Applied Materials (AMAT) Last Update 7/20/26
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% of Stock Price
Revenue
Gross Profits
Free Cash Flow
Applied Materials
$330.94
Yours
Trefis Price
N/A
$501
Market
 
Top Drivers for Period
Key Drivers
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RECENT NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Potential upside & downside to trefis price

Applied Materials Company

VALUATION HIGHLIGHTS

  1. Silicon Wafer Fab Equipment constitutes 71% of the Trefis price estimate for Applied Materials's stock.
  2. Applied Global Services constitute 27% of the Trefis price estimate for Applied Materials's stock.

WHAT HAS CHANGED?

Latest Earnings: Second Quarter Fiscal 2026

Applied Materials delivered a stellar performance for its second quarter of fiscal 2026, generating record-breaking quarterly revenue of $7.91 billion, representing an 11 percent increase year-over-year. On a GAAP basis, the company reported a record diluted earnings per share of $3.51, up 33 percent from the prior year. Non-GAAP diluted EPS also set a record at $2.86, increasing 20 percent year-over-year and beating consensus estimates by $0.18. Financial momentum was fueled by the clean beat across major segments, driven by rapid global investments in artificial intelligence computing infrastructure, record revenue in the Applied Global Services division, and strong demand across foundry, logic, and DRAM markets.

Note: Applied Materials's Q2 FY'26 ended on Apr. 26, 2026.

Advanced Packaging Innovation

Applied Materials recently unveiled new materials engineering solutions aimed at accelerating the adoption of heterogeneous integration and advanced packaging. As traditional chip scaling slows down, the industry is increasingly relying on connecting multiple chips, or chiplets, in a single package to boost performance. Applied Materials's latest technology focuses on improving through-silicon via formation and die-to-wafer bonding materials, positioning the company as a critical enabler for next-generation artificial intelligence and high-performance computing architectures.

POTENTIAL UPSIDE & DOWNSIDE TO TREFIS PRICE

Below are key drivers of Applied Materials's value that present opportunities for upside or downside to the current Trefis price estimate:

Semiconductor Systems

  • Advanced Nodes Demand: The transition to gate-all-around transistor architectures and High-NA EUV lithography requires a significantly higher number of deposition and etch steps. Applied Materials stands to gain if foundry and logic customers accelerate their capital expenditure on these advanced nodes, which could drive revenues well above the current Trefis baseline estimate.
  • China Market Exposure: A substantial portion of recent industry growth has been fueled by mature-node equipment spending in China. Potential strictures on trade policies or a cyclical slowdown in domestic Chinese semiconductor expansion could present a downside scenario relative to current Trefis projections.

For additional details, select a division from the interactive Trefis split for Applied Materials at the top of the page.

BUSINESS SUMMARY

Applied Materials operates under a highly specialized business model focused on developing, manufacturing, and servicing semiconductor manufacturing equipment, software, and services for the global semiconductor, display, and related industries.

SOURCES OF VALUE

The Semiconductor Systems segment stands as the company's most valuable division, as it generates the vast majority of total revenue and operating profit through the sale of highly differentiated manufacturing hardware.

Materials Engineering Leadership

Applied Materials possesses the broadest portfolio of capabilities in the industry spanning deposition, etch, ion implantation, chemical mechanical planarization, and metrology. This comprehensive suite allows the company to solve complex materials engineering challenges that competitors cannot address in isolation, locking in a dominant market share across major global foundries.

Large Installed Base and Service Revenue

With tens of thousands of systems deployed worldwide, the Applied Global Services segment provides a highly resilient, recurring revenue stream. This massive installed base ensures stable margins and consistent cash flow through long-term service agreements, spare parts sales, and optimization software, cushioning the company during cyclical hardware downturns.

KEY TRENDS

Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure Scaling

The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence data centers is driving unprecedented demand for specialized chips, including high-bandwidth memory and advanced logic processors. Applied Materials is strategically positioned to capitalize on this trend, as AI chips require complex materials engineering and sophisticated packaging solutions to handle immense computational workloads efficiently.

Capital Allocation and Share Repurchases

Applied Materials continues to execute a shareholder-focused capital allocation strategy, prioritizing consistent dividend growth and aggressive share buyback programs. By utilizing its strong free cash flow to reduce share count, the company aims to support earnings per share growth even during periods of broader macroeconomic uncertainty or temporary semiconductor supply chain adjustments.