Coca Cola (KO) Last Update 7/7/26
Related: CMG MCD PEP SBUX
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Coca Cola
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
North America
36.9%
$32.68
Latin America
24.6%
$21.80
EMEA
23.3%
$20.67
Asia Pacific
11.0%
$9.71
Net Debt
3.2% $2.87
TOTAL
100%
$88.61
$85.73
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$84.25
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Coca Cola Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. North America constitutes 37% of the Trefis price estimate for Coca Cola's stock.
  2. Latin America constitutes 25% of the Trefis price estimate for Coca Cola's stock.
  3. EMEA constitutes 23% of the Trefis price estimate for Coca Cola's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 Fiscal Year 2026

Coca-Cola reported net operating revenues of $12.47 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a 12% increase year-over-year. Diluted EPS rose 18% to $0.91, while comparable non-GAAP EPS also grew 18% to $0.86, beating market consensus estimates. Financial performance was primarily driven by a 10% expansion in organic revenues, supported by a 3% increase in global unit case volume and robust 13% volume growth from Coca-Cola Zero Sugar across all geographic operating segments.

Note: Coca-Cola's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on April 3, 2026.

Operational Leadership Realignment and New Chief Digital Officer Role

The Coca-Cola Company announced a major organizational restructure designed to enhance technology adoption and accelerate enterprise-wide digital transformation. Effective March 31, 2026, Henrique Braun officially transitioned into the CEO role, succeeding James Quincey. Concurrently, the company established a new Chief Digital Officer position to unify data networks, optimize marketing automation, and streamline local operational execution across key emerging markets.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Coca-Cola's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

North America


  • Mini-Can Innovation and Volume Momentum: Segment unit case volume grew 4% in Q1, led by high single-digit growth in single-serve mini-cans within convenience retail channels. Trefis models steady product mix improvement, but faster consumer recruitment in small-format packaging offers a clear upside scenario to our revenue estimates.

  • Input Cost Inflation and Marketing Outlays: Operating income rose 20%, but margins faced ongoing headwinds from elevated raw material costs and increased local activation investments. Persistent supply chain pressures or an aggressive scale-up in competitive advertising spend could present downside risks to our projected cash flows.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Coca-Cola at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

The Coca-Cola Company operates as a leading total beverage corporation, manufacturing and marketing a vast portfolio of sparkling soft drinks, waters, sports drinks, juices, dairy products, and ready-to-drink coffees and teas through a massive global franchise bottling network.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The international franchise bottling system serves as the core foundation of Coca-Cola's premium valuation by decoupling asset-heavy distribution from high-margin concentrate manufacturing.

Unrivaled Global Brand Equity

Coca-Cola owns a dominant share of the global non-alcoholic ready-to-drink beverage market through multi-billion-dollar core trademarks like Coca-Cola, Sprite, and Fanta, which command consistent pricing resilience across diverse economic environments.

Asset-Light Concentrate Business Model

By selling syrup concentrates to independent local bottling partners who handle final assembly and distribution, the firm sustains high gross margins, lowers capital expenditure intensity, and maximizes free cash flow visibility.

KEY TRENDS

Accelerated Shift to Zero-Sugar and Functional Formats

Global consumer preferences continue to migrate toward healthier options, driving rapid double-digit volume expansion in low-calorie beverages like Coca-Cola Zero Sugar alongside premium sports and enhanced water segments.

Data-Driven Revenue Growth Management

Management is focusing its core commercial strategy on end-to-end digital transformation, leveraging predictive operational models and tailored local packaging innovations to maximize revenue per case while navigating changing affordability limits.