Boeing (BA) Last Update 7/8/26
Related: CAT LMT GLW GE
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Boeing
$259.99
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$216
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Boeing Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Commercial Airplanes constitute 53% of the Trefis price estimate for Boeing's stock.
  2. Global Services constitute 29% of the Trefis price estimate for Boeing's stock.
  3. Defense, Space & Security Systems constitute 18% of the Trefis price estimate for Boeing's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 Fiscal Year 2026

Boeing recorded total revenue of $22.2 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a 14% increase year-over-year. The company reported a GAAP diluted loss per share of $0.11 and a non-GAAP core loss per share of $0.20, beating analyst consensus expectations. These financial results were primarily driven by higher commercial delivery volume, improved operational performance across segments, and favorable order timing.

Note: Boeing's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY'26 ended on March 31, 2026.

Reintegration of Key Fuselage Supplier Spirit AeroSystems

Boeing finalized its $4.7 billion acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems, bringing the primary manufacturer of 737 MAX jetliner fuselages back in-house. This strategic pivot reverses a long-standing outsourcing strategy to give the planemaker direct operational control over its manufacturing chain, with the explicit goal of improving factory quality control, safety protocols, and supply chain stability under its unified management system.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Boeing's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Commercial Airplanes


  • 737 MAX Production Acceleration: Monthly production rates stabilized at 42 aircraft with regulatory approval secured to expand toward 47 jets. Trefis models steady volume gains, but faster output offers an upside scenario to our revenue estimates.

  • Delivery Margins Inflection: Segment revenue rose 13% to $9.2 billion as deliveries reached 143 airplanes, narrowing the operating margin to negative 6.1%. A sustained reduction in final assembly rework hours remains a critical driver for achieving positive cash flows.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Boeing at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Boeing operates as a premier global aerospace company that designs, manufactures, and services commercial airplanes, defense platforms, manned spacecraft, and security systems for global commercial and government clients.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Commercial Airplanes segment represents Boeing's most valuable source of long-term valuation due to its massive delivery backlog and its entrenched position in the global commercial aviation duopoly.

Unprecedented Commercial Airplane Backlog

Boeing boasts a record total company backlog of approximately $695 billion, which includes over 6,100 commercial airplanes, providing the company with an incredibly stable and highly visible long-term revenue pipeline.

Entrenched Defense and Global Services Footprint

The Defense, Space and Security unit alongside Global Services provides highly reliable cash flows through long-term government contracts and massive multi-year lifecycle commercial agreements, such as major landing gear exchange programs.

KEY TRENDS

Global Fleet Modernization Demand

Air carriers worldwide continue to experience strong secular demand for next-generation narrowbody and widebody passenger jets to replace aging fleets, minimize carbon emissions, and enhance fuel efficiency.

Manufacturing Quality Realignment

Management is executing an aggressive operational shift toward insourcing and structural simplification, absorbing key components like aerostructures to resolve legacy production bottlenecks and build regulatory trust.