Tearsheet

Snowflake (SNOW)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $235.14 | Market Cap: $78.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Snowflake (SNOW)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $235.14
Market Cap: $78.8 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -1.3%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.5 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -37%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 90x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Platform as a Service (PaaS), Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -1.3%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.5 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -37%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 90x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SNOW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Snowflake (SNOW) experienced a -1.6% movement between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025. This period was primarily influenced by the company's fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings report and subsequent analyst reactions and guidance.

1. Weaker-than-expected Q4 2026 product revenue guidance: Despite beating Q3 2026 earnings and revenue estimates, Snowflake's shares dropped significantly after the company provided a product revenue outlook for Q4 fiscal year 2026 that was only slightly above consensus estimates, or even slightly below some high expectations. This indicated a projected slowdown in growth compared to previous quarters.

2. Concerns over product revenue growth deceleration: While Q3 2026 product revenue grew by 29% year-over-year to $1.16 billion, the forecasted 27% year-over-year growth for Q4 2026 product revenue (projected to be between $1.195 billion and $1.2 billion) signaled a deceleration. This slower growth outlook, partly attributed to discounts on large, long-term deals, concerned investors who had high expectations for continued rapid expansion.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SNOW Return-20%-58%39%-22%52%-17%
Peers Return152%40%-52%75%-7%26%252%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SNOW Win Rate33%50%33%50%17%60% 
Peers Win Rate62%65%32%60%53%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SNOW Max Drawdown--33%-67%-15%-45%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-20%-60%-9%-28%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CRWD, DDOG, MDB, OKTA, TDC. See SNOW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSNOWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven254.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven319 days148 days

Compare to CRWD, DDOG, MDB, OKTA, TDC


In The Past

Snowflake's stock fell -71.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/16/2021. A -71.8% loss requires a 254.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Snowflake (SNOW)

Better Bets than Snowflake (SNOW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SNOW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Snowflake

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SNOWCRWDDDOGMDBOKTATDCMedian
NameSnowflakeCrowdStr.Datadog MongoDB Okta Teradata  
Mkt Price234.77513.12153.00396.7385.9029.75193.88
Mkt Cap78.7128.253.332.215.12.842.8
Rev LTM4,1164,3413,2122,2182,7631,6512,987
Op Inc LTM-1,540-379-43-16583190-104
FCF LTM7341,038865240838282786
FCF 3Y Avg715982698145565295631
CFO LTM8381,389988270853301845
CFO 3Y Avg8031,260789158585317687

Growth & Margins

SNOWCRWDDDOGMDBOKTATDCMedian
NameSnowflakeCrowdStr.Datadog MongoDB Okta Teradata  
Rev Chg LTM28.4%23.5%26.6%21.9%12.7%-8.2%22.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg36.3%33.5%28.0%27.2%20.1%-3.1%27.6%
Rev Chg Q31.8%21.3%28.4%23.7%12.7%-5.5%22.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.2%5.0%6.5%5.4%3.1%-1.4%5.2%
Op Mgn LTM-37.4%-8.7%-1.3%-7.5%3.0%11.5%-4.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-39.1%-4.3%-1.1%-13.8%-12.3%10.6%-8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.1%-2.6%-0.8%0.7%2.1%0.5%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM20.4%32.0%30.8%12.2%30.9%18.2%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.3%36.7%30.3%8.0%23.2%18.0%24.3%
FCF/Rev LTM17.8%23.9%26.9%10.8%30.3%17.1%20.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg22.5%28.6%26.8%7.3%22.4%16.8%22.5%

Valuation

SNOWCRWDDDOGMDBOKTATDCMedian
NameSnowflakeCrowdStr.Datadog MongoDB Okta Teradata  
Mkt Cap78.7128.253.332.215.12.842.8
P/S18.229.315.57.76.31.211.6
P/EBIT-54.7-663.7363.5-233.490.011.1-21.8
P/E-54.4-428.6465.0-216.5104.417.2-18.6
P/CFO89.591.650.263.120.66.756.6
Total Yield-1.8%-0.2%0.2%-0.5%1.0%5.8%-0.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.3%1.4%1.8%0.8%3.6%10.3%1.6%
D/E0.00.00.00.00.10.30.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.10.1-0.0

Returns

SNOWCRWDDDOGMDBOKTATDCMedian
NameSnowflakeCrowdStr.Datadog MongoDB Okta Teradata  
1M Rtn-11.5%-3.9%-2.9%11.5%-1.2%43.7%-2.0%
3M Rtn5.8%24.4%16.1%23.2%-4.3%44.9%19.6%
6M Rtn11.7%10.8%25.7%76.0%-17.5%34.2%18.7%
12M Rtn25.9%40.9%-7.8%16.2%-0.2%-6.5%8.0%
3Y Rtn73.1%333.6%117.8%166.8%38.7%-13.0%95.4%
1M Excs Rtn-12.8%-5.2%-4.1%10.2%-2.5%42.4%-3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-1.7%17.1%6.6%16.4%-11.9%35.8%11.5%
6M Excs Rtn-3.7%-4.6%10.2%60.6%-33.0%18.7%3.3%
12M Excs Rtn22.8%34.6%-13.3%8.6%-7.1%-18.7%0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-1.3%198.6%39.1%105.5%-5.7%-83.0%18.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Product revenue2,6671,9391,140554252
Professional services and other revenue140127793813
Total2,8062,0661,219592265


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,132,429
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-4.5%
Average Daily Volume3,595,440
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.37
Basic Shares Quantity335,215,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025905202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025530202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025321202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241127202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024531202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024326202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231201202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023329202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221202202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022330202210-K 1/31/2022
103120211203202110-Q 10/31/2021