equating to ~7–8% nominal growth (or ~6–7% on a constant-currency basis), assuming modest currency headwinds. Adjusted EPS guidance was also raised — the company now forecasts US$ 5.45–5.60 per share for fiscal 2026.

On capital returns, Tapestry reaffirmed a robust cash-return program: the company expects to return about US$ 1.3 billion to shareholders in FY2026 via a combination of dividends and share repurchases, including a planned US$ 1.0 billion in buybacks.

  1. Tapestry Sells Stuart Weitzman
Tapestry, Inc. completed the sale of its luxury footwear brand Stuart Weitzman to Caleres Inc. in August 2025 for about $120 million in cash, following an earlier announcement in February valuing the deal at $105 million. The divestiture marks a strategic pivot for Tapestry toward a sharper focus on its core brands, Coach and Kate Spade, which together generate over 95% of the company’s revenue. Stuart Weitzman, which contributed roughly 3% of total sales, had long underperformed relative to the group’s leather goods and accessories lines.

The move underscores Tapestry’s shift from diversification to focus on a cleaner, higher-margin story, but one that now hinges more squarely on the continued strength of Coach and the turnaround of Kate Spade.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Tapestry, Inc. is a leading New York-based house of modern luxury accessories and lifestyle brands. Tapestry owns the Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman brands. The Company's primary product offerings, manufactured by third-party suppliers, include women's and men's bags, small leather goods, footwear, ready-to-wear including outerwear, watches, weekend and travel accessories, scarves, eye wear, fragrance, jewelry, and other lifestyle products.

The Coach segment includes worldwide sales of Coach brand products to customers through Coach-operated stores, including the Internet, concession shop-in-shops, and sales to wholesale customers and independent third-party distributors. The Kate Spade segment includes worldwide sales primarily of Kate Spade New York brand products to customers through Kate Spade-operated stores, including the Internet, concession shop-in-shops, independent third-party distributors, and wholesale customers.

KEY TRENDS

Demand for luxury goods is correlated with economic growth

Demand for luxury, and fashion goods can be an indicator of flourishing economies. It is observed that during boom times, consumers with higher incomes tend to consume more high-end goods like leather handbags, designer clothes, branded watches, etc. Luxury goods are cyclical and correlate with GDP in specific regions, often exaggerating the up-and-down swings in the economy. As the global economy recovers, we expect the luxury goods market to return to pre-recessionary growth levels of 7-8% per year.

Increasing demand for luxury goods in China and other emerging markets

China's luxury market is rapidly recovering from the pandemic with greater strength and resilience. It is expected to reach around $112 billion by 2025, or approximately 25% of the total global spending. For the Chinese luxury market in 2026, expect single-digit growth, likely in the 0-4% range, with upside potential if operators execute well and macro conditions improve.

Emerging markets are expected to experience the highest growth in new openings of directly operated stores in the coming years. Tapestry is aiming for expansion into areas where it feels it is under-penetrated, such as Greater China, Southeast Asia, and Europe.

Consumer shift to affordable luxury

Affordable luxury brands and private labels have held up solidly during the current market conditions, while luxury and premium end companies, including Louis Vuitton and Hermes, have all reported slowing sales. The luxury market has been hit by a renewed sense of consumer ethics, which has seen some consumers turning away from luxurious lifestyles to take on a "less is more" approach.

This trend was observed even before the economic downturn, with consumers shying away from luxury items, hinting that consumers may not return to buy luxury goods in the near future and may opt for more understated choices.