Amazon (AMZN) Last Update 8/31/26
Related: EBAY GOOG AKAM VRSN
% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Amazon
$342.51
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$255
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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TREFIS Analysis


Trefis Report
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Amazon Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Amazon Web Services constitute 55% of the Trefis price estimate for Amazon's stock.
  2. Amazon North America constitutes 34% of the Trefis price estimate for Amazon's stock.
  3. Amazon International constitutes 11% of the Trefis price estimate for Amazon's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Q2 FY'26

Amazon reported net sales of $200.6 billion, representing an increase of 20% year-over-year. Diluted earnings per share rose to $5.75 from $1.68 in the prior-year quarter, primarily driven by a $53.4 billion pre-tax non-cash gain from the revaluation of its Anthropic investment, accelerating AWS revenue growth of 36.7% to $42.2 billion, and sustained momentum in high-margin advertising services.

Note: Amazon's FY'25 ended on December 31, 2025. Q2 FY'26 ended on June 30, 2026.

AWS Generative AI Acceleration and Custom Silicon Expansion

AWS accelerated to a $169 billion annualized revenue run rate, bolstered by widespread enterprise adoption of custom Trainium2 AI chips and Bedrock foundational model tooling, strengthening Amazon's enterprise cloud positioning amid surging demand for scalable AI inferencing and training infrastructure.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Amazon's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Amazon Web Services (AWS)

  • Cloud Infrastructure Market Share and Margin Expansion: AWS operating margins reached 39.3% in Q2 FY'26, supported by high-margin AI platform workloads and internal silicon cost efficiencies. Continued enterprise workload migrations present upside to margin forecasts, while elevated data center capital expenditures and hardware depreciation present downside risks.
  • High-Margin Digital Advertising Monetization: Advertising revenue expanded 26% year-over-year to $19.8 billion, generating substantial high-margin cash flow that cushions fulfillment investments and supports consolidated operating leverage.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Amazon at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Amazon is a diversified global technology leader operating across three principal segments: North America retail and services, International commerce, and Amazon Web Services (AWS), complemented by a rapidly expanding digital advertising platform.

SOURCES OF VALUE

AWS and digital advertising represent Amazon's primary value drivers due to superior operating margins and exceptional cash flow generation relative to retail operations.

Dominance in Cloud Computing and Enterprise AI

AWS maintains the leading global market share in cloud infrastructure, delivering high recurring software and compute revenue through multi-year enterprise contracts and an expanding generative AI stack.

Global Logistics Footprint and Prime Member Ecosystem

An extensive regionalized fulfillment and transportation network enables fast delivery speeds that sustain Prime consumer loyalty and reinforce third-party merchant service adoption.

High-Margin Retail Media and Advertising Network

Direct consumer purchase intent data positions Amazon as a dominant digital advertising ecosystem, driving high operating margins across sponsored product listings and connected video streaming assets.

KEY TRENDS

Enterprise Adoption of Custom AI Silicon and Infrastructure

Hyperscaler cloud demand is shifting toward cost-effective custom silicon and managed foundation model platforms, enabling AWS to capture long-term workload commitments with Trainium and Bedrock.

Fulfillment Network Regionalization and Robotics Automation

Amazon continues to regionalize inbound supply chains and deploy advanced warehouse robotics, lowering per-unit fulfillment costs and accelerating delivery speeds across key geographic markets.

Expansion of Retail Media and Streaming Video Ads

Advertisers are allocating larger budgets to retail media networks, allowing Amazon to scale monetization across sponsored search, Prime Video, and live sports broadcasts.