Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $194.91 | Market Cap: $463.3 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $194.91Market Cap: $463.3 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 118x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 541x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 253x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 420x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cloud Computing, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Show more. | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 75% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% | |
| Short seller report | |
| Key risksPLTR key risks include [1] its exceptionally high valuation, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, Cloud Computing, Digital Health & Telemedicine, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 118x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 541x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 253x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 420x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 140% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 75% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% |
| Short seller report |
| Key risksPLTR key risks include [1] its exceptionally high valuation, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PLTR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) experienced a significant stock movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Exceptional Q3 2025 Financial Results: The company reported impressive third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 3, 2025, with an adjusted EPS of $0.21, significantly beating the consensus estimate of $0.17 by 23.53%. Quarterly revenue also surpassed expectations, rising 62.8% year-over-year to $1.18 billion, exceeding analysts' predictions of $1.09 billion.
2. Robust U.S. Commercial Revenue Growth: A major highlight of the Q3 2025 report was the extraordinary growth in Palantir's U.S. commercial revenue, which surged by 121% year-over-year, reaching $397 million. This demonstrated strong traction and increased adoption of its platforms within the commercial sector.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PLTR Return | � | -23% | -65% | 167% | 340% | 146% | � |
| Peers Return | � | 31% | -33% | 52% | 22% | 33% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PLTR Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 63% | 32% | 67% | 58% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PLTR Max Drawdown | � | -24% | -67% | -2% | -7% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -11% | -41% | -8% | -12% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, SNOW, IBM. See PLTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PLTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 550.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 646 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -22.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 148 days |
Compare to DDOG, TYL, AIB, BMR, CCC
In The Past
Palantir Technologies's stock fell -84.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -84.6% loss requires a 550.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PLTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Palantir Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 264.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 1,439.0 |
| Rev LTM | 179,607 |
| Op Inc LTM | 43,867 |
| FCF LTM | 12,668 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 16,715 |
| CFO LTM | 67,310 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 55,237 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1,439.0 |
| P/S | 11.0 |
| P/EBIT | 26.2 |
| P/E | 34.3 |
| P/CFO | 24.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 36.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 154.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 19.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 65.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government | 1,222 | 1,072 | 897 | 610 | 346 |
| Commercial | 1,003 | 834 | 645 | 482 | 397 |
| Total | 2,225 | 1,906 | 1,542 | 1,093 | 743 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government | 725 | 621 | |||
| Commercial | 521 | 414 | |||
| Research and development expenses | -307 | -266 | |||
| General and administrative expenses | -343 | -366 | |||
| Stock-based compensation expense | -476 | -565 | |||
| Total | 120 | -161 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -7.9% | -6.5% | -14.1% |
| 8/4/2025 | 7.8% | 13.7% | -3.6% |
| 5/5/2025 | -12.0% | -4.3% | 5.0% |
| 2/3/2025 | 24.0% | 39.3% | 7.6% |
| 11/4/2024 | 23.5% | 45.5% | 68.7% |
| 8/5/2024 | 10.4% | 22.0% | 27.0% |
| 5/6/2024 | -15.1% | -16.9% | -8.9% |
| 2/5/2024 | 30.8% | 49.8% | 56.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 12 | 11 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 20.4% | 22.5% | 30.9% |
| Median Negative | -12.4% | -12.5% | -13.0% |
| Max Positive | 30.8% | 49.8% | 89.8% |
| Max Negative | -21.3% | -16.9% | -36.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Buckley Jeffrey | See Remarks | 11242025 | Sell | 155.31 | 146 | 22,675 | 7,892,022 | Form |
| 1 | Taylor Ryan D. | See Remarks | 11242025 | Sell | 155.31 | 1,097 | 170,374 | 47,582,454 | Form |
| 2 | Glazer David A. | See Remarks | 11242025 | Sell | 155.31 | 961 | 149,252 | 66,815,131 | Form |
| 3 | Moore Alexander D. | 11052025 | Sell | 202.63 | 2,305 | 467,056 | 253,420,493 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |