Starling Oncology (TOI)
Market Price (8/4/2026): $5.185 | Market Cap: $527.8 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities
Starling Oncology (TOI)
Market Price (8/4/2026): $5.185Market Cap: $527.8 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Facilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.0% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% Key risksTOI key risks include [1] its precarious financial stability, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -6.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Key risksTOI key risks include [1] its precarious financial stability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Starling Oncology (TOI) stock has gained about 35% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance Exceeded Expectations.
Starling Oncology (formerly The Oncology Institute) reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026. The company announced revenue growth of 41.2% and a narrowed net loss, surpassing analyst consensus estimates for both earnings per share and revenue. This positive performance, along with an upgraded outlook for positive free cash flow, significantly boosted investor confidence.
2. Successful Strategic Debt Refinancing Improved Financial Stability.
In early fiscal Q3 2026, specifically on July 7, 2026, Starling Oncology completed a strategic refinancing by repaying an $86 million convertible note. This move strengthened the company's balance sheet and enhanced its liquidity, which was met with a positive market reaction, leading to a 6.6% increase in the stock price on the day of the announcement.
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Starling Oncology (TOI) stock has gained about 35% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance Exceeded Expectations.
Starling Oncology (formerly The Oncology Institute) reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q1 2026, which ended on March 31, 2026. The company announced revenue growth of 41.2% and a narrowed net loss, surpassing analyst consensus estimates for both earnings per share and revenue. This positive performance, along with an upgraded outlook for positive free cash flow, significantly boosted investor confidence.
2. Successful Strategic Debt Refinancing Improved Financial Stability.
In early fiscal Q3 2026, specifically on July 7, 2026, Starling Oncology completed a strategic refinancing by repaying an $86 million convertible note. This move strengthened the company's balance sheet and enhanced its liquidity, which was met with a positive market reaction, leading to a 6.6% increase in the stock price on the day of the announcement.
3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.
Throughout fiscal Q2 and early fiscal Q3 2026, multiple financial analysts issued or reiterated "Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings for Starling Oncology, accompanied by increased price targets. For instance, in June 2026, Needham raised its price target from $5 to $7, while in July 2026, Lake Street initiated coverage with a $10 price target and BTIG increased its target to $9. The consensus average price target among analysts in late July 2026 ranged from $8.40 to $8.50, suggesting a substantial upside potential of approximately 65.7% from the stock's then-current price.
4. Favorable Biotechnology Sector Trends and Increased M&A Activity.
The broader biotechnology sector experienced a significant rally in 2026, recovering from previous years. A key driver was a substantial increase in merger and acquisition (M&A) activity, with deal volume in the first half of 2026 surpassing the entirety of 2025. Companies focused on oncology, such as Starling Oncology, were particularly attractive targets within this M&A environment, accounting for approximately $16.8 billion in deals over $1 billion in early 2026. This positive macroeconomic backdrop provided a strong tailwind for Starling Oncology's stock performance.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 32.9% change in TOI stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.86 | 5.13 | 32.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 503 | 546 | 8.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 1.0 | 22.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 102 | 102 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 32.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOI | 32.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.4% | 17.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 11.1% | 7.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 89.3% change in TOI stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 67.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.71 | 5.13 | 89.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 461 | 546 | 18.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 1.0 | 67.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 97 | 102 | -4.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 89.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOI | 89.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 33.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 5.3% | 14.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 39.8% change in TOI stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.67 | 5.13 | 39.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 403 | 546 | 35.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 1.0 | 36.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 77 | 102 | -24.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 39.8% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOI | 39.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.9% | 28.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 26.0% | 11.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 424.9% change in TOI stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 264.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.98 | 5.13 | 424.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 274 | 546 | 99.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 1.0 | 264.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 73 | 102 | -27.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 424.9% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOI | 424.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 71.4% | 18.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 26.6% | 6.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TOI Return | -0% | -83% | 24% | -85% | 1052% | 37% | -50% |
| Peers Return | 45% | 52% | 24% | 24% | 45% | 5% | 409% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TOI Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 50% | 25% | 67% | 62% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 38% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TOI Max Drawdown | - | -91% | -79% | -94% | -39% | -45% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -9% | -11% | -13% | -24% | -11% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MCK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TOI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 150 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 6 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 334.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -59.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Oncology Institute's stock fell -35.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.1% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | TOI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 150 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 6 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 334.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -59.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Oncology Institute's stock fell -35.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Starling Oncology (TOI)
The Oncology Institute, Inc. (TOI) is a medical oncology company that provides a comprehensive range of cancer care services across the United States. Founded in 2007 and based in Cerritos, California, the company focuses on delivering integrated treatment solutions to patients battling cancer.
The company's core services include physician consultations, providing expert medical guidance and treatment planning. TOI also offers in-house infusion services for administering various cancer therapies and operates a dispensary for patient medications, creating a streamlined treatment experience. Additionally, it manages clinical trial services, providing patients access to advanced research and treatments, and runs specialized outpatient stem cell transplant and transfusion programs.
The primary customers for The Oncology Institute are cancer patients throughout the United States seeking advanced and integrated medical oncology care. The company extends its support to these patients through various programs, including comprehensive patient support services and palliative care initiatives, aiming to address the full spectrum of patient needs during their cancer journey.
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1. DaVita for cancer care.
2. Fresenius Medical Care for cancer treatment.
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Medical Oncology Services
- Physician Services: Direct medical consultations, diagnosis, and treatment planning provided by oncology specialists.
- In-House Infusion and Dispensary: On-site administration of chemotherapy and other intravenous therapies, along with dispensing of prescribed oncology medications.
- Outpatient Stem Cell Transplants and Transfusions Programs: Specialized services for performing stem cell transplants and blood transfusions in an outpatient setting.
- Palliative Care Programs: Care focused on providing relief from the symptoms and stress of a serious illness for patients and their families.
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Clinical Research Services
- Clinical Trial Services: Management and execution of clinical trials for researching and developing new cancer treatments.
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Patient Support Services
- Patient Support: Comprehensive assistance and resources provided to patients throughout their cancer treatment journey.
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Starling Oncology (symbol: TOI), which operates as The Oncology Institute, Inc., primarily sells its medical oncology services directly to individuals (patients) in the United States. Based on its service offerings, its major customer categories include:
- Cancer Patients Seeking Comprehensive Medical Oncology Care: This category includes individuals who require physician consultations, in-house infusion therapies, dispensary services for medications, and general patient support throughout their cancer treatment journey.
- Cancer Patients Participating in Clinical Trials: The company offers and manages clinical trial services, catering to patients who are eligible and choose to enroll in investigational treatments.
- Cancer Patients Requiring Specialized Treatments and Support: This includes individuals needing advanced services such as outpatient stem cell transplants, transfusions programs, and palliative care for symptom management and quality of life improvement.
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Daniel Virnich, M.D., MBA, FACHE, Chief Executive Officer
Dr. Daniel Virnich joined The Oncology Institute in 2020 and became CEO in 2023. Prior to his role at TOI, Dr. Virnich served as President of DaVita Medical Group, Florida, where he managed a full-risk medical group and IPA with over 1,400 teammates and clinicians accountable for more than 92,000 Medicare Advantage members. He was also Senior Vice President of Operations for Healthcare Partners in Southern California and Chief Medical Officer for Team Health's Acute Care services division.
Rob Carter, Chief Financial Officer
Rob Carter was promoted to Chief Financial Officer of The Oncology Institute, effective October 14, 2024. He joined TOI in 2021 as Vice President of Finance and was promoted to Senior Vice President in 2023, overseeing corporate finance, financial planning and analysis (FP&A), treasury, and investor relations. Mr. Carter brings over a decade of finance leadership experience in the healthcare sector. His previous roles include Head of FP&A at Hoag Health System and various financial leadership positions at Kaiser Permanente, SCAN Health Plan, and McKesson.
Jeffrey Langsam, Chief Clinical Officer
Jordan McInerney, Chief Development Officer
Kristin England, Chief Administrative Officer
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The Oncology Institute, Inc. (symbol: TOI) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial stability:
- Financial Health and Liquidity: The company's financial position is a dominant concern, characterized by less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend and negative equity. The Oncology Institute is deeply unprofitable and consistently burning through significant cash, leading to strained liquidity where current liabilities exceed current assets. This precarious financial state necessitates raising capital or incurring further debt, which could dilute existing shareholders or heighten balance sheet risks.
- Cybersecurity Incidents and Data Breaches: The Oncology Institute has recently disclosed a cybersecurity incident involving a third-party software service provider, which resulted in unauthorized access to certain information systems, including those containing patient data. Such breaches pose substantial legal, reputational, and financial risks, potentially leading to regulatory inquiries, litigation, and significant remediation costs. These incidents can also severely impact the company's relationships with patients, employees, and governmental regulators.
- Regulatory and Reimbursement Pressures: The company operates within a highly regulated healthcare environment, making it vulnerable to changes in healthcare policy and regulatory frameworks. Specifically, the business is exposed to drug pricing pressures and shifts in reimbursement rules, particularly concerning Medicare reimbursement for oncology services. The Specialty Pharmacy segment, a major revenue contributor, faces ongoing reimbursement challenges, including the lagged reflection of annual drug pricing increases in reimbursement rates.
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The addressable markets for Starling Oncology (formerly The Oncology Institute, Inc.) are primarily within the expansive U.S. oncology sector and the global oncology clinical trials market.
For its core offerings of medical oncology services, in-house infusion and dispensary, outpatient stem cell transplants and transfusions programs, and patient support, Starling Oncology operates within the broader **U.S. Oncology Market**. This market demonstrates significant size and growth:
- The U.S. oncology market was valued at approximately USD 72.79 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 211.78 billion by 2034, expanding at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.75% between 2025 and 2034.
- Another estimate places the U.S. oncology market at USD 85.64 billion in 2024, expected to grow to USD 93.54 billion in 2025, and reach USD 189.55 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 9.23% from 2025 to 2033.
- Further data indicates the U.S. oncology market was valued at USD 145.52 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 416.93 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 11.1% over the period 2025 to 2034.
For its clinical trial services, Starling Oncology addresses a segment of the **Global Oncology Clinical Trials Market**:
- The global oncology clinical trial market was valued at US$ 13.64 billion in 2024, is anticipated to grow to US$ 14.36 billion in 2025, and is projected to reach nearly US$ 22.85 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.30% throughout the forecast period.
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Starling Oncology (NASDAQ: TOI), known as The Oncology Institute, Inc., is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
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Expansion of Value-Based Care Contracts: The Oncology Institute is a pioneer in value-based community oncology care, with an ongoing commitment to expanding these contracts across markets. This approach prioritizes patient outcomes and cost efficiency, aligning with evolving healthcare reimbursement trends. The company has seen success with its value-based contracts, notably achieving profitability ahead of plan in Florida and preparing to cover approximately 200,000 Medicare Advantage members across 25 counties. This continued expansion of delegated contracts, especially in regions like Florida, is a significant driver of top-line growth.
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Growth in Specialty Pharmacy Services: The company's Specialty Pharmacy segment has demonstrated substantial growth and is a key contributor to revenue. In Q1 2026, Specialty Pharmacy revenue surged by 77.6% year-over-year, fueled by a 103% increase in prescription fills. Analysts have also highlighted the company's strong pharmacy revenue growth. The Oncology Institute anticipates that dispensary revenue could eventually comprise approximately 50% of its total revenue, indicating a strategic focus on this segment.
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Expansion of Clinical Trial Services and Research Partnerships: The Oncology Institute is actively expanding its clinical trial offerings through strategic partnerships, such as the enterprise-wide collaboration with Helios Clinical Research. This initiative aims to enhance patient access to cutting-edge cancer trials and integrate clinical research into community oncology settings. The company's clinical research division, TOI Clinical Research, manages over 160 clinical trials and is committed to expanding access at more sites, improving health equity by offering these treatments in diverse communities. This expansion provides patients with more treatment options and contributes to the company's revenue streams.
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Geographic Expansion and New Clinic Openings: The Oncology Institute continues to grow its physical footprint and patient reach. Operating over 100 clinics and affiliate locations across five states (California, Nevada, Arizona, Oregon, and Florida), the company emphasizes providing convenient access and expert care in community settings. This ongoing organic growth, driven by an aging population and the shift from hospital to community-based care, is a fundamental component of its revenue growth strategy.
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Strategic Partnerships and MSO Platform Development: The appointment of a Chief Development Officer to spearhead growth initiatives, including cultivating new partnerships with payors and establishing Management Services Organization (MSO) platforms, signals another avenue for revenue growth. This strategy involves MSO partnerships with independent practices to deliver value-based oncology care nationwide, further expanding the company's network and patient base.
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Share Repurchases
- The company's Board approved a share repurchase program on August 28, 2023, authorizing the purchase of up to 2 million shares of common stock.
- Under a previous repurchase program, The Oncology Institute repurchased 1,593,128 shares of its common stock for approximately $894,000.
- The company reported no spending on share buybacks in Q4 2024.
Share Issuance
- In November 2021, The Oncology Institute, Inc. became a publicly traded company through a business combination, which was accounted for as a reverse recapitalization where Old TOI effectively issued stock for the net assets of DFP.
- Following the November 2021 business combination, up to 12,500,000 additional "Earnout Shares" were to be issued if certain stock price performance targets were met within two or three years.
Inbound Investments
- In July 2026, The Oncology Institute completed a strategic refinancing with OrbiMed, which involved repaying the outstanding $86 million Deerfield Convertible Note, thereby strengthening its balance sheet and improving liquidity.
Outbound Investments
- The company acquired certain non-clinical assets of Covina Cancer Care Medical Center Inc. d/b/a Southland Radiation Oncology Network for $4.3 million in cash.
- The Oncology Institute also acquired assets from Dr. Perkins for $8.92 million in cash, along with a contingent consideration of $2 million.
Capital Expenditures
- The Oncology Institute invested $1.0 million in capital expenditures during the first quarter of 2026.
- For the fiscal year 2025, the company's capital spending totaled $3.2 million.
- Capital expenditures are primarily focused on funding long-term assets and infrastructure to support its oncology care operations and clinic expansion.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Oncology Institute Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold Oncology Institute Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 416.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 50.9 |
| Rev LTM | 201,988 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,211 |
| FCF LTM | 2,692 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,363 |
| CFO LTM | 3,067 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,747 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 23.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 35.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 17.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -5.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.9% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Specialty pharmacy | 269 | 180 | 104 | 79 | 73 |
| Patient services | 229 | 205 | 214 | 167 | 124 |
| Clinical trials & other | 5 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| Total | 503 | 393 | 324 | 252 | 203 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Specialty pharmacy | 49 | 29 | 21 | 14 | 10 |
| Patient services | 18 | 13 | 28 | 28 | 22 |
| Clinical trials & other | 4 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| Non-segment depreciation and amortization | -1 | -1 | -1 | -0 | |
| Selling, general and administrative expense | -106 | -108 | -114 | -83 | |
| Impairment charges | -17 | ||||
| Total | -36 | -60 | -77 | 48 | -46 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patient services | 75 | 68 | 74 | 65 | 44 |
| Non-segment assets | 68 | 82 | 118 | 178 | 140 |
| Specialty pharmacy | 17 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| Clinical trials & other | 5 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| Total | 165 | 173 | 209 | 262 | 203 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.13 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/15/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -18.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $5.12 | $3.84 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 0.2% | 33.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 67.6% | 76.7% |
| Downside Capture | 25.34 | 147.55 |
| Upside Capture | 115.70 | 149.59 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 14.4% | 28.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.11 | 1.05 | 0.71 | 1.65 | 1.66 | 1.24 |
| Up Beta | 4.32 | 2.65 | 1.09 | 1.07 | 1.62 | 1.41 |
| Down Beta | 1.17 | -0.09 | 0.46 | 1.59 | 2.33 | 1.40 |
| Up Capture | -67% | 118% | 121% | 324% | 183% | 181% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 36 | 65 | 127 | 357 |
| Down Capture | 101% | 86% | 22% | 130% | 125% | 92% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 26 | 56 | 118 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOI | 40.0% | 76.8% | 0.75 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 26.1% | 15.6% | 1.29 | 11.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.0% | 12.9% | 1.20 | 28.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.8% | 28.1% | 0.72 | 11.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 28.8% | 19.7% | 1.16 | -2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.5% | 13.8% | 0.80 | 10.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -45.9% | 43.1% | -1.30 | 23.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOI | -12.9% | 112.3% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.0% | 15.0% | 0.22 | 8.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.58 | 18.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.2% | 18.5% | 0.75 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 19.5% | 0.32 | 5.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 12.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 53.1% | 0.39 | 10.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOI | -6.7% | 112.3% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.8% | 16.6% | 0.48 | 8.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 18.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.4% | 16.1% | 0.58 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 18.0% | 0.31 | 5.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 12.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 10.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -1.7% | -0.7% | 24.6% |
| 3/12/2026 | 8.4% | 35.1% | 26.0% |
| 1/12/2026 | -7.9% | -19.9% | -35.9% |
| 11/13/2025 | 28.9% | 5.2% | 24.7% |
| 8/13/2025 | -10.5% | -8.8% | -25.6% |
| 5/14/2025 | 28.3% | 12.9% | 4.2% |
| 3/24/2025 | 24.5% | 14.4% | 172.0% |
| 11/13/2024 | -10.8% | -49.9% | -15.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 24.5% | 14.4% | 25.3% |
| Median Negative | -10.7% | -19.8% | -35.9% |
| Max Positive | 28.9% | 35.1% | 172.0% |
| Max Negative | -24.0% | -53.6% | -64.8% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | -1.7% | -0.7% | 24.6% |
| 3/12/2026 | 8.4% | 35.1% | 26.0% |
| 1/12/2026 | -7.9% | -19.9% | -35.9% |
| 11/13/2025 | 28.9% | 5.2% | 24.7% |
| 8/13/2025 | -10.5% | -8.8% | -25.6% |
| 5/14/2025 | 28.3% | 12.9% | 4.2% |
| 3/24/2025 | 24.5% | 14.4% | 172.0% |
| 11/13/2024 | -10.8% | -49.9% | -15.5% |
| 8/13/2024 | -18.2% | -27.3% | -45.5% |
| 5/14/2024 | -24.0% | -33.8% | -48.4% |
| 3/27/2024 | -14.1% | -18.5% | -37.5% |
| 11/8/2023 | 27.7% | 20.7% | -31.5% |
| 8/9/2023 | -10.1% | -19.7% | 28.3% |
| 5/10/2023 | -1.1% | -10.0% | 24.0% |
| 3/9/2023 | -19.6% | -53.6% | -44.7% |
| 11/9/2022 | -5.2% | -36.1% | -64.8% |
| 8/9/2022 | 10.0% | 2.0% | -10.1% |
| 5/11/2022 | -14.7% | -6.2% | -9.3% |
| 3/10/2022 | 10.3% | 31.2% | 48.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 24.5% | 14.4% | 25.3% |
| Median Negative | -10.7% | -19.8% | -35.9% |
| Max Positive | 28.9% | 35.1% | 172.0% |
| Max Negative | -24.0% | -53.6% | -64.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/12/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 12/14/2021 | 10-Q/A |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/27/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | -1.00 Mil | 0 | 1.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 630.00 Mil | 640.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 640.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Gross Profit | 97.00 Mil | 102.00 Mil | 107.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 102.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 0 | 4.50 Mil | 9.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 4.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 5.00 Mil | 10.00 Mil | 15.00 Mil | Raised | Guidance: -5.00 Mil for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Capitated Revenue | 150.00 Mil | ||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | -3.00 Mil | -2.00 Mil | -1.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 630.00 Mil | 640.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 640.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Gross Profit | 97.00 Mil | 102.00 Mil | 107.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 0 | 4.50 Mil | 9.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 4.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | -15.00 Mil | -5.00 Mil | 5.00 Mil | ||||
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 630.00 Mil | 640.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 28.0% | Higher New | Actual: 500.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capitation Revenue | 150.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 0 | 4.50 Mil | 9.00 Mil | Higher New | Actual: -12.00 Mil for 2025 | ||
| 2028 Revenue Growth | 20.0% | ||||||
| 2028 Operating Margin | 5.0% | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/13/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 0 | 1.00 Mil | 2.00 Mil | Higher New | Actual: -3.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | ||
| 2025 Revenue | 495.00 Mil | 500.00 Mil | 505.00 Mil | 6.4% | Raised | Guidance: 470.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Gross Profit | 73.00 Mil | 77.50 Mil | 82.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 77.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | -13.00 Mil | -12.00 Mil | -11.00 Mil | -4.0% | Raised | Guidance: -12.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Free Cash Flow | -21.00 Mil | -16.50 Mil | -12.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: -16.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/29/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 7222026 | 5.27 | 18,000 | 94,860 | 56,119,482 | Form | |
| 2 | Podnos, Yale | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 7162026 | 6.41 | 23,452 | 150,340 | 1,663,710 | Form |
| 3 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 7132026 | 5.85 | 15,000 | 87,750 | 62,190,519 | Form | |
| 4 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 6242026 | 5.02 | 18,000 | 90,360 | 53,291,607 | Form | |
| 5 | Podnos, Yale | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 6092026 | 5.38 | 23,451 | 126,094 | 1,395,451 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 7222026 | 5.27 | 18,000 | 94,860 | 56,119,482 | Form | |
| 2 | Podnos, Yale | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 7162026 | 6.41 | 23,452 | 150,340 | 1,663,710 | Form |
| 3 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 7132026 | 5.85 | 15,000 | 87,750 | 62,190,519 | Form | |
| 4 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 6242026 | 5.02 | 18,000 | 90,360 | 53,291,607 | Form | |
| 5 | Podnos, Yale | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 6092026 | 5.38 | 23,451 | 126,094 | 1,395,451 | Form |
| 6 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 6052026 | 4.75 | 12,000 | 57,000 | 50,254,326 | Form | |
| 7 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 5212026 | 4.07 | 33,500 | 136,345 | 43,011,182 | Form | |
| 8 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 5212026 | 4.05 | 5,000 | 20,250 | 42,664,150 | Form | |
| 9 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 5202026 | 4.09 | 30,000 | 122,700 | 43,065,074 | Form | |
| 10 | Kaushal, Mohit | Direct | Sell | 4162026 | 3.50 | 38,433 | 134,535 | 604,127 | Form | |
| 11 | Kaushal, Mohit | Direct | Sell | 4162026 | 3.50 | 57,286 | 200,598 | 738,915 | Form | |
| 12 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 4132026 | 3.10 | 20,000 | 62,000 | 32,548,010 | Form | |
| 13 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 3302026 | 2.96 | 27,429 | 81,190 | 31,018,900 | Form | |
| 14 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 3272026 | 3.15 | 50,000 | 157,500 | 32,923,576 | Form | |
| 15 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 3252026 | 3.11 | 125,000 | 388,750 | 32,349,999 | Form | |
| 16 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 3232026 | 3.35 | 25,000 | 83,750 | 34,427,712 | Form | |
| 17 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 3.42 | 75,000 | 256,500 | 35,061,597 | Form | |
| 18 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 3.29 | 60,985 | 200,641 | 33,482,096 | Form | |
| 19 | Chernett, Jorey | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 2.92 | 263,000 | 767,960 | 29,538,556 | Form | |
| 20 | Carter, Robert Ross | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 3.56 | 247 | 879 | 837,034 | Form |
| 21 | Hively, Brad | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 3.77 | 13,333 | 50,291 | 2,578,927 | Form | |
| 22 | Pacala, Mark L | Direct | Sell | 11202025 | 4.00 | 50,000 | 200,000 | 699,884 | Form | |
| 23 | M33, Growth I LP | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 3.09 | 6,018,168 | 18,596,139 | 24,511,082 | Form | |
| 24 | M33, Growth I LP | See Footnote | Sell | 9042025 | 3.09 | 681,832 | 2,106,861 | 1,825,856 | Form | |
| 25 | Hively, Brad | Direct | Sell | 8212025 | 4.06 | 20,221 | 82,097 | 2,529,299 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 4, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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