Barrick Mining (B) Last Update 5/12/26
Related: NEM WPM
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Barrick Mining
$56.95
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$45.85
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Barrick Mining Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. North American Gold Mines (Barrick Nevada, Pueblo Viejo Mine, Dominican Republic) constitute 59% of the Trefis price estimate for Barrick Mining's stock.
  2. Other Gold Mines constitute 16% of the Trefis price estimate for Barrick Mining's stock.
  3. Copper Mines constitute 15% of the Trefis price estimate for Barrick Mining's stock.

Plaintext

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q1 FY2026

Barrick Gold reported a significant beat for the first quarter of 2026, with revenue reaching $5.22 billion, a 67% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.98, surpassing analyst estimates of $0.80 and more than doubling the $0.35 reported in the prior-year period. Financial performance was driven by surging realized metal prices, with gold averaging $4,823 per ounce, and a 28% increase in realized copper prices to $5.79 per pound. Despite a 5.1% year-over-year decline in gold production to 719,000 ounces, higher margins were maintained as all-in sustaining costs (AISC) fell 3.8% to $1,708 per ounce.

Note: Barrick Gold's FY2025 ended on December 31, 2025. Q1 FY2026 ended on March 31, 2026.

Strategic IPO of North American Gold Assets

In April 2026, Barrick announced plans to launch an initial public offering (IPO) for a minority stake in a new entity, North American Barrick, targeted for completion by late 2026. This new vehicle will hold Barrick's interests in the Nevada Gold Mines and Pueblo Viejo, as well as the high-grade Fourmile project. The move is designed to highlight the value of Barrick's premier Tier One assets and provide a dedicated management team to accelerate growth in one of the world's most stable mining jurisdictions.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Barrick Gold's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Gold Mining Operations

  • Realized Gold Prices: With realized prices nearing $5,000 per ounce in early 2026, Barrick's margins have expanded rapidly. Every $100 change in the gold price significantly impacts free cash flow, which surged to $1.58 billion in Q1 2026. Upside depends on sustained geopolitical tension and central bank buying, while a hawkish shift in global monetary policy presents downside risk.
  • All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC): Barrick has successfully lowered gold AISC to $1,708 per ounce, well below industry averages. Continued cost discipline at Nevada Gold Mines and the expansion of Pueblo Viejo are critical to maintaining this advantage. If inflationary pressures on consumables or energy resurface, it could compress margins below Trefis estimates.

Copper Growth Segment

  • Copper Production Expansion: Barrick is aggressively pivoting toward copper, aiming for 1 million tonnes per annum by the 2030s. The Lumwana "Super Pit" and the Reko Diq project in Pakistan are the primary vehicles for this growth. Successful execution of these mega-projects represents a massive long-term upside, while jurisdictional risks in Pakistan remain a primary downside concern.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Barrick Gold at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Barrick Gold is one of the world's largest gold and copper producers, operating a portfolio of Tier One assets characterized by long mine lives and low production costs. The company focuses on high-margin operations in the Americas, Africa, and the Middle East, leveraging a disciplined capital allocation framework to fund organic growth and return value to shareholders via a performance-linked dividend policy.

SOURCES OF VALUE

Gold production remains the primary driver of Barrick's valuation, underpinned by the world-class Nevada Gold Mines joint venture.

Tier One Asset Concentration

Barrick's value is anchored by "Tier One" assets, defined as mines producing over 500,000 ounces of gold annually with at least 10 years of remaining life and costs in the lower half of the industry curve. This concentration ensures resilient cash flow even during periods of gold price volatility.

Strategic Copper Diversification

Unlike pure-play gold miners, Barrick's increasing exposure to copper provides a hedge against gold's cyclicality and aligns the company with the global energy transition. Copper now contributes roughly 20% of revenue, with a pipeline designed to double production over the next decade.

KEY TRENDS

Elevated Gold Price Environment

Gold prices have reached historic highs in 2026, driven by persistent inflation concerns and central bank diversification. Barrick is positioned to capture this upside through its high-grade reserves, which allow for significant free cash flow generation at current price levels.

Unlocking North American Asset Value

The planned IPO of North American gold assets represents a strategic shift toward surfacing the underlying value of the company's US and Dominican Republic holdings. This move aims to trade out the "jurisdictional discount" often applied to Barrick's diversified global portfolio.

Operational Efficiency Through Technology

Barrick is increasingly deploying autonomous hauling and underground mining technologies to of