Gap Inc. (GAP) Last Update 7/20/26
Related: AEO ANF TPR NKE
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Gap Inc.
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Old Navy Stores
58.3%
$18.26
Gap Stores
22.3%
$6.98
Athleta Stores
7.6%
$2.37
Other Stores
0.4%
$0.11
Net Debt
23.0% $7.20
TOTAL
100%
$31.33
$24.13
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$19.01
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Gap Inc. Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Old Navy Stores constitute 58% of the Trefis price estimate for Gap Inc.'s stock.
  2. Gap Stores constitute 22% of the Trefis price estimate for Gap Inc.'s stock.
  3. Banana Republic Stores constitute 12% of the Trefis price estimate for Gap Inc.'s stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Q1 2026 Snapshot

The Gap, Inc. reported mixed Q1 2026 results, beating gross margin expectations and raising its full-year EPS outlook. Net sales edged up 1% year over year to $3.50 billion, matching consensus, with comparable sales up 2%. Adjusted diluted EPS fell to $0.38 due to a 200 basis point tariff headwind, but unadjusted GAAP EPS jumped to $0.90 on a $313 million legal settlement gain. Performance was fragmented: the Gap brand rose 10% and Old Navy ticked up 1%, while Banana Republic dropped 11%. Gross margin fell 130 basis points to 40.5% on tariff costs, with ending inventory flat.

Note: Gap's FY'25 ended on January 31, 2026. Q1'26 refers to the quarter that ended on May 2, 2026.

FY'26 Outlook

The retailer expects full year net sales growth of 1% to 2% ($15.5 billion to $15.7 billion), down from its prior forecast of 2% to 3%. It targets flat to slightly up gross margins and an adjusted operating margin of 7.3% to 7.5%. Gap raised its adjusted diluted EPS guidance to a range of $2.30 to $2.40—up 8% to 12% year over year—against the $2.33 consensus. Full year reported GAAP EPS is projected at $2.83 to $2.93, reflecting a $313 million legal settlement gain. Full year capital expenditures are estimated at approximately $650 million.

For Q2 2026, Gap forecasts net sales to be flat to down 1%, with gross margin flat to down 50 basis points, and SG&A expenses expected to deleverage 110 to 120 basis points due to growth investments

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Gap is a global specialty retailer offering clothing, accessories, and personal care products for men, women, and children. It markets its products under the Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, Athleta, GapKids, babyGap, and Intermix brands.

Gap Inc. operates four distinct brands targeting different customer segments: Old Navy, which focuses on value-driven, fashion-conscious families; Gap, aimed at young adults seeking casual, modern essentials; Banana Republic, positioned toward more affluent and relatively older customers with a premium aesthetic; and Athleta, which caters to active, wellness-focused women with an emphasis on performance and lifestyle apparel.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Gap Inc.'s value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Old Navy Segment

  • Revenue Growth: Old Navy remains the largest contributor to revenue. A sustained recovery in traffic and conversion could drive mid single digit growth, above current expectations, providing upside. However, continued weakness in lower income consumer demand could pressure sales.
  • Operating Margin Expansion: Margin improvement through reduced discounting and better sourcing could lift profitability. If margins revert to pre inflation levels, valuation could see meaningful upside; failure to sustain pricing discipline would limit gains.

Gap Brand and Athleta

  • Brand Turnaround Execution: Gap brand is undergoing repositioning. Successful product refresh and marketing could stabilize sales declines, while execution missteps may weigh on performance.
  • Athleta Performance: Athleta has faced slowing demand. A return to growth through product innovation and brand clarity could support the overall revenue mix, while continued stagnation would drag consolidated results.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Gap Inc. at the top of the page.

SOURCES OF VALUE

Old Navy is the single largest contributor to Gap Inc.'s valuation, driven by scale and mass market positioning.

Scale in Value Apparel Segment

Old Navy benefits from a broad demographic reach and price competitiveness, allowing it to capture a significant share in the value apparel category.

Improving Merchandise Margins

Recent focus on inventory discipline and reduced promotions has supported gross margin recovery, which is critical for overall profitability.

Omnichannel Capabilities

The company's integrated store and digital platform support convenience and customer retention, enhancing long term revenue stability.

KEY TRENDS

Consumer Spending Environment

Macroeconomic pressure on discretionary spending continues to impact apparel demand, particularly among lower-income consumers, affecting traffic and conversion rates.

Operational Efficiency Focus

Gap Inc. is prioritizing cost control, supply chain efficiency, and inventory optimization to protect margins amid volatile demand.

Brand Rationalization and Portfolio Focus

The company is sharpening its focus on core brands and reducing complexity, aiming to drive a clearer brand identity and improved execution.