Honda (HMC) Last Update 6/16/26
Related: MBGAF F GM TM
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Honda
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Automobiles
10.4%
$3.50
Motorcycles
4.8%
$1.63
TOTAL
100%
$33.69
$33.69
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$26.83
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Honda Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Automobiles constitute 10% of the Trefis price estimate for Honda's stock.
  2. Vehicle Leases & Loans constitute 9% of the Trefis price estimate for Honda's stock.
  3. Motorcycles constitute 5% of the Trefis price estimate for Honda's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Full Year FY2026

Honda Motor Co. reported full year FY2026 sales revenue of JPY 21,796.6 billion, representing a slight increase of 0.5% year-over-year. The company posted an operating loss of JPY 414.3 billion and a net loss attributable to owners of JPY 423.9 billion, down from a net profit of JPY 835.8 billion in the prior fiscal year. This downturn was primarily driven by massive EV-related structural provisions and model cancellation impairments totaling JPY 1,577.8 billion. Excluding these heavy EV electrification adjustments, the core business showed resilient underlying performance with an adjusted operating profit of JPY 1,039.3 billion, bolstered by record-high unit sales in the motorcycle division.

Note: Honda's FY2026 ended on March 31, 2026.

Strategic Electrification Realignment and North American Model Cancellations

Honda announced a major restructuring of its automobile electrification timeline, resulting in a JPY 1,310.6 billion charge in the final quarter of FY2026 alone. This pivot involves cancelling the development and production launch of several planned battery electric vehicle models in North America. Management is reallocating capital expenditure to establish a more flexible manufacturing foundation and rapidly expand its high-margin hybrid vehicle lineup to align with shifting consumer demand and regulatory uncertainties.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Honda's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Motorcycle Business Segment


  • Emerging Market Volume Demand: Strong demand across India and Brazil lifted annual motorcycle group unit sales to 22.1 million in FY2026. If infrastructure deployment and consumer financing expansion continue accelerating in South Asia, volumes could outpace the current Trefis estimate, creating structural upside for consolidated operating margins.

  • Operating Efficiency and Product Mix: The motorcycle segment remains Honda's primary cash generator, posting record operating profits due to optimized factory utilization and higher-margin model mixes. Any economic slowdown or currency devaluation in core ASEAN markets poses a downside risk to these premium volume targets.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Honda at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Honda Motor Co. designs, manufactures, and distributes motorcycles, automobiles, and power products worldwide. The company operates through distinct operational divisions, optimizing large-scale internal combustion and hybrid technologies while managing an international network of manufacturing facilities. Sales are heavily distributed across North America, Asia, and domestic Japanese markets.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The motorcycle segment provides the structural foundation for Honda's corporate valuation due to its superior regional profitability and scale.

Motorcycle Market Dominance in Developing Economies

Honda maintains an unparalleled market share and massive installed base across India, Indonesia, and Brazil. This persistent volume leadership delivers high manufacturing absorption rates and reliable cash generation that offsets the cyclicality of the automotive division.

Strong Hybrid Automobile Mix and Brand Loyalty

The corporate reputation for powertrain reliability allows Honda to capture high-margin market share within the global hybrid vehicle landscape. This hybrid traction sustains automotive operations without requiring excessive consumer incentives.

KEY TRENDS

Global Automotive Electrification Cool Down

Slowing consumer adoption of pure electric vehicles and shifting regulatory timelines are forcing major global legacy automakers to extend the lifecycles of hybrid and high-efficiency internal combustion vehicle platforms.

Capital Discipline and Fixed Cost Rationalization

Honda is aggressively adjusting its structural cost base by cutting underutilized EV production plans, implementing company-wide structural efficiency goals, and executing flexible assembly processes to protect future free cash flow.