Barclays (BCS) Last Update 8/20/25
Related: BAC C GS UBS
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Barclays
$16.92
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$23.40
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Barclays Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Barclays UK constitutes 48% of the Trefis price estimate for Barclays's stock.
  2. Investment Bank (US Consumer Bank, Advisory & Underwriting, Sales & Trading, Transaction Banking) constitutes 46% of the Trefis price estimate for Barclays's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings Q2'25

Barclays posted a better-than-expected set of Q2 2025 results. Pre-tax profit came in ahead of estimates at £2.5 billion ($3.34 billion). The earnings beat was driven by higher market volatility, which boosted trading income.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Barclays' value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate for Barclays:

Sales & Trading

  • Yield on Fixed-Income Trading Securities: Barclays' yield on fixed-income securities averaged around 5.4% at the end of 2021 as the revenues declined, but debt trading securities remained upbeat. The figure was around 8.3% in 2022 and 5.5% in 2023. The metric fell to 5.1% in 2024. We forecast the yield to decrease to 5% by the end of our forecast period. However, if it rises to about 6.5%, it would mean an upside of 7% to our price estimate.
  • Investment Banking Operating Margin: Barclays' investment banking operations division's operating margin stood at around 32% in 2020 and rose to about 44.5% in 2021. The metric declined to 32% in 2024. We anticipate the long-term margins to decline to around 30% over the Trefis forecast period.

For additional details, select a driver above or select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Barclays at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Barclays is a London-based global money center bank that provides consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions with a broad range of financial products and services, including consumer banking, credit cards, corporate and investment banking, securities brokerage, and wealth management. It is the leader in debt issuance in Europe. It has a strong presence in the U.K. retail and commercial banking industries. Over recent years, it has refocused most of its efforts on providing diversified banking services in the U.K., the U.S., Germany, and southern Europe.

KEY TRENDS

Increasing demand for investment banking services in emerging markets

With the GDP and per capita income of emerging markets growing rapidly, there is an increasing demand for capital from companies in these markets to support the growing purchasing power of the people. Also, with the integration of these markets with the global economy, there is a shifting trend in these countries from family-run businesses to corporations. As a result of these factors, an increasing number of companies in these markets are going public, leading to a growing demand for equity underwriting services. Additionally, consolidation across different sectors is driving demand for M&A advisory services.