Delta Air Lines (DAL) Last Update 7/16/26
Related: LUV UAL UNP JBLU
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Delta Air Lines
STOCK PRICE
DIVISION
% of STOCK PRICE
Passenger
43.3%
$55
Cargo
6.0%
$8
Net Debt
17.2% $22
TOTAL
100%
$127
$105.30
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$91.34
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
loading revenue data...
loading ebitda data...
loading cash flow data...

RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Delta Air Lines Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Other Businesses constitute 51% of the Trefis price estimate for Delta Air Lines's stock.
  2. Passenger constitutes 43% of the Trefis price estimate for Delta Air Lines's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q2 FY'26

Delta Air Lines delivered a record performance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, reporting total operating revenue of $19.8 billion. On an adjusted basis, total revenue grew 14% year-over-year to a record $17.7 billion. Despite experiencing the highest quarterly fuel expense in its history at $4.4 billion, Delta delivered solid adjusted EPS of $1.56, which declined 26% from $2.12 in the prior-year period but beat analysts' estimates of $1.48 to $1.51. Top-line growth was primarily driven by robust premium ticket sales, a 16% increase in American Express remuneration, and international route strength.

Note: Delta Air Lines's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q2 FY'26 ended on June 30, 2026.

Favorable Industry Realignment Supports Pricing Power

Delta capitalized on structural shifts in the domestic market, highlighted by reduced fare-undercutting influence from ultra-low-cost carriers following major sector contractions, including Spirit Airlines ceasing operations. This consolidated competitive landscape has allowed Delta to comfortably implement fare increases of 15% to 20%, helping recover a substantial portion of elevated jet fuel costs.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Delta Air Lines's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Passenger Revenue


  • Premium Cabin and Corporate Travel Monetization: High-margin premium travel sales significantly increased by 17% year-over-year, while corporate ticket demand remains highly resilient. Continued expansion of premium seating configurations across Delta's fleet provides substantial upside potential to passenger yield and operating margins.

  • Volatile Fuel Costs and Refining Margin Pressure: Volatility in crude prices and regional refining spreads remains a major risk, with average fuel costs climbing to $3.93 per gallon during the quarter. Prolonged spikes in global jet fuel prices represent a key downside scenario that could compress cash flows and hinder debt reduction goals.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Delta Air Lines at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Delta Air Lines is a leading global network carrier providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo throughout the United States and around the world, utilizing a hub-and-spoke model optimized for premium travelers.

SOURCES OF VALUE

Passenger Revenue represents Delta's largest and most crucial source of value, specifically bolstered by its leadership in the premium travel segment and its highly lucrative commercial partnerships.

Industry-Leading Premium Segment Dominance

Delta has successfully shifted its cabin mix to prioritize premium services like Delta One, Delta Premium Select, and First Class, driving higher average fares and shielding the carrier from discounting pressures that impact budget airlines.

High-Margin American Express Partnership

The airline's exclusive co-branded credit card agreement with American Express generates high-margin, predictable royalty stream cash flows, with remuneration growing 16% to $2.4 billion in the June quarter.

KEY TRENDS

Sustained Premium and International Travel Demand

Global consumer spending patterns continue to strongly favor high-end leisure experiences and international tourism, sustaining high passenger load factors and strong transatlantic and Latin American flight yields.

Capacity Discipline and Fleet Modernization

Delta is maintaining disciplined capacity growth of approximately 1% while aggressively replacing older, less-efficient aircraft with next-generation narrowbodies and widebodies to improve fuel burn and lower maintenance overhead.

Deleveraging and Balance Sheet Strengthening

Management remains committed to reducing long-term obligations, successfully lowering its adjusted net debt to $13.6 billion as it targets a gross leverage ratio of approximately 2x to achieve investment-grade credit metrics.