Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $33.59 | Market Cap: $277.4 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY)
Market Price (8/8/2026): $33.59Market Cap: $277.4 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 9.2% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -135% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% | Key risksOVLY key risks include [1] its concentrated exposure to the economic health of California, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 9.2% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -135% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Digital Payments. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% |
| Key risksOVLY key risks include [1] its concentrated exposure to the economic health of California, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Results with Offsetting Factors. Oak Valley Bancorp reported a 9% year-over-year decline in diluted earnings per share to $0.61 for fiscal Q2 2026, primarily due to higher non-interest expenses and lower non-interest income. This decline was counterbalanced by positive developments, including a 4.3% increase in net interest income to $18.94 million and robust gross loan growth of $55.86 million year-over-year, reaching $1.17 billion by June 30, 2026. The combination of these positive and negative financial aspects likely contributed to the stock remaining largely at the same level.
2. Uncertainty Regarding Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at its July 2026 meeting, holding it steady at 3.50%-3.75%. However, the Federal Open Market Committee's vote was divided, with three members favoring an immediate 0.25 percentage-point increase, and Chairman Warsh reiterated a strong commitment to achieving price stability by bringing inflation down to 2%. This mixed signal about future monetary policy, with experts indicating a possibility of rate hikes later in 2026, created an environment of uncertainty for financial stocks like Oak Valley Bancorp.
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Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Mixed fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Results with Offsetting Factors. Oak Valley Bancorp reported a 9% year-over-year decline in diluted earnings per share to $0.61 for fiscal Q2 2026, primarily due to higher non-interest expenses and lower non-interest income. This decline was counterbalanced by positive developments, including a 4.3% increase in net interest income to $18.94 million and robust gross loan growth of $55.86 million year-over-year, reaching $1.17 billion by June 30, 2026. The combination of these positive and negative financial aspects likely contributed to the stock remaining largely at the same level.
2. Uncertainty Regarding Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy. The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate at its July 2026 meeting, holding it steady at 3.50%-3.75%. However, the Federal Open Market Committee's vote was divided, with three members favoring an immediate 0.25 percentage-point increase, and Chairman Warsh reiterated a strong commitment to achieving price stability by bringing inflation down to 2%. This mixed signal about future monetary policy, with experts indicating a possibility of rate hikes later in 2026, created an environment of uncertainty for financial stocks like Oak Valley Bancorp.
3. Broader Regional Banking Sector Headwinds and Investor Caution. The regional banking sector generally exhibited mixed performance during fiscal Q2 2026. While many regional banks, including Oak Valley Bancorp, experienced loan growth, they also contended with concerns about compressed net interest margins, ongoing deposit competition, and overall macroeconomic uncertainties. Despite some institutions demonstrating strong fundamentals, investor sentiment across the sector remained cautious, preventing significant upward movement for individual bank stocks like OVLY.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.3% change in OVLY stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 2.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.71 | 33.45 | 2.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 82 | 83 | 1.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.3% | 28.8% | -1.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.3 | 11.5 | 2.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OVLY | 2.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 10.5% | 47.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.1% change in OVLY stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.23 | 33.45 | 7.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 80 | 83 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.6% | 28.8% | -2.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.9 | 11.5 | 5.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OVLY | 7.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.1% | 22.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 8.3% | 49.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 28.4% change in OVLY stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 26.05 | 33.45 | 28.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 77 | 83 | 7.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 31.7% | 28.8% | -9.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.7 | 11.5 | 32.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 28.4% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OVLY | 28.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.4% | 24.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 11.3% | 48.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 29.9% change in OVLY stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 63.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8072026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.74 | 33.45 | 29.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 75 | 83 | 11.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 39.8% | 28.8% | -27.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.1 | 11.5 | 63.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 8 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 29.9% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OVLY | 29.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.9% | 38.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 70.4% | 46.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OVLY Return | 7% | 32% | 34% | -1% | 5% | 13% | 123% |
| Peers Return | 42% | 6% | -1% | 16% | 8% | 29% | 140% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OVLY Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 43% | 45% | 47% | 53% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OVLY Max Drawdown | -19% | -15% | -17% | -22% | -20% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -23% | -36% | -22% | -19% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BSRR, WABC, TCBK, PLBC, HAFC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OVLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.5% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 73 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -16.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 817 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 123 days |
In The Past
Oak Valley Bancorp's stock fell -16.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | OVLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1058 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Oak Valley Bancorp's stock fell -16.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY)
Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) operates as the bank holding company for Oak Valley Community Bank, a regional financial institution primarily serving individuals and small to medium-sized businesses. The bank focuses on delivering comprehensive commercial banking services within California's Central Valley and Eastern Sierras, where it maintains a network of seventeen full-service branch offices.
The company's offerings encompass a full suite of banking products. For deposits, it provides checking, savings, money market, health savings, individual retirement accounts, and certificates of deposit. Lending services include commercial real estate loans, business lending, trade finance, Small Business Administration (SBA) loans, and various consumer loans such as home mortgages, auto loans, and personal lines of credit. Additionally, Oak Valley Community Bank offers modern conveniences like online and mobile banking, remote deposit capture, and merchant services.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY):
It's like a local Bank of America for California's Central Valley.
Think of it as a community-focused Wells Fargo for Central California.
It's the neighborhood Chase Bank for its region of California.
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- Deposit Accounts: Provides various account types including checking, savings, money market, health savings, IRAs, and certificates of deposit.
- Commercial Loans: Offers financing for businesses through commercial real estate, business, trade finance, and Small Business Administration (SBA) loans.
- Consumer Loans: Provides personal financing options such as automobile, home mortgage, revolving lines of credit, and other personal loans.
- Digital Banking & Auxiliary Services: Delivers convenient banking tools including online and mobile banking, remote deposit capture, merchant services, and ATM access.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) primarily serves a diverse base of customers rather than having a few major customers. As a community bank, its business model focuses on providing banking services to a broad spectrum of individuals and local small to medium-sized businesses within its operating regions of the Central Valley and Eastern Sierras of California.
Based on the provided company description, the major categories of customers it serves are:
- Individuals: This category includes individual consumers who utilize the bank for their personal banking needs, such as checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, health savings accounts, individual retirement accounts, certificates of deposit, and various consumer loans (e.g., automobile loans, home mortgage loans, revolving lines of credit, and other personal loans).
- Small to Medium-Sized Businesses (SMBs): This category comprises local small to medium-sized enterprises that rely on Oak Valley Community Bank for their commercial banking requirements. Services for SMBs include commercial real estate loans, commercial business lending and trade finance, and Small Business Administration (SBA) lending, in addition to business-oriented deposit products.
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Fiserv, Inc. (FI)
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Christopher M. Courtney, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Courtney will retire as CEO on June 30, 2026, after a 30-year career with Oak Valley Bancorp. He joined the bank in 1996 and served in various executive leadership roles, including Executive Vice President Chief Operating Officer and Executive Vice President Chief Credit Officer. He became President in 2004 and Chief Executive Officer in 2013. Under his leadership, the bank expanded from a two-branch institution with $45 million in assets to a regional bank with 19 branches and over $2 billion in assets. He will continue to serve on the Boards of Directors following his retirement.
Richard A. McCarty, President and Chief Operating Officer (Incoming Chief Executive Officer)
Mr. McCarty is currently the President and Chief Operating Officer and is slated to succeed Christopher M. Courtney as President and Chief Executive Officer upon Mr. Courtney's retirement on June 30, 2026. He joined Oak Valley Community Bank in 1996, and after a two-year period at Del Monte Foods Corporation, he returned in 1999 as the bank's Chief Financial Officer. He later assumed a dual role as Chief Administrative Officer. In 2016, he was promoted to Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, with Jeff Gall taking over the CFO responsibilities. He has over 26 years of experience with the bank.
Jeffrey A. Gall, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Secretary
Mr. Gall joined Oak Valley Community Bank in 2006. He served as Vice President, Finance, and was promoted to Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer in January 2016. In 2022, he also assumed the role of Corporate Secretary. He has 25 years of banking experience and manages external audit, financial reporting, internal controls, and investor relations.
Kim D. Booke, Executive Vice President, Chief Risk Officer
Ms. Booke has been with Oak Valley Bancorp for 18 years, progressing through leadership positions within the credit department. She is a 2017 graduate of the Pacific Coast Banking School at the University of Washington and holds certifications as a Certified Regulatory Compliance Manager (CRCM) and Certified Anti-Money Laundering Specialist (CAMS).
Julie N. DeHart, Executive Vice President, Retail Banking Group
Ms. DeHart has over 26 years of risk-conscious operations and management expertise. Prior to her promotion to Executive Vice President, Retail Banking Group in 2021, she served as the Senior Vice President, Retail Banking Manager since 2017. She is a 2019 graduate of the Pacific Coast Banking School at the University of Washington.
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Key Risks to Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY)
- Interest Rate Risk: Oak Valley Bancorp's profitability is primarily dependent on interest rate differentials, which are highly sensitive to unpredictable factors beyond the company's control, such as inflation, recession, and unemployment. Changes in domestic and foreign economic conditions can significantly impact interest rates, thereby affecting the bank's net interest income.
- Credit Risk and Concentration in Real Estate Loans: The company faces risks associated with concentrations in real estate-related loans. As of December 31, 2019, non-owner occupied real estate comprised 43.0% of the bank's total loan commitments, indicating a significant exposure to the real estate market. Changes in real estate values or economic conditions affecting borrowers in this segment could negatively impact the bank's loan portfolio quality and financial performance.
- Adverse Economic Conditions and Banking Industry Instability: Oak Valley Bancorp is susceptible to the effects of a worsening global business and economic environment. Furthermore, risks related to the financial stability and liquidity of its credit customers, as well as broader disruptions, instability, and failures within the banking industry, pose significant threats to the company's operations and financial health.
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The following are clear emerging threats for Oak Valley Bancorp:
- Rise of Digital-Only Banks (Neobanks/Challenger Banks): These entities operate without physical branches, offering competitive interest rates, lower fees, and advanced mobile-first user experiences. They directly compete for deposit products such as checking, savings, money market, and individual retirement accounts, as well as certain consumer and small business lending, potentially eroding Oak Valley Bancorp's customer base, particularly among digitally-native consumers and businesses.
- Specialized Online Lenders and Fintech Platforms: Companies specializing in specific lending segments (e.g., small business, commercial real estate, or consumer loans) leverage technology to offer faster, more streamlined application and approval processes. Additionally, fintech payment platforms are expanding their services to include small business financing and enhanced transaction capabilities, potentially diverting loan demand and reducing reliance on traditional bank services for individuals and small to medium-sized businesses that Oak Valley Bancorp serves.
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Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Expansion of Loan Portfolio: The company anticipates continued growth in its loan portfolio, encompassing commercial real estate loans, commercial business lending, Small Business Administration (SBA) lending, and various consumer loans. This expansion directly contributes to an increase in net interest income, a primary revenue source for the bank. The growth in the loan portfolio was noted as a factor in the increase in third-quarter net income compared to the prior quarter in the Q3 2025 earnings report.
- Growth in Earning Assets and Optimization of Net Interest Margin: Beyond just loan growth, Oak Valley Bancorp aims to increase its overall earning assets. This, combined with rising loan yields and a focus on managing the average cost of funds, is expected to enhance the net interest margin. Increased net interest income was attributed to average earning asset growth, rising loan yields, and a slight decrease in the average cost of funds in the third quarter of 2025.
- Strategic Branch Expansion and Deeper Market Penetration: Oak Valley Bancorp continues to expand its physical footprint by opening new full-service branch offices, as seen with the opening of its Lodi branch. This strategic expansion into new and existing markets within the Central Valley and Eastern Sierras is designed to attract new customers, grow deposit relationships, and ultimately lead to more lending opportunities. The company's news flow regularly covers branch expansion and local leadership appointments, with their network reaching 19 branches by October 2025.
- Customer Acquisition and Retention through Relationship Banking: The company's core philosophy as a community bank emphasizes deep local knowledge and personal relationships. This approach is crucial for cultivating lifelong customers and fostering a symbiotic relationship that builds local wealth, which in turn fuels deposit and loan growth. The mission to cultivate lifelong customers by executing a unique brand of relationship service underscores this driver.
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Share Repurchases
No significant share repurchase programs or activities by Oak Valley Bancorp have been identified within the last 3-5 years.Share Issuance
* The number of outstanding common shares for Oak Valley Bancorp increased from 8,239,099 as of December 31, 2021, to 8,388,221 as of November 6, 2025. * Share issuances primarily occurred through restricted stock grants and shares acquired via the company's 401(k) profit-sharing plan, mainly for executives and employees, with some grants from 2021-2025 vesting in 2026. [cite: 3, 4 (from previous search)]Capital Expenditures
* Oak Valley Bancorp has undertaken capital expenditures focused on expanding its physical presence. [cite: 20 (from previous search)] * A notable expansion occurred with the opening of its 19th full-service branch in Lodi on October 2, 2025. [cite: 20 (from previous search)] * Non-interest expenses have shown increases due to general operating costs associated with servicing growing loan and deposit portfolios, as well as staffing increases related to business expansion.Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Oak Valley Bancorp Stock Climbed 6.1% In A Month, How Confident Are You? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 200 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 77 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 80 |
| CFO LTM | 78 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 82 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 34.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 35.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 31.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $33.45 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/15/2003 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -3.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $33.29 | $31.44 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 0.5% | 6.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 24.3% | 22.4% |
| Downside Capture | 52.52 | 43.01 |
| Upside Capture | 47.65 | 61.23 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 1.0% | 23.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.69 | -0.06 | 0.02 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.78 |
| Up Beta | -1.39 | -1.55 | -1.16 | -0.11 | 0.34 | 0.72 |
| Down Beta | 1.08 | -0.51 | -0.37 | -0.05 | 0.26 | 0.84 |
| Up Capture | 120% | 65% | 50% | 61% | 52% | 49% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 33 | 65 | 124 | 357 |
| Down Capture | 114% | 46% | 54% | 66% | 51% | 94% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 28 | 58 | 121 | 380 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OVLY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVLY | 29.9% | 22.4% | 1.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.3% | 14.6% | 0.57 | 47.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.3% | 12.8% | 1.36 | 23.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 28.5% | 28.4% | 0.87 | -0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 32.9% | 19.8% | 1.32 | -22.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.8% | 0.72 | 41.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.2% | 42.9% | -1.23 | 5.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OVLY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVLY | 15.9% | 29.7% | 0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 11.4% | 18.4% | 0.48 | 38.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.2% | 0.61 | 29.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.6% | 18.6% | 0.81 | -2.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 19.6% | 0.31 | -0.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 30.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.8% | 53.0% | 0.35 | 9.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OVLY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVLY | 14.7% | 37.8% | 0.48 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.6% | 22.1% | 0.56 | 41.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 34.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.2% | 0.61 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 9.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 33.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 8.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/23/2026 | -2.0% | 2.6% | |
| 4/23/2026 | -0.6% | -3.0% | -1.3% |
| 1/26/2026 | 0.0% | -0.6% | 3.7% |
| 10/23/2025 | 1.3% | -0.6% | 1.2% |
| 7/21/2025 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| 4/21/2025 | -2.0% | 3.4% | 9.2% |
| 1/27/2025 | 1.2% | -0.7% | 3.5% |
| 10/21/2024 | -1.3% | -1.5% | 10.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 18 | 16 | 15 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -0.8% | -2.1% |
| Max Positive | 8.3% | 9.0% | 16.5% |
| Max Negative | -2.0% | -10.4% | -4.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/23/2026 | -2.0% | 2.6% | |
| 4/23/2026 | -0.6% | -3.0% | -1.3% |
| 1/26/2026 | 0.0% | -0.6% | 3.7% |
| 10/23/2025 | 1.3% | -0.6% | 1.2% |
| 7/21/2025 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| 4/21/2025 | -2.0% | 3.4% | 9.2% |
| 1/27/2025 | 1.2% | -0.7% | 3.5% |
| 10/21/2024 | -1.3% | -1.5% | 10.5% |
| 7/19/2024 | 0.1% | 0.9% | -3.3% |
| 4/22/2024 | 0.4% | 0.2% | -0.7% |
| 1/22/2024 | 4.3% | 8.1% | -3.2% |
| 10/20/2023 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 8.5% |
| 7/24/2023 | 7.1% | 4.6% | -1.8% |
| 4/21/2023 | 8.3% | 5.9% | -4.0% |
| 1/23/2023 | 2.3% | 2.8% | 14.2% |
| 10/21/2022 | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% |
| 7/22/2022 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% |
| 4/25/2022 | 0.0% | -0.7% | -2.5% |
| 1/24/2022 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 9.4% |
| 10/22/2021 | -0.2% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 7/22/2021 | 0.4% | 2.3% | 4.5% |
| 4/23/2021 | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| 1/22/2021 | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| 10/22/2020 | -1.8% | -10.4% | 16.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 18 | 16 | 15 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -0.8% | -2.1% |
| Max Positive | 8.3% | 9.0% | 16.5% |
| Max Negative | -2.0% | -10.4% | -4.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/29/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/29/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/31/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/31/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/13/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/07/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/30/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 7272026 | 32.72 | 375 | 12,270 | 980,782 | Form | |
| 2 | Strong, Gary | Direct | Buy | 7272026 | 32.50 | 2,000 | 65,000 | 482,365 | Form | |
| 3 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 6262026 | 33.26 | 375 | 12,472 | 1,009,441 | Form | |
| 4 | Lafferty, Allison | Direct | Buy | 5292026 | 33.44 | 87 | 2,909 | 290,694 | Form | |
| 5 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 33.77 | 375 | 12,664 | 1,037,583 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 7272026 | 32.72 | 375 | 12,270 | 980,782 | Form | |
| 2 | Strong, Gary | Direct | Buy | 7272026 | 32.50 | 2,000 | 65,000 | 482,365 | Form | |
| 3 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 6262026 | 33.26 | 375 | 12,472 | 1,009,441 | Form | |
| 4 | Lafferty, Allison | Direct | Buy | 5292026 | 33.44 | 87 | 2,909 | 290,694 | Form | |
| 5 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 5262026 | 33.77 | 375 | 12,664 | 1,037,583 | Form | |
| 6 | Holder, H Randolph JR | Direct | Buy | 5122026 | 32.50 | 200 | 6,500 | 4,968,470 | Form | |
| 7 | Lafferty, Allison | Direct | Buy | 5052026 | 33.19 | 180 | 5,974 | 285,633 | Form | |
| 8 | Leonard, Daniel J | Direct | Buy | 4292026 | 33.00 | 375 | 12,375 | 2,065,734 | Form | |
| 9 | Lafferty, Allison | Direct | Buy | 2272026 | 32.59 | 506 | 16,492 | 274,625 | Form | |
| 10 | Withrow, Terrance P | Direct | Buy | 2172026 | 33.64 | 297 | 9,991 | 1,073,688 | Form | |
| 11 | Haidlen, Erich A | Direct | Buy | 2172026 | 33.23 | 250 | 8,307 | 762,622 | Form | |
| 12 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 1132026 | 30.25 | 375 | 11,344 | 940,800 | Form | |
| 13 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 30.29 | 375 | 11,360 | 953,463 | Form | |
| 14 | Lafferty, Allison | Direct | Buy | 11252025 | 28.48 | 489 | 13,929 | 225,597 | Form | |
| 15 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 11122025 | 28.69 | 375 | 10,760 | 913,920 | Form | |
| 16 | Strong, Gary | Direct | Buy | 10282025 | 27.50 | 1,000 | 27,500 | 353,155 | Form | |
| 17 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 10162025 | 26.11 | 375 | 9,790 | 841,314 | Form | |
| 18 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 9122025 | 28.80 | 375 | 10,798 | 938,737 | Form | |
| 19 | Lafferty, Allison | Direct | Buy | 8142025 | 27.69 | 523 | 14,483 | 205,780 | Form | |
| 20 | Lafferty, Allison | Direct | Buy | 8142025 | 26.46 | 165 | 4,366 | 182,786 | Form | |
| 21 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 27.94 | 375 | 10,477 | 921,305 | Form | |
| 22 | Withrow, Terrance P | Direct | Buy | 8122025 | 26.88 | 294 | 7,903 | 849,946 | Form | |
| 23 | Haidlen, Erich A | Direct | Buy | 8122025 | 27.24 | 71 | 1,934 | 616,037 | Form | |
| 24 | Leonard, Daniel J | Direct | Buy | 8012025 | 26.20 | 1,000 | 26,200 | 1,630,243 | Form | |
| 25 | Holder, H Randolph JR | Holder Enterprises, LLC | Buy | 7302025 | 27.00 | 500 | 13,500 | 4,122,252 | Form | |
| 26 | Barton, Don | Direct | Sell | 7152025 | 28.63 | 375 | 10,736 | 954,750 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
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| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
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| FinViz |
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