Goldman Sachs (GS) Last Update 4/15/26
Related: BAC C UBS JPM
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Goldman Sachs
$709.49
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$946
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Goldman Sachs Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Global Markets (FICC Trading, Equity Trading, Securities Financing) constitute 65% of the Trefis price estimate for Goldman Sachs's stock.
  2. Asset & Wealth Management constitutes 18% of the Trefis price estimate for Goldman Sachs's stock.
  3. Investment Banking (M&A Advisory, Equity Underwriting & Debt Origination) constitutes 17% of the Trefis price estimate for Goldman Sachs's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 FY2026

Goldman Sachs reported net revenues of $17.23 billion for the first quarter of 2026, a 14% increase year-over-year and its second-highest quarterly revenue in history. Net earnings reached $5.63 billion with a diluted EPS of $17.55, surging 24% from the prior year and beating analyst estimates of $16.47. Performance was driven by record revenues in Global Banking and Markets, specifically a 27% jump in Equities and an 89% surge in Advisory fees, though FICC revenues declined 10% due to weaker interest rate products.

Note: Goldman Sachs's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 31, 2026.

Record Equities and Advisory Performance

The firm achieved record quarterly revenues in Global Banking and Markets of $12.74 billion. This was propelled by a massive rebound in M&A activity where Goldman maintained its #1 global ranking, and record Equities revenue of $5.33 billion driven by prime financing and cash intermediation. Despite the strong beat, the stock initially dipped as investors weighed higher operating expenses, which rose 14% to $10.43 billion, and a drop in fixed-income trading revenue.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Goldman Sachs's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Global Banking and Markets


  • Investment Banking Fees: Advisory fees nearly doubled year-over-year to $1.49 billion in Q1 2026. If the recovery in corporate deal-making and IPOs continues at this pace, there is significant upside to Trefis revenue estimates for the investment banking division.

  • Equities Financing: Prime financing led Equities to a record $5.33 billion. Increased hedge fund activity and leverage utilization present an upside scenario, though a market-wide deleveraging event remains a primary downside risk to these high-margin fee streams.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Goldman Sachs at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Goldman Sachs is a leading global investment banking, securities, and investment management firm that provides a wide range of financial services to a substantial and diversified client base that includes corporations, financial institutions, governments, and individuals.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Global Banking and Markets segment remains the most critical driver of valuation due to its peer-leading margins and dominant market share in capital markets activity.

Dominant M&A Advisory Franchise

Goldman Sachs consistently holds the top spot for announced and completed M&A globally. This dominance creates a self-reinforcing cycle where the firm is the first call for complex, large-scale transactions, ensuring high-margin fee income that outpaces competitors during market upswings.

Scale in Wealth and Asset Management

The firm has successfully pivoted toward more durable, fee-based revenue with $3.1 trillion in assets under supervision. This scale provides a buffer against the volatility of trading desk results and improves the firm's overall valuation multiple.

KEY TRENDS

Rebound in Capital Markets Activity

After a period of stagnation, the Q1 2026 results confirm a robust recovery in global capital markets. Goldman is capturing a disproportionate share of this rebound through its advisory and underwriting businesses as corporate clients move to execute on pent-up M&A demand.

Growth in Alternative Investments

Goldman is aggressively scaling its alternative investment platform, which now manages $428 billion. By focusing on private credit and private equity, the firm is tapping into higher-yield fee structures that offer better long-term growth prospects than traditional asset classes.

Focus on Operational Efficiency

Despite a recent rise in compensation tied to performance, management is focused on controlling non-compensation expenses. The firm's efficiency ratio improved to 60.5% in Q1 2026, reflecting a strategic shift to leverage technology and streamline its remaining consumer-facing operations.