Salesforce (CRM) Last Update 6/23/26
Related: MSFT ADBE ORCL SAP
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Salesforce
$263.29
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$158
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
loading revenue data...
loading ebitda data...
loading cash flow data...

TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
  1. Download Trefis Report

RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Salesforce Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Cloud Based CRM Software constitutes 58% of the Trefis price estimate for Salesforce's stock.
  2. Cloud Software constitutes 41% of the Trefis price estimate for Salesforce's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 FY'27

Salesforce reported strong first-quarter fiscal 2027 financial results, delivering total revenue of $11.13 billion, representing a 13% year-over-year increase. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share surged 50% to $3.88, significantly beating market expectations. The primary operational drivers behind this performance were record demand for the autonomous AI platform Agentforce, expanded enterprise data adoption via Data Cloud, robust subscription growth across core service clouds, and accretive contributions from the Informatica Cloud integration.

Note: Salesforce.com's FY'26 ended on January 31, 2026. Q1 FY'27 ended on April 30, 2026.

Agentforce Annual Recurring Revenue Surpasses $1.2 Billion

During the first quarter, Salesforce achieved a major operational milestone as its autonomous artificial intelligence platform, Agentforce, crossed $1.2 billion in annual recurring revenue, scaling at 205% year-over-year. When combined with Data Cloud and the newly integrated Informatica architecture, the company's annualized AI and data subscription run-rate reached $3.4 billion. This successful product rollout validates Salesforce's strategic pivot from a seat-based software licensing dependency toward a high-margin, consumption-based digital labor ecosystem.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Salesforce.com's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Salesforce Platform and Data Cloud


  • Autonomous AI and Data Run-Rate: Agentforce and Data Cloud adoption is scaling much faster than anticipated, with annualized recurring revenue reaching $3.4 billion in Q1 FY'27. Our baseline Trefis estimate projects this segment's growth to moderate to 18% annually over the forecast period. However, if enterprise consumption of autonomous agentic work units continues to expand at its current triple-digit pace across existing accounts, segment revenues could exceed our baseline estimate by $2.5 billion by fiscal 2028, representing a substantial upside scenario for our price estimate.

  • Operating Margin Expansion: Disciplined cost optimization and high-margin product expansion propelled non-GAAP operating margins to a record 34.8% in the recent quarter. Our current Trefis model assumes a normalized operating margin of 31.5% for the full fiscal year as the company absorbs integration costs. If Salesforce can maintain operating margins above 34% through disciplined headcount management and automated internal workflows, annualized free cash flow will outperform our forecast, generating a notable upside valuation scenario.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Salesforce.com at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Salesforce.com operates as a global leader in enterprise cloud computing, providing a comprehensive suite of customer relationship management software applications focused on sales, service, marketing, commerce, and data analytics. The company operates predominantly on a Software-as-a-Service business model, generating predictable, recurring subscription revenue while enabling organizations to connect with their customers through integrated artificial intelligence, automated digital workflows, and real-time data harmonization.

SOURCES OF VALUE

Salesforce Platform and Data Cloud represents the most valuable segment of the business due to its essential role as the underlying digital fabric that connects disparate enterprise data with customized artificial intelligence applications.

Massive Enterprise Installed Base

Salesforce commands the dominant global market share in customer relationship management software, serving hundreds of thousands of enterprise and mid-market organizations. This deeply embedded customer footprint creates immense switching costs, as transitioning core sales pipelines and customer service databases to a competitor introduces prohibitive operational risks and business disruption. Furthermore, this massive installed base serves as a zero-acquisition-cost distribution channel for cross-selling advanced modules like Agentforce and Slack.

The Customer 360 Ecosystem Moat

The company's competitive moat is reinforced by its tightly integrated product architecture, known as Customer 360, which bridges front-office applications with Tableau analytics and MuleSoft API integrations. As enterprise clients ingest more proprietary operational data into Data Cloud to train their custom AI models, their structural reliance on the Salesforce ecosystem compounds. This high customer stickiness secures exceptional net retention rates, protects gross margins, and insulates the platform from macroeconomic software budget compression.

KEY TRENDS

Enterprise Transition to Autonomous AI Agents

The broader software industry is undergoing a generational macro shift away from passive, copilot-style digital assistants toward autonomous AI agents capable of executing multi-step enterprise tasks without human intervention. Salesforce has positioned itself as the definitive leader in this category with Agentforce, addressing initial market concerns regarding the potential degradation of per-seat software licensing models. By charging based on consumption metrics like agentic work units, Salesforce captures direct financial upside as enterprise automation accelerates.

Aggressive Capital Returns and Efficiency Pivot

Following a period of rapid acquisitive expansion, management has successfully executed a decisive operational pivot toward stringent cost discipline and shareholder value return. This strategy is highlighted by management entering into an accelerated $25 billion share repurchase program designed to contract diluted share count by 10% year-over-year. By stabilizing operating expenditures and prioritizing margin expansion over growth-at-all-costs, Salesforce has insulated its valuation multiple against fluctuations in interest rates while generating superior free cash flow yields.