JPMorgan Chase (JPM) Last Update 7/16/26
Related: BAC C GS UBS
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
JPMorgan Chase
$318.85
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$345
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

JPMorgan Chase Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Commercial & Investment Bank (Advisory & Underwriting Services, Sales & Trading, Commercial Banking) constitutes 48% of the Trefis price estimate for JPMorgan Chase's stock.
  2. Consumer & Community Banking constitutes 33% of the Trefis price estimate for JPMorgan Chase's stock.
  3. Asset & Wealth Management constitutes 19% of the Trefis price estimate for JPMorgan Chase's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q2 FY'2026

JPMorgan Chase reported record second-quarter financial results on July 14, 2026, with managed revenue rising 27% year-over-year to $58.0 billion. Net income surged 41% to $21.2 billion, translating to an EPS of $7.70 per share, which significantly beat Wall Street consensus estimates of $5.55 per share. Results were heavily driven by a massive $4.6 billion net gain related to Visa shares and $1.0 billion in equity investment gains. Excluding these significant one-time items, adjusted net income stood at $16.9 billion with an EPS of $6.14, representing a robust 13% increase from the prior-year period. The underlying performance was powered by strong capital markets activity, including an 86% jump in equity trading revenue to $6.0 billion and a 30% increase in investment banking fees.

Note: JPMorgan Chase's FY'2025 ended on December 31, 2025. Q2 FY'2026 ended on June 30, 2026.

Visa Share Exchange and Capital Allocation Changes

A defining driver of the quarter was the execution of a major capital event involving the bank's long-held stake in Visa Inc.. Following an exchange offer initiated by Visa, JPMorgan Chase tendered 18.6 million Visa Class B-2 common shares, triggering a massive $5.6 billion pretax gain. While this transaction heavily padded the bank's bottom-line performance and supported a higher return on tangible common equity of 29% for the quarter, the firm faced immediate market caution as management simultaneously raised its full-year 2026 expense forecast to $107.5 billion, up from the previous estimate of $105 billion. The combination of elevated expense projections and impending regulatory Basel III endgame rules is expected to influence how the bank deploys capital into share buybacks, though it did move forward with increasing its quarterly dividend to $1.65 per share starting in the third quarter.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of JPMorgan Chase's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Consumer and Community Banking

  • Net Interest Income Sustainability: JPMorgan Chase raised its full-year net interest income expectation to $105.5 billion, signaling strong asset yields. If revolving card balances and deposit volumes continue to outpace expectations, net interest income could beat Trefis estimates, whereas rapid changes in benchmark interest rates could compress margins faster than anticipated.
  • Elevated Expense Structures: The upward revision of the 2026 noninterest expense outlook to $107.5 billion highlights persistent pressure from revenue-related compensation and tech investments. If operational costs scale higher without corresponding revenue expansion, this will exert downside pressure on operating margins.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for JPMorgan Chase at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

JPMorgan Chase operates as a premier global financial services institution, utilizing its unmatched scale and massive capital base to dominate retail banking, investment banking, corporate markets, asset management, and private banking worldwide.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The firm's diversified operating architecture allows it to generate outsized returns even when specific macroeconomic segments face headwinds.

Leading Market Share in Trading and Dealmaking

JPMorgan Chase maintains an dominant investment banking and trading franchise, capable of capitalizing heavily on market volatility as seen by its 86% spike in equity trading revenue and a 30% leap in investment banking fees during periods of heavy corporate deal activity.

Unrivaled US Deposit Base

The bank's consumer retail branch network secures an unmatched volume of low-cost deposits, serving as a highly resilient financial anchor that provides continuous liquidity and a low-cost funding mechanism for its global lending portfolio.

KEY TRENDS

Capital Markets Resurgence

A sharp recovery in corporate dealmaking, equity underwriting, and heightened trading activity is reshaping banking sector fee revenues, shifting reliance away from pure loan margins toward active asset placement and advisory fees.

Tightening Regulatory Scrutiny

Evolving capital rules, specifically the upcoming Basel III framework requirements, are forcing tier-one global banks to hold elevated levels of capital on their balance sheets, which changes the long-term outlook for aggressive stock buyback programs.