Disney (DIS) Last Update 11/19/25
Related: NYT NFLX SIRI NWSA
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Disney
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Experiences
46.3%
$72
Entertainment
33.3%
$51
Sports
20.3%
$31
Net Debt
13.2% $20
TOTAL
100%
$154
$133.98
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$105
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Disney Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Experiences constitutes 46% of the Trefis price estimate for Disney's stock.
  2. Entertainment constitutes 33% of the Trefis price estimate for Disney's stock.
  3. Sports constitute 20% of the Trefis price estimate for Disney's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Disney's Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings

Disney posted a mixed set of Q4 2025 results as continued declines in its linear TV segment offset the strength in the theme parks and streaming businesses. Revenue came in at $22.5 billion, while adjusted EPS was $1.11, slightly down from $1.14 in the prior year.

Note: Q4 FY'25 ended September 27, 2025.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

The drivers mentioned below are some of the most important and sensitive drivers of Disney's value.

  • Experiences Revenue: Disney's Experiences revenues rose from $28.1 billion in FY'22 to about $36 billion in FY'25, as attendance and average visitor spending at the company's U.S and international parks soared. Trefis expects the metric to grow to about $46 billion by 2032. However, if sales only grow to about $38 billion, our price estimate could see a 10% downside.

For additional details, select a driver above or a division from the interactive Trefis split for Disney at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Disney is a diversified media company and makes money through several businesses, including cable networks, broadcasting networks, theme parks & hotels, filmed entertainment, and consumer products. The company has also recently added a direct-to-consumer business to its portfolio.

Its cable networks include ESPN, the Disney Channel, ABC Family, and others. Disney's broadcasting arm, ABC Network, is one of the biggest in the U.S. and has a wide viewership.

Besides TV networks, Disney boasts several theme parks and resorts that attract millions of visitors annually. Furthermore, the company leverages its famous characters and brands to sell various merchandise. Its Filmed Entertainment unit produces and distributes movies under the Disney Studios brand.

SOURCES OF VALUE

We believe that Disney's Experiences business is its most valuable business, given its high revenue base and stronger growth, particularly post-COVID-19 era.

KEY TRENDS

Disney's pivot to streaming

Disney doubled down on the streaming space with the launch of its Disney+ offering in late 2019. While competition in the streaming market is intense, Disney's deep library of legacy content and popular franchises such as Star Wars, Pixar, and Marvel could give it an edge over rivals. Disney is also investing heavily in content specific to its streaming businesses. The business turned profitable over the last quarter of FY'24, and it could provide Disney with recurring profits in the future as it builds scale. At the end of Q4 2025, the company had 196 million Disney+ and Hulu subscriptions.

Increasing Pay TV Competition

Increasing competition among pay-TV providers, such as Comcast, Time Warner, DirecTV, AT&T, and Verizon, is favorable for media companies, including Disney, which can gain negotiating power in discussions regarding the pricing of subscription fees for their programming content.

Increasing Sports Programming Costs

ESPN increases its fee per subscriber every year, owing to a rise in sports programming costs, which have become a cause of worry for pay-TV service providers. Some of them are considering dropping ESPN from lower-priced programming packages.

Online Licensing & Broadcast Advertising

With the growth of online streaming companies such as Netflix, which monetize older content primarily, licensing opportunities have expanded for media companies. However, given a decline in traditional television viewership, ratings are hit hard, resulting in lower advertising revenues for most media companies. So far, licensing revenue growth has not completely offset the declines seen on the advertising front. Having said that, broadcasting networks such as FOX, CBS, NBC, and ABC have been able to contain the advertising decline due to their exposure to sports programming, which garners very high viewership and better ad pricing.