AT&T (T) Last Update 5/4/26
Related: CMCSA VZ TMUS
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
AT&T
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Communication
98.4%
$52.04
Latin America
1.6%
$0.86
Net Debt
40.8% $21.57
TOTAL
100%
$52.90
$31.33
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$25.26
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

AT&T Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Communication constitutes 98% of the Trefis price estimate for AT&T's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 Fiscal Year 2026

AT&T reported first-quarter revenue of $31.51 billion, a 2.9% increase year-over-year, slightly exceeding consensus estimates of $31.29 billion. Adjusted EPS rose to $0.57, up from $0.51 in the prior-year period, beating expectations of $0.55. Performance was primarily driven by robust growth in the Advanced Connectivity segment, particularly in high-speed fiber and wireless service revenues, alongside initial contributions from the Lumen fiber assets acquired in February. These gains were partially offset by a 25.3% decline in legacy copper-based services as the company continues its network modernization.

Note: AT'T's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 31, 2026.

Strategic Cybersecurity Expansion with Dynamic Defense

On May 4, 2026, AT&T officially launched AT&T Dynamic Defense for small and medium-sized businesses, embedding proactive cybersecurity directly into its fiber network. This strategic pivot aims to monetize the company's fiber infrastructure beyond connectivity by providing hardware-free security solutions. The launch coincides with the 2026 AT&T Small Business Contest and strategic AI collaborations with NVIDIA and Cisco to integrate real-time intelligence at the network edge, signaling a shift toward higher-margin, software-defined connectivity services.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of AT&T's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Advanced Connectivity


  • Fiber Expansion and Convergence: AT&T reached 37 million fiber locations in Q1 2026 and aims for 40 million by year-end. The company reported that 42% of fiber households now also use AT&T wireless services, a significant "convergence" trend that reduces churn and increases lifetime value. If convergence rates exceed 45% by year-end, it could drive significant upside to Mobility EBITDA margins.

  • 5G and Fixed Wireless Momentum: The company added 584,000 advanced internet customers, including 239,000 for AT&T Internet Air. While postpaid phone net adds of 294,000 were lower than the previous year, the shift toward higher-tier "Unlimited Your Way" plans launched in March 2026 is expected to stabilize ARPU growth despite a slight increase in churn to 0.89%.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for AT&T at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

AT&T is a leading provider of telecommunications and technology services, recently restructured into three primary reporting segments: Advanced Connectivity (Wireless and Fiber), Legacy (Copper-based services), and Latin America (Mexico operations). The company is currently executing a multi-year transition to phase out legacy wireline assets while aggressively expanding its 5G and fiber-optic footprint to capture the growing demand for high-bandwidth data and AI-integrated network services.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Advanced Connectivity segment, encompassing 5G wireless and consumer fiber, remains the cornerstone of the company's valuation due to its massive installed base and recurring service revenue.

Scaled Fiber-Optic Infrastructure

AT&T operates the largest fiber network in the U.S., reaching over 37 million locations. This infrastructure acts as a formidable moat, providing a superior cost structure for data delivery compared to cable competitors and enabling high-margin bundled services that improve customer retention.

Wireless Network Dominance

With a disciplined focus on high-quality postpaid phone additions and 5G spectrum deployment, AT&T maintains strong margins in its Mobility business. The recent $14 billion Open RAN commitment with Ericsson aims to further optimize operating costs, targeting 70% of network traffic on open platforms by late 2026 to enhance vendor flexibility.

KEY TRENDS

AI-Native and Agentic Networking

The telecom industry is shifting toward AI-native architectures that enable self-healing and autonomous optimization. AT&T is positioning itself at the forefront through collaborations with NVIDIA and AWS, integrating AI directly into the network edge to handle business-grade workloads and reduce operational expenses through predictive maintenance.

Legacy Copper Decommissioning

AT&T is aggressively accelerating the shutdown of its legacy copper-based network to reduce technical debt and maintenance costs. While this results in short-term revenue declines in the Legacy segment (down 25.3% in Q1), it is a critical strategic pivot to reallocate capital toward higher-growth fiber and 5G infrastructure.