Altria Group, Inc. (MO) Last Update 7/7/26
Related: CMG KO MCD PEP
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Altria Group, Inc.
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Anheuser Busch
6.6%
$5.15
Net Debt
17.1% $13.26
TOTAL
100%
$77.54
$64.28
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$72.08
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Altria Group, Inc. Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Smokeable Products constitute 77% of the Trefis price estimate for Altria Group, Inc.'s stock.
  2. Smokeless Products constitute 16% of the Trefis price estimate for Altria Group, Inc.'s stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 Fiscal Year 2026

Altria Group, Inc. reported total net revenues of $5.43 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, representing an increase of 3.2% year-over-year. Adjusted diluted EPS increased 7.3% to $1.32 from $1.23 in the prior-year period, beating market consensus estimates. Financial results were primarily driven by strong pricing execution within the smokeable products segment and a reduction in outstanding shares via aggressive buybacks, which successfully mitigated ongoing secular declines in domestic cigarette shipment volumes.

Note: Altria Group, Inc.'s FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 31, 2026.

Accelerated Expansion of Smoke-Free Nicotine Portfolio

Altria continued its deliberate strategic pivot away from combustible products by expanding the distribution of its smoke-free nicotine portfolio. The company expanded its on! oral nicotine pouch footprint, delivering a 17.6% shipment volume increase during the quarter, while scaling commercialization plans for NJOY e-vapor products to capture changing adult nicotine consumer preferences amidst tightening regulatory oversight on illicit disposable vapor items.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Altria Group, Inc.'s value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Smokeable Products


  • Premium Brand Pricing Resilience: Price hikes on Marlboro continue to support revenue expansion despite industry-wide volume contractions. Trefis models steady operating income growth, but superior pricing power offers a 5% upside scenario to our segment profit forecast.

  • Combustible Volume Contraction: Secular cigarette volume declines and consumer down-trading to discount brands pressure long-term shipment metrics. If volume erosion outpaces net pricing gains, it poses a notable downside risk to our projected cash flows.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Altria Group, Inc. at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Altria Group, Inc. manufactures and sells prominent combustible and smoke-free tobacco products, utilizing its leading premium brand portfolio to generate high operational cash flows while transitioning toward reduced-risk oral nicotine and e-vapor alternatives.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Smokeable Products division remains the primary foundation of Altria's valuation due to its immense profitability and unmatched brand equity in the premium tier.

Unrivaled Market Leadership of Marlboro

Marlboro maintains an elite position in the domestic tobacco industry, commanding a dominant 59.5% share of the premium cigarette category, which ensures consistent pricing power and stable operating margins.

High-Margin Oral Tobacco Infrastructure

The oral tobacco segment generates exceptionally high operating company income margins, utilizing established manufacturing assets and the rapid growth of nicotine pouches to capture market share in low-risk categories.

KEY TRENDS

Secular Pivot to Smoke-Free Nicotine Products

Adult consumer demand continues to migrate from traditional combustible cigarettes toward modern oral nicotine pouches and regulatory-compliant e-vapor systems, forcing tobacco leaders to diversify away from cigarettes.

Aggressive Share Repurchases and Dividend Hikes

Management continues to deploy its massive free cash flow directly into capital return programs, repurchasing millions of shares annually to boost adjusted EPS and sustain its highly attractive dividend yield.