Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Last Update 6/1/26
Related: MRK PFE BMY RHHBY
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Johnson & Johnson
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Net Debt
6.4% $16
TOTAL
100%
$257
$240.14
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$263
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Johnson & Johnson Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Pharmaceuticals constitute 78% of the Trefis price estimate for Johnson & Johnson's stock.
  2. Medical Devices constitute 22% of the Trefis price estimate for Johnson & Johnson's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 FY'26

Johnson & Johnson reported robust first-quarter results with revenue reaching $24.1 billion (a 9.9% year-over-year increase) and an adjusted EPS of $2.70, beating consensus estimates. Primary drivers included double-digit operational growth in the Innovative Medicine segment, anchored by oncology assets like Darzalex and Carvykti, alongside solid 4.6% operational growth in MedTech led by cardiovascular products, which successfully offset an expected sharp decline in Stelara sales due to biosimilar competition.

Note: Johnson & Johnson's FY'25 ended on December 28, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 29, 2026.

Cardiovascular Portfolio Expansion

The company continues to integrate recent multibillion-dollar acquisitions within its MedTech segment to bolster its cardiovascular offerings. This strategic pivot focuses on high-growth markets such as intravascular lithotripsy and heart recovery, aiming to offset potential revenue gaps created by upcoming patent expirations in the pharmaceutical portfolio.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Johnson & Johnson's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Innovative Medicine


  • Immunology Pipeline: Stelara faces intense biosimilar competition which is actively pressuring revenue. If the transition to newer treatments like Tremfya accelerates faster than the Trefis estimate, there is potential upside. Conversely, aggressive pricing from biosimilars could drive downside.

  • Oncology Asset Penetration: Darzalex and Erleada remain crucial for revenue growth. Stronger than anticipated clinical data and label expansions could push market penetration above current models, offering upside to the valuation.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Johnson & Johnson at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Johnson & Johnson operates as a diversified healthcare giant engaged in the research, development, and commercialization of a broad range of products, focusing strictly on its Innovative Medicine and MedTech segments following the separation of its consumer health business.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Innovative Medicine segment is the primary value driver for the company due to its high-margin specialty pharmaceuticals.

Dominance in Multiple Myeloma

The company holds a commanding market share in the treatment of multiple myeloma, anchored by its blockbuster drug Darzalex. The extensive clinical data and established physician familiarity create a substantial barrier to entry for competitors in this space.

Expansive MedTech Installed Base

The MedTech division benefits from a massive global installed base of surgical and interventional equipment. This ecosystem generates reliable recurring revenue through consumables, servicing, and long-term hospital contracts, providing a stable cash flow moat.

KEY TRENDS

Biosimilar Headwinds

The pharmaceutical industry is facing a major wave of patent cliffs, and Johnson & Johnson is navigating the loss of exclusivity for key biologic drugs. The introduction of biosimilars will inevitably compress pricing power and necessitate a rapid pivot toward next-generation therapies.

Aggressive Inorganic Growth

To counter organic growth deceleration, the company strategy relies heavily on targeted mergers and acquisitions. By deploying its significant cash reserves to acquire specialized medical technology and clinical-stage biotech firms, the company is actively reshaping its revenue base for the next decade.