eBay (EBAY) Last Update 6/23/26
Related: GOOG AMZN AKAM VRSN
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
eBay
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
eBay Revenues
100.0%
$107
Net Debt
2.5% $3
TOTAL
100%
$107
$101.79
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$112
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

eBay Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. eBay Revenues constitute 100% of the Trefis price estimate for eBay's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 FY'26

eBay reported Q1 FY'26 revenue of $3.1 billion, representing a 19% increase on an as-reported basis. Non-GAAP earnings per share rose 21% to $1.66. This strong performance was primarily driven by accelerated Gross Merchandise Volume growth to $22.2 billion, alongside robust momentum in Focus Categories, consumer-to-consumer sales, and a 33% surge in first-party advertising revenue.

Note: eBay's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 31, 2026.

Depop Acquisition

In February 2026, eBay announced a definitive agreement to acquire Depop for approximately $1.2 billion in cash from Etsy. This strategic acquisition is expected to significantly bolster eBay's position in the rapidly growing recommerce and fashion resale markets, appealing to younger demographics and further expanding its consumer-to-consumer ecosystem.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of eBay's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Marketplace

  • Gross Merchandise Volume: eBay's marketplace relies heavily on total volume. If the integration of Depop and AI seller tools accelerates GMV growth beyond our baseline Trefis estimate, there is clear upside potential. Conversely, sustained macroeconomic pressure on discretionary spending could suppress transaction volumes and present a downside risk.
  • Advertising Take Rate: First-party advertising revenue grew significantly, reaching $555 million in the recent quarter. If seller adoption of Promoted Listings continues to exceed our current estimates, this high-margin revenue stream could drive stronger overall profitability and upside to our valuation.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for eBay at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

eBay operates a global e-commerce marketplace that connects millions of buyers and sellers, generating revenue primarily through transaction fees, payment processing, and an expanding suite of first-party advertising products.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The core marketplace platform remains the foundational source of value for eBay, serving as a highly profitable intermediary for global trade.

Network Effects and Installed Base

eBay benefits from a massive global scale, with 136 million trailing twelve-month active buyers. This immense and highly engaged user base creates a powerful, self-sustaining network effect that consistently attracts new sellers and inventory, making it extremely difficult for new entrants to replicate the platform's liquidity.

Asset-Light Operating Model

Unlike traditional e-commerce competitors that manage massive logistics networks and warehouses, eBay operates an asset-light model without holding direct inventory. This structure results in robust free cash flow generation and impressive non-GAAP operating margins near 29%, providing the company with significant financial flexibility.

KEY TRENDS

AI-Driven Commerce

Generative AI is transforming the e-commerce landscape. eBay is successfully positioning itself by deploying AI-powered tools like Magical Listing, which generated over 500 million listings, reducing friction for sellers while improving search and discovery for buyers, ultimately driving higher conversion rates.

Strategic Recommerce Focus

The company is strategically pivoting toward the circular economy by emphasizing its focus categories and consumer-to-consumer segments. With the acquisition of Depop and double-digit growth in recommerce GMV, eBay is capturing the increasing consumer demand for sustainable, secondhand, and refurbished goods.

Aggressive Capital Return

eBay has maintained a strategy of returning significant value to shareholders. In the latest quarter alone, the company returned $639 million to stockholders, including $500 million in share repurchases. This consistent buyback activity helps support EPS growth and signals management's confidence in long-term cash flow sustainability.