Procter & Gamble (PG) Last Update 3/24/26
Related: BBY CL COST HD
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Procter & Gamble
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Beauty
18.3%
$33
Health Care
13.8%
$25
Grooming
7.7%
$14
Net Debt
6.3% $12
TOTAL
100%
$183
$171.31
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$144
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
loading revenue data...
loading ebitda data...
loading cash flow data...

RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Procter & Gamble Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Fabric Care and Home Care constitutes 37% of the Trefis price estimate for Procter & Gamble's stock.
  2. Baby & Family Care constitutes 24% of the Trefis price estimate for Procter & Gamble's stock.
  3. Beauty constitutes 18% of the Trefis price estimate for Procter & Gamble's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026

Procter & Gamble reported net sales of $22.2 billion for the second quarter, representing a 1% increase compared to the prior year. Core earnings per share (EPS) remained flat at $1.88, surpassing analyst expectations by one cent despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. While pricing actions contributed a 1% gain to the top line, organic sales were unchanged as global unit volumes declined by 1%. Performance was mixed across segments, with 4% organic growth in Beauty and 3% in Health Care offset by a 4% decline in the Baby, Feminine & Family Care division due to softer demand and unfavorable geographic mix.

Note: Procter & Gamble's FY'25 ended on June 30, 2025. Q2 FY'26 ended on December 31, 2025.

Restructuring Initiative and Portfolio Optimization

In early 2026, management accelerated a strategic restructuring program aimed at reducing up to 7,000 nonmanufacturing roles to enhance operational agility and expand margins. This initiative is designed to drive $500 million in efficiency savings while the company exits specific underperforming product lines and markets. Despite these internal shifts, P&G maintained its full-year organic sales growth guidance of up to 4%, signaling a pivot toward higher-margin innovation and premiumization in the North American and Chinese markets to counter stagnant global volumes.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Procter & Gamble's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Beauty and Health Care Segments

  • Premiumization Strategy: P&G is seeing strong results from its upmarket shift in China and North America, where innovation-led pricing in Hair Care and Skin Care drove a 4% organic sales increase. If the company successfully scales premium brands like SK-II and Native beyond current focus markets, there is potential for margin expansion above Trefis estimates.
  • Volume Recovery in Health: The Health Care segment grew organic sales 3% primarily through pricing and product mix. A recovery in unit volumes for Oral Care and Personal Health Care, currently hampered by merchandising investments, represents a key upside scenario for top-line growth in the second half of fiscal 2026.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Procter & Gamble at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Procter & Gamble operates a global consumer goods empire focused on 10 daily-use categories where product performance drives brand loyalty. The business model emphasizes a "Superiority" framework across product design, packaging, and retail execution to command premium pricing. By leveraging its massive scale to drive supply chain productivity, P&G generates significant cash flow to fund consistent dividend growth and share repurchases, maintaining its position as a defensive staple in the diversified consumer sector.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Fabric & Home Care segment remains the cornerstone of P&G's valuation due to its massive scale and the essential nature of its flagship brands.

Dominant Market Share in Fabric Care

P&G controls roughly 25% of the global fabric care market, led by billion-dollar brands like Tide and Ariel. This scale provides a significant moat through advertising leverage and deep retail partnerships that smaller competitors cannot match.

High-Margin Productivity Savings

The company's integrated supply chain consistently delivers over $2 billion in annual gross productivity savings. These efficiencies allow P&G to reinvest in brand building and innovation while maintaining industry-leading operating margins near 25%.

KEY TRENDS

Tariff and Commodity Volatility

P&G anticipates a $400 million after-tax headwind from increased tariff costs in fiscal 2026. While commodity costs have neutralized, the company is utilizing its "constructive disruption" strategy to optimize sourcing and mitigate the impact of geopolitical trade shifts on its global cost structure.

Digital Transformation and AI Integration

Management is increasingly deploying AI to shorten molecule development cycles and optimize media spending. This digital shift aims to counter media fragmentation and high inflation by creating deeper, more personalized consumer connections, particularly for premium laundry and grooming launches.

Focus on Cash Return to Shareholders

Despite top-line pressure, P&G plans to return $15 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026 through $10 billion in dividends and $5 billion in buybacks. This commitment to capital return underscores the stability of its free cash flow productivity, which is targeted at 85% to 90% for the year.