Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $27.74 | Market Cap: $619.1 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $27.74Market Cap: $619.1 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 13% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 183% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.9%, FCF Yield is 13% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Remote Patient Monitoring, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 183% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TCMD Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the significant movement in Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD) stock during the latter half of 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance and Raised Guidance.
Tactile Systems Technology reported robust Q3 2025 financial results on November 3, 2025, with total revenue increasing 17% year-over-year to $85.8 million. The company's net income rose to $8.2 million, or $0.36 per diluted share, from $5.2 million, or $0.21 per diluted share, in Q3 2024. Furthermore, Adjusted EBITDA significantly improved to $14.4 million compared to $10.7 million in the prior year. This strong performance led management to raise its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $317 million to $321 million, signaling an 8%-10% growth, up from the previous range of $310 million to $315 million. Following this announcement, the stock saw a substantial surge, including a 22.13% gain in after-hours trading and a 39.38% jump on November 4, 2025.
2. Exceeding Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Expectations.
On August 4, 2025, Tactile Systems Technology reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, surpassing analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share. The company posted revenue of $78.91 million, which was a 4.6% increase over analyst consensus estimates, and an EPS of $0.14, beating the projected $0.11 by 27%. This strong financial beat, driven by a 52% increase in airway clearance product sales, led to an after-hours gain of approximately 8.7% and a 20.12% pre-market surge on August 5, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TCMD Return | -33% | -58% | -40% | 25% | 20% | 65% | -58% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 9% | -19% | 3% | 39% | -24% | 19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TCMD Win Rate | 25% | 25% | 42% | 67% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 53% | 42% | 52% | 57% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TCMD Max Drawdown | -54% | -58% | -66% | -13% | -22% | -45% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -16% | -40% | -23% | -17% | -37% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ELMD, ENOV, ITGR, AVNS, MASI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TCMD | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -89.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 853.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, BLLN, BNBX
In The Past
Tactile Systems Technology's stock fell -89.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -89.5% loss requires a 853.9% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Can Tactile Systems Technology Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TCMD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.1% | -5.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.0% | 9.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.0% | 16.0% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Tactile Systems Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,265 |
| Op Inc LTM | 27 |
| FCF LTM | 57 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 41 |
| CFO LTM | 154 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 92 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | 5.3 |
| P/E | 7.9 |
| P/CFO | 12.9 |
| Total Yield | -2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -28.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 2.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -42.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -73.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | 40.6% | 57.8% | 70.0% |
| 8/4/2025 | 26.8% | 23.1% | 33.9% |
| 5/5/2025 | -29.0% | -30.3% | -27.3% |
| 2/18/2025 | -13.3% | -18.1% | -22.8% |
| 11/4/2024 | -11.1% | 5.6% | 25.9% |
| 8/5/2024 | 13.9% | 12.4% | 15.2% |
| 5/6/2024 | 1.8% | -2.5% | -14.7% |
| 2/20/2024 | -3.2% | 5.8% | 9.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 14.0% | 11.3% | 15.2% |
| Median Negative | -12.0% | -12.6% | -14.2% |
| Max Positive | 40.6% | 57.8% | 70.0% |
| Max Negative | -29.0% | -30.3% | -44.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |