United States Oil Fund LP (USO)
Market Price (8/4/2026): $122.14
United States Oil Fund LP (USO)
Market Price (8/4/2026): $122.14
Key Takeaways
- USO has returned +76.6% YTD vs +11.4% for SPY; +57.7% over the past 12 months (SPY +22.9%). details →
- Priced in gold, USO has returned -20.7% over the past 3 years, vs +65.5% in dollars — its dollar gains have lagged gold. details →
- Over the past month, USO has seen net outflows of −$592M (−27.2% of assets). details →
- USO's +76.6% YTD is ahead of its typical pace — it averaged +20.0% at this point (August 3) over the past 5 years. details →
- Risk-adjusted returns trail SPY: 3-year Sharpe ratio of 0.6 vs 0.9. details →
Asset Allocation with USO
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| USO Return | 65% | 29% | -5% | 13% | -8% | 87% | 291% |
| Peers Return | 53% | 20% | -24% | 0% | -16% | 49% | 76% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| USO Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 53% | 36% | 50% | 42% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 38% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| USO Max Drawdown | -20% | -32% | -22% | -19% | -26% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -41% | -37% | -30% | -33% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UNG, DBO, BNO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/3/2026 (YTD)
Sharpe Ratios Compared
One measure of reward vs. risk is a Sharpe ratio. A higher ratio indicates better risk-adjusted returns. Most funds have Sharpe ratios < 1.0.
Results as of 7312026.How Low Can It Go
| Event | USO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -15.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 17 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -80.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 424.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 766 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -42.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2653 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -18.2% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.3% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 128 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -42.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 803 days | 62 days |
In The Past
United States Oil Fund LP's stock fell -19.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | USO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -80.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 424.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 766 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -42.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2653 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -42.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 803 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -23.6% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.7% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 280 days | 125 days |
In The Past
United States Oil Fund LP's stock fell -19.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Current Dip Buy Opportunities Across ETFs
ETFs currently down 5% or more from trailing 6M peaks.
| Ticker | Name | Dip % | Mkt Price | Price Date | Peak Price | Peak Date | # Days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 | -6.2% | 700.07 | 8032026 | 746.16 | 6022026 | 62 |
| QQQM | Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF | -6.2% | 288.27 | 8032026 | 307.23 | 6022026 | 62 |
| SCHA | Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF | -5.4% | 34.18 | 8032026 | 36.13 | 6302026 | 34 |
| IWF | iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF | -6.1% | 120.87 | 8032026 | 128.77 | 6012026 | 63 |
| VONG | Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF | -6.0% | 124.46 | 8032026 | 132.35 | 6012026 | 63 |
| VBK | Vanguard Small-Cap Growth ETF | -5.2% | 346.62 | 8032026 | 365.70 | 6302026 | 34 |
| VSS | Vanguard FTSE All-World EX-US Small-Cap Index Fund | -5.8% | 152.45 | 8032026 | 161.79 | 5112026 | 84 |
| SCHC | Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF | -5.2% | 48.87 | 8032026 | 51.54 | 3012026 | 155 |
| IEMG | iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | -9.2% | 78.11 | 8032026 | 86.00 | 6222026 | 42 |
| EEM | iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | -9.7% | 64.32 | 8032026 | 71.21 | 6222026 | 42 |
| ASHR | Xtrackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ETF | -9.1% | 33.92 | 8032026 | 37.30 | 6222026 | 42 |
| EWY | iShares MSCI South Korea ETF | -26.9% | 160.24 | 8032026 | 219.20 | 6212026 | 43 |
| EWZ | iShares MSCI Brazil ETF | -12.7% | 36.42 | 8032026 | 41.73 | 4142026 | 111 |
| FXI | iShares China Large-Cap ETF | -7.8% | 36.46 | 8032026 | 39.53 | 2102026 | 174 |
| ILF | iShares Latin America 40 ETF | -7.7% | 35.16 | 8032026 | 38.10 | 4142026 | 111 |
| KWEB | KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF | -18.0% | 28.74 | 8032026 | 35.07 | 2022026 | 182 |
| MTUM | iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF | -12.6% | 301.78 | 8032026 | 345.22 | 6222026 | 42 |
| SPHQ | Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF | -5.5% | 85.14 | 8032026 | 90.10 | 6302026 | 34 |
| SPMO | Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | -10.1% | 145.35 | 8032026 | 161.66 | 6222026 | 42 |
| VLUE | iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF | -5.7% | 192.91 | 8032026 | 204.59 | 6252026 | 39 |
| ARKK | ARK Innovation ETF | -12.0% | 73.54 | 8032026 | 83.61 | 7062026 | 28 |
| URA | Global X Uranium ETF | -30.0% | 40.81 | 8032026 | 58.26 | 5062026 | 89 |
| BOTZ | Global X Funds Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF | -13.7% | 35.93 | 8032026 | 41.63 | 5132026 | 82 |
| ROBO | ROBO Global Robotics & Automation Index ETF | -10.1% | 81.19 | 8032026 | 90.34 | 6022026 | 62 |
| LIT | Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF | -24.2% | 69.41 | 8032026 | 91.62 | 5112026 | 84 |
| ICLN | iShares Global Clean Energy ETF | -24.3% | 17.99 | 8032026 | 23.75 | 6022026 | 62 |
| ARKQ | ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF | -17.5% | 118.62 | 8032026 | 143.82 | 5282026 | 67 |
| ARKW | ARK Next Generation Internet ETF | -8.6% | 140.87 | 8032026 | 154.18 | 6012026 | 63 |
| ARKX | ARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF | -16.3% | 31.59 | 8032026 | 37.74 | 5282026 | 67 |
| NASA | Tema Space Innovators ETF | -45.5% | 22.85 | 8032026 | 41.89 | 5272026 | 68 |
| XOVR | EntrepreneurShares Series Trust ERShares Private-Public Crossover ETF | -9.8% | 19.24 | 8032026 | 21.34 | 7062026 | 28 |
| AGIX | KraneShares Artificial Intelligence ETF | -11.7% | 43.62 | 8032026 | 49.40 | 6012026 | 63 |
| GDE | WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Equity Strategy Fund | -11.7% | 62.13 | 8032026 | 70.39 | 5112026 | 84 |
| RAAX | VanEck Real Assets ETF | -7.7% | 39.43 | 8032026 | 42.70 | 5112026 | 84 |
| VGT | Vanguard Information Technology ETF | -8.3% | 115.14 | 8032026 | 125.62 | 6022026 | 62 |
| XLK | State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF | -10.2% | 178.04 | 8032026 | 198.21 | 6022026 | 62 |
| XLE | State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | -6.0% | 58.79 | 8032026 | 62.56 | 3292026 | 127 |
| XLC | State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF | -6.7% | 111.34 | 8032026 | 119.29 | 2022026 | 182 |
| XLP | State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF | -5.2% | 84.86 | 8032026 | 89.51 | 3012026 | 155 |
| XLU | State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF | -6.4% | 44.36 | 8032026 | 47.40 | 3012026 | 155 |
| IYM | iShares U.S. Basic Materials ETF | -6.1% | 177.60 | 8032026 | 189.08 | 3022026 | 154 |
| FXN | First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund | -5.3% | 21.94 | 8032026 | 23.18 | 3292026 | 127 |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | -18.5% | 545.46 | 8032026 | 668.91 | 6222026 | 42 |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | -22.5% | 507.68 | 8032026 | 655.01 | 6222026 | 42 |
| IBB | iShares Biotechnology ETF | -6.2% | 185.91 | 8032026 | 198.23 | 7072026 | 27 |
| XBI | State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | -10.3% | 147.31 | 8032026 | 164.28 | 7092026 | 25 |
| XOP | State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF | -7.4% | 174.28 | 8032026 | 188.18 | 3292026 | 127 |
| IGV | iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF | -9.5% | 97.42 | 8032026 | 107.70 | 6012026 | 63 |
| MISL | First Trust Indxx Aerospace & Defense ETF | -12.5% | 44.31 | 8032026 | 50.66 | 3022026 | 154 |
| RING | iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF | -34.0% | 65.62 | 8032026 | 99.42 | 3012026 | 155 |
| SOXQ | Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF | -21.8% | 89.98 | 8032026 | 115.11 | 6222026 | 42 |
| TLT | iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -7.8% | 82.19 | 8032026 | 89.15 | 3012026 | 155 |
| VGLT | Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF | -6.7% | 52.75 | 8032026 | 56.53 | 3012026 | 155 |
| SPTL | State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF | -7.1% | 25.08 | 8032026 | 26.99 | 3012026 | 155 |
| TLH | iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -6.4% | 96.52 | 8032026 | 103.08 | 3012026 | 155 |
| EDV | Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF | -11.4% | 59.74 | 8032026 | 67.42 | 3012026 | 155 |
| PDBC | Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | -8.8% | 17.25 | 8032026 | 18.91 | 5122026 | 83 |
| DBC | Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -8.9% | 28.88 | 8032026 | 31.69 | 5122026 | 83 |
| COMT | iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF | -11.6% | 32.29 | 8032026 | 36.53 | 5192026 | 76 |
| GSG | iShares GSCI Commodity | -5.8% | 30.01 | 8032026 | 31.85 | 3182026 | 138 |
| BCI | abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF | -8.5% | 23.70 | 8032026 | 25.91 | 5122026 | 83 |
| FTGC | First Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund | -6.0% | 28.70 | 8032026 | 30.53 | 5122026 | 83 |
| HGER | Harbor Commodity All-Weather Strategy ETF | -5.1% | 31.75 | 8032026 | 33.47 | 5122026 | 83 |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Trust | -24.1% | 371.71 | 8032026 | 490.00 | 3022026 | 154 |
| IAU | iShares Gold Trust | -24.1% | 76.19 | 8032026 | 100.38 | 3022026 | 154 |
| GLDM | SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | -24.1% | 80.14 | 8032026 | 105.54 | 3022026 | 154 |
| SGOL | ETFS Physical Swiss Gold Shares | -12.1% | 44.66 | 8032026 | 50.81 | 3022026 | 154 |
| BAR | Direxion Daily Gold Bull 3X Shares | -15.6% | 44.34 | 8032026 | 52.53 | 3022026 | 154 |
| SLV | iShares Silver Trust | -38.3% | 52.46 | 8032026 | 84.99 | 3012026 | 155 |
| SIVR | ETFS Physical Silver Shares Trust ETF | -6.6% | 83.39 | 8032026 | 89.26 | 3012026 | 155 |
| PPLT | ETFS Physical Platinum Shares | -31.3% | 14.76 | 8032026 | 21.47 | 3012026 | 155 |
| CPER | United States Copper Index Fund ETV | -11.1% | 33.33 | 8032026 | 37.48 | 2032026 | 181 |
| PALL | ETFS Physical Palladium Shares | -29.8% | 22.83 | 8032026 | 32.54 | 2242026 | 160 |
| USO | United States Oil Fund LP | -20.2% | 122.12 | 8032026 | 152.96 | 5192026 | 76 |
| UNG | United States Natural Gas Fund LP | -25.2% | 10.11 | 8032026 | 13.52 | 2052026 | 179 |
| BNO | United States Brent Oil Fund LP ETV | -7.1% | 55.85 | 8032026 | 60.13 | 5042026 | 91 |
| IBIT | iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -22.2% | 36.16 | 8032026 | 46.47 | 5112026 | 84 |
| FBTC | Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund | -22.1% | 55.59 | 8032026 | 71.35 | 5112026 | 84 |
| ETHA | iShares Ethereum Trust ETF | -23.2% | 14.11 | 8032026 | 18.38 | 4192026 | 106 |
ETF Fund Flows
Largest fund inflows and outflows across ETFs, with the asset-allocation rotation they imply.
Asset allocation rotation · Past month
- Equity ETFs drew the largest net inflows (+$48.6B), followed by Bond (+$15.0B), with every major asset class in net inflows.
- Within the mix, money rotated into US Large Cap Core (+$12.3B) and out of US Nasdaq Growth (−$4.5B).
- Relative to fund size, BFLX drew the largest inflow (+56.5% of AUM) and FTXL the largest outflow (−37.4%).
| # | Ticker | Name | Net flow | % of AUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SPY | State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +$12.35B | +1.6% |
| 2 | VOO | Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | +$10.31B | +1.0% |
| 3 | SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | +$7.98B | +17.4% |
| 4 | EWY | iShares MSCI South Korea ETF | +$5.93B | +26.4% |
| 5 | DRAM | Roundhill Memory ETF | +$5.8B | +24.1% |
| 6 | SPYM | State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF | +$5.55B | +3.5% |
| 7 | VTI | Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | +$4.14B | +0.6% |
| 8 | EFV | iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF | +$3.61B | +13.1% |
| 9 | XLF | State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF | +$3.39B | +6.1% |
| 10 | SCHD | Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | +$2.88B | +2.9% |
| # | Ticker | Name | Net flow | % of AUM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IVV | iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | -$16.45B | -1.9% |
| 2 | QQQ | Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 | -$6.79B | -1.5% |
| 3 | IQMM | ProShares - GENIUS Money Market ETF | -$3.05B | -16.7% |
| 4 | LQD | iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF | -$1.7B | -4.9% |
| 5 | IWM | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | -$1.27B | -1.6% |
| 6 | IWD | iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF | -$1.26B | -1.6% |
| 7 | SCZ | iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF | -$1.05B | -7.9% |
| 8 | IWF | iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF | -$1.01B | -0.8% |
| 9 | DIA | State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust | -$987M | -2.2% |
| 10 | KRE | State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF | -$961M | -20.3% |
Largest ETF fund flows across ~2566 funds (min AUM $100M). Net creations/redemptions; leveraged & inverse ETFs excluded. A ⚠ marks a day excluded as a suspected data error.
About USO
| Holdings Count: 1Expense Ratio: 0.86%Inception Date: 2006-04-10 | United States Oil Fund, LPUSO delivers its exposure to oil using near-term futures. USO gets exposure to oil using derivatives, like several oil ETPs. The fund predominately holds near-month-futures contracts on WTI, rolling into future contracts every month. This method is particularly sensitive to short-term changes in spot prices. USO held front month contracts until April 17, 2020, at which time following leeway in the prospectus, USO changed the exposure from holding specifically front-month contracts to holding predominantly front-month contracts, 30% next month and 15% contracts with further expiry. USO is structured as a commodities pool, so expect a K-1 at tax time. Long-term holders will be taxed on any gains even if they didn't sell shares.Asset Class: Commodities | ETF Website |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Profile
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Asset Class | - |
| AUM ($ Bil) | 0.5 |
| Expense Ratio | 1.00% |
| 10-D Avg Volume (Mil) | 5.20 |
| Latest Day Volume (Mil) | 3.00 |
| Holdings Count | 2 |
| Inception Date | - |
Fundamentals
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Net Asset Value | - |
| Premium/Discount | -2.8% |
| Distribution Yield | 0.0% |
| Sales Yield | - |
| Earnings Yield | - |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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