Bank of New York Mellon (BK) Last Update 4/27/26
Related: BAC C GS UBS
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Bank of New York Mellon
$112.63
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$132
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Bank of New York Mellon Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Market and Wealth Services constitute 47% of the Trefis price estimate for Bank of New York Mellon's stock.
  2. Securities Services constitute 44% of the Trefis price estimate for Bank of New York Mellon's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 Fiscal Year 2026

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. reported record quarterly revenue of $5.41 billion for the first quarter of 2026, a 13% increase over the prior year. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) surged 42% year-over-year to $2.24, significantly exceeding market expectations. Financial performance was driven by 800 basis points of positive operating leverage, higher net interest income from securities reinvestment at elevated yields, and robust fee revenue growth across the Securities Services and Market and Wealth Services segments.

Note: The Bank of New York Mellon Corp.'s FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 31, 2026.

New $10 Billion Share Repurchase Authorization

Following the strong Q1 2026 results, the Board of Directors authorized a new $10 billion share repurchase program. This move underscores the company's significant capital flexibility and its ongoing commitment to returning value to shareholders. Alongside the buyback, the bank maintained its quarterly common stock dividend, supported by a record return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 29.3% and a high pre-tax operating margin of 37%.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of The Bank of New York Mellon Corp.'s value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Securities Services and Asset Servicing


  • Assets Under Custody and Administration (AUC/A): AUC/A grew 12% year-over-year to a preliminary $59.4 trillion in Q1 2026. If market valuations remain elevated and client inflows continue at the current record pace, there is significant upside to servicing fee revenue beyond the current Trefis base case.

  • Net Interest Income (NII) Sensitivity: Q1 NII rose 18% to $1.37 billion due to higher yields on reinvested securities. However, if the Federal Reserve pivots to aggressive rate cuts in the second half of 2026, the bank could see compression in deposit margins, presenting a downside risk to net interest margins.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. is a global financial services company that provides investment management and investment services, including asset servicing, issuer services, clearing, and treasury services, to institutional and individual investors across 35 countries.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Securities Services segment remains the largest source of value for the bank due to its massive scale and critical role in global financial infrastructure.

Global Custody Dominance

With nearly $60 trillion in AUC/A, BNY Mellon operates as the world's largest custodian. This massive installed base creates high switching costs for institutional clients and provides a steady stream of recurring fee revenue that is less volatile than traditional investment banking activities.

Scalable Market and Wealth Infrastructure

The Market and Wealth Services division delivers high-margin returns, with a pre-tax margin expanding to 51% in Q1 2026. This segment benefits from a deep ecosystem in clearance, collateral management, and treasury services, where technological leadership and scale provide a significant competitive moat.

KEY TRENDS

Artificial Intelligence and Operational Efficiency

The bank is aggressively integrating AI to drive positive operating leverage, which reached over 800 basis points in the latest quarter. Management is focusing on AI-driven data management and fraud detection to lower non-interest expenses while improving the speed of settlement cycles.

Expansion into Digital Assets and Fintech Bridge

BNY Mellon is increasingly positioning itself as a bridge between traditional finance and digital assets. Strategic wins, such as onboarding Singapore Gulf Bank, highlight the company's shift toward providing custodial and brokerage infrastructure for the burgeoning digital asset market.

Aggressive Capital Returns Strategy

There is a clear strategic shift toward returning a higher percentage of earnings to shareholders. The combination of a $10 billion buyback authorization and high ROTCE suggests that capital return will be a primary driver of the stock's total return profile through 2026.