Honeywell (HON) Last Update 3/23/26
Related: CAT BA LMT GLW
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Honeywell
$239.55
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$230
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
loading revenue data...
loading ebitda data...
loading cash flow data...

TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
  1. Download Trefis Report

RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Honeywell Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Aircraft & Automotive Components constitute 55% of the Trefis price estimate for Honeywell's stock.
  2. Building & Safety Products constitute 24% of the Trefis price estimate for Honeywell's stock.
  3. Process Solutions & Performance Materials constitute 20% of the Trefis price estimate for Honeywell's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q4 and Full Year 2025

Honeywell reported Q4 2025 revenue of $10.1 billion, representing a 6% organic increase year-over-year, while full-year revenue reached $38.9 billion. Adjusted EPS for the quarter rose 8% to $2.70, driven by continued strength in the Aerospace Technologies segment and improved execution in Industrial Automation. Growth was primarily fueled by double-digit gains in commercial aviation spares and defense pull-through, offsetting some softness in short-cycle warehouse automation markets.

Note: Honeywell's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025.

Portfolio Transformation and Carrier Access Solutions Integration

Honeywell has accelerated its strategic pivot by completing the $4.95 billion acquisition of Carrier's Global Access Solutions business and announcing the spin-off of its Advanced Materials business. These moves sharpen the company's focus on three compelling megatrends: automation, the future of aviation, and energy transition. The integration of security and access signaling technologies is expected to bolster margins within the Building Automation segment by shifting the mix toward higher-value software and recurring services.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Honeywell's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Aerospace Technologies

  • Commercial Aviation Recovery: Sustained demand for aftermarket parts and flight hour growth remains above Trefis estimates of 8-10% annual growth. An upside scenario exists if narrow-body production rates at major OEMs stabilize faster than anticipated, driving higher original equipment volumes.
  • Defense and Space Backlog: Global geopolitical tensions have pushed the defense backlog to record levels. If Honeywell can overcome lingering supply chain constraints in microelectronics, there is a 5% potential upside to segment margin estimates due to better fixed-cost absorption.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Honeywell at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Honeywell operates as a diversified industrial technology leader, providing software-integrated solutions across aerospace, building technologies, performance materials, and industrial automation. The company leverages a massive installed base to drive high-margin recurring revenue through its Honeywell Forge software platform and maintenance services.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Aerospace segment remains the primary engine of value due to its dominant market position and high barriers to entry in flight safety systems.

Dominance in Flight Control and Engines

Honeywell holds a critical position in both commercial and military aviation, with its engines, APUs, and avionics suites integrated into virtually every major aircraft platform. This massive installed base ensures decades of high-margin aftermarket revenue, as safety regulations mandate the use of certified original parts.

Building Automation and Software Integration

The company's focus on "smart buildings" creates a significant moat through the integration of HVAC, security, and energy management systems. By layering the Forge IoT platform over hardware, Honeywell increases customer switching costs and captures higher lifetime value through energy-efficiency-as-a-service models.

KEY TRENDS

Acceleration of Industrial AI and Automation

The secular shift toward labor-saving technologies is driving demand for Honeywell's sensing and productivity solutions. As manufacturers look to mitigate rising labor costs and improve throughput, Honeywell is positioning its Industrial Automation segment to capture growth in autonomous operations and warehouse robotics.

Strategic Portfolio Pruning and Capital Deployment

Honeywell is aggressively exiting non-core, volatile commodity businesses, such as its Advanced Materials wing, to lower its capital intensity. This strategy aims to trade lower-multiple revenue for higher-multiple technology earnings, supported by a robust share buyback program and a consistent dividend growth history.