Disney (DIS) Last Update 8/10/26
Related: NYT NFLX SIRI NWSA
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Disney
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Experiences
46.8%
$74
Entertainment
34.7%
$55
Sports
18.5%
$29
Net Debt
15.0% $24
TOTAL
100%
$158
$134.08
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$101
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Disney Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Experiences constitutes 47% of the Trefis price estimate for Disney's stock.
  2. Entertainment constitutes 35% of the Trefis price estimate for Disney's stock.
  3. Sports constitute 18% of the Trefis price estimate for Disney's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q3 FY'26

Disney reported Q3 FY'26 revenue of $25.25 billion, representing a 7% increase year-over-year, driven by strong growth in the Experiences segment and sustained margin expansion in streaming. Adjusted EPS rose 28% year-over-year to $2.06, outperforming consensus estimates as direct-to-consumer streaming operating profitability more than doubled.

Note: Disney's FY'25 ended on September 27, 2025. Q3 FY'26 ended on June 27, 2026.

SVOD Profitability Expansion and Share Repurchase Acceleration

Disney significantly expanded operating margins across its direct-to-consumer streaming operations through price adjustments, ad-tier expansion, and subscriber gains. Supported by robust free cash flow generation, management raised its fiscal 2026 share repurchase target to at least $9 billion while continuing targeted investments in theme park expansion and core content franchises.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Disney's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Experiences


  • Parks Per-Capita Spending: Domestic and international theme parks continue to generate strong operating income growth, with segment operating income rising 20% year-over-year to $3.02 billion. If per-capita visitor spending and hotel yields outperform Trefis estimates by 3%, it could drive further upside to division operating margins.

  • Cruise Line Fleet Expansion: Expanding passenger capacity through new ship launches through 2026 and 2027 provides a major multi-year revenue growth pillar. Higher occupancy rates and yield realization present a key upside driver for international Experiences revenue.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Disney at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Disney operates as a diversified global entertainment enterprise organized into three primary business segments: Entertainment, Sports, and Experiences. The company generates revenue through theatrical distribution, linear television networks, direct-to-consumer streaming services, sports broadcast rights, theme parks and resorts, consumer products licensing, and cruise line operations.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Experiences division serves as Disney's most valuable segment due to its high-margin revenue model and unmatched physical monetization of intellectual property.

Unrivaled Intellectual Property Ecosystem

Disney owns some of the world's most valuable media franchises, including Disney Animation, Pixar, Marvel, Star Wars, and Avatar. This library drives a multi-tiered monetization flywheel across theatrical releases, streaming content, theme park attractions, and consumer merchandise.

High-Margin Experiences Moat

The theme parks, resorts, and cruise line operations benefit from high barriers to entry, strong brand loyalty, and substantial pricing power. Physical assets and immersive experiences create an irreplaceable consumer connection that generates recurring cash flows across economic cycles.

KEY TRENDS

Shift to Direct-to-Consumer Streaming Profitability

The media industry transition from legacy linear television to digital streaming requires media companies to prioritize bottom-line profitability over pure subscriber volume. Disney is leveraging ad-supported subscription tiers, anti-password sharing measures, and bundled offerings to maximize average revenue per user.

Capital Allocation and Content Efficiency

Disney continues to focus on disciplined capital deployment, moderating overall content spend while prioritizing high-ROI franchise titles and sports rights. Cost-efficiency initiatives and margin discipline across both Entertainment and Corporate functions support expanded free cash flow generation and share repurchases.