Deutsche Bank (DB) Last Update 8/21/25
Related: BAC C GS UBS
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Deutsche Bank
$29.42
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$36.03
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Deutsche Bank Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Sales and Trading constitutes 36% of the Trefis price estimate for Deutsche Bank's stock.
  2. Corporate Bank constitutes 31% of the Trefis price estimate for Deutsche Bank's stock.
  3. Private Bank constitutes 16% of the Trefis price estimate for Deutsche Bank's stock.

Latest Earnings Q1'25

Deutsche Bank reported better-than-expected Q2 2025 earnings. Net profit attributable to shareholders stood at €1.485 billion ($1.75 billion) in the quarter. Profit growth was driven by a stronger performance of the investment banking business and lower costs.

Strengthening core business

Deutsche Bank has been strengthening its core businesses, including corporate banking, financing, foreign exchange, origination and advisory, private banking, and asset management. The bank has also emphasized growth in the fixed-income space, particularly in the Americas.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Deutsche Bank's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate for Deutsche Bank:

Sales & Trading

  • Yield on FICC Trading Securities: Deutsche Bank's yield on fixed-income securities stood at 7.5% in 2022 and declined to about 6.4% in 2024. While we forecast the yield to remain around the current levels over our forecast period, if it falls by even a single percentage point by the end of the Trefis forecast period, it would mean a downside of around 5% to our price estimate.
  • Investment Banking Operating Margin: Deutsche Bank's investment banking operating margin was around 32% in 2024. We expect margins to remain roughly flat going forward. However, if the margin is reduced to 27% by the end of the Trefis forecast period, then this would represent a downside of 4% to the Trefis price estimate.

For additional details, select a driver above or select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Deutsche Bank at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Deutsche Bank is a leading global investment bank headquartered in Frankfurt, Germany. The largest banking group in Germany and one of the largest banks in the world, Deutsche Bank offers financial products and services to corporations, governments, financial institutions, and private and business clients in 70 countries. Besides Germany and Western Europe, Deutsche Bank's growth over the years has come from the U.S. and key emerging markets in Asia.

SOURCES OF VALUE

Significant asset base, high yields, and strong operating margins make FICC Trading the most valuable division for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank has roughly $120 billion in debt capital for trading fixed-income securities with a yield of around 7.5%. That said, investment banking margins have been depressed over recent years due to sizable one-time expenses. This is why FICC trading is one of the largest sources of value for Deutsche Bank.

KEY TRENDS

Recovery in interest rates

The European Central Bank (ECB) increased interest rates in 2022 in response to the high inflation numbers, and rates have been trending higher versus pandemic levels.

High interest rates would make it expensive for people to borrow money. While this would likely hurt loan growth, an improvement in interest rates would benefit the bank's net interest margin.

Increasing demand for investment banking services in emerging markets

With the GDP and per capita income of emerging markets growing rapidly, there is an increasing demand for capital from companies in these markets to support the growing purchasing power of the people. Also, with the integration of these markets with the global economy, there is a shifting trend in these countries from family-run businesses to corporations. As a result of these factors, an increasing number of companies in these markets are going public, leading to a growing demand for equity underwriting services. Additionally, consolidation across different sectors is driving demand for M&A advisory services.