Medtronic (MDT) Last Update 7/10/26
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% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Medtronic
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Neuroscience
42.9%
$52
Diabetes
4.8%
$6
Net Debt
12.5% $15
TOTAL
100%
$122
$106.54
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$83.21
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Medtronic Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Neuroscience constitutes 43% of the Trefis price estimate for Medtronic's stock.
  2. Medical Surgical constitutes 33% of the Trefis price estimate for Medtronic's stock.
  3. Cardiac Rhythm Management constitutes 19% of the Trefis price estimate for Medtronic's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q4 FY2026

Data not yet reported.

Commercial Expansion of PulseSelect PFA System

Medtronic expanded the commercial rollout of its PulseSelect Pulsed Field Ablation (PFA) system. The technology treats atrial fibrillation using targeted, non-thermal electric fields to isolate pulmonary veins without damaging surrounding tissue structures. This rollout has driven significant clinical adoption in the electrophysiology market, positioning Medtronic competitively against traditional thermal ablation technologies and accelerating growth within its core cardiovascular portfolio.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Medtronic 's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Cardiovascular Portfolio

  • Pulsed Field Ablation Adoption: Rapid clinical acceptance of the PulseSelect platform provides substantial upside to structural market share assumptions. Stronger than anticipated global placement rates could elevate divisional gross margins ahead of current Trefis base case forecasts.
  • Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Expansion: Continuous market expansion of the Evolut FX TAVR system across diverse patient risk profiles maintains pricing power. Downside risks remain tied to intense competitor product cycles and local hospital reimbursement updates.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Medtronic at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Medtronic is a global leader in medical technology, developing, manufacturing, and marketing a broad range of device-based medical therapies to healthcare providers and hospitals. The business operates across four primary segments: Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and Diabetes Operating Units, generating revenue through direct product sales and integrated clinical service solutions.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Cardiovascular portfolio stands as the primary engine of value for Medtronic, contributing the largest share of total revenue and maintaining high segment operating margins driven by innovative, premium-priced therapeutic devices.

Global Market Leadership in Cardiac Rhythm Management

Medtronic maintains a massive global installed base and unmatched brand equity in pacemakers, defibrillators, and cardiac monitors. This deeply entrenched hospital ecosystem creates formidable high switching costs and provides a steady baseline of replacement revenue that stabilizes long-term cash flows.

Broad Multi-Segment Diversification Moat

Unlike pure-play medical technology peers, Medtronic leverages its vast scale across surgical, neurological, and diabetes management divisions. This operational breadth offers a powerful commercial shield, allowing cross-selling synergies and structured volume-based purchasing agreements with massive healthcare hospital networks.

KEY TRENDS

AI and Data Analytics Integration in Diagnostics

The healthcare sector is rapidly adopting intelligent diagnostic systems to enhance patient workflows. Medtronic is embedding artificial intelligence algorithms across its portfolio, including its GI Genius endoscopy module and smart insulin management systems, transforming standard devices into predictive digital healthcare platforms.

Portfolio Management and Focused Structural Streamlining

Medtronic is actively executing a corporate optimization strategy focused on divesting lower-margin, non-core assets while shifting research investments into high-growth segments. This strict focus on core high-margin sectors aims to counter inflationary input costs, improve supply chain efficiency, and accelerate organic revenue expansion.