Tearsheet

NorthEast Community Bancorp (NECB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.11 | Market Cap: $293.0 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

NorthEast Community Bancorp (NECB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.11
Market Cap: $293.0 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 18%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -2.5%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 18%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 48%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -2.5%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NECB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period is from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. While it is challenging to ascertain precise stock movements and their direct causes for a future period, the search results provide financial reports and analyst insights for NorthEast Community Bancorp (NECB) within and around this timeframe. Here are potential key points, inferred from the available information, that could contribute to a stock movement of -0.2% during the specified period:

1. NECB reported a decline in net income for Q3 2025. NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc. reported a net income of $11.9 million for the third quarter of 2025, which was a decrease compared to $12.7 million for the same period in 2024. This decline in profitability could be a contributing factor to a negative stock movement.

2. A decrease in earnings per share (EPS) was noted in Q3 2025. For the three months ended September 30, 2025, NECB reported diluted EPS of $0.87, a decrease from $0.95 in the prior year's period. Analysts had also anticipated a year-over-year decline in earnings for Q3 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NECB Return--39%20%42%-9%116%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NECB Win Rate-100%75%75%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NECB Max Drawdown---2%-14%-15%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNECBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-20.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven83 days464 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

NorthEast Community Bancorp's stock fell -20.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2023. A -20.4% loss requires a 25.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About NorthEast Community Bancorp (NECB)

Better Bets than NorthEast Community Bancorp (NECB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NECB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NorthEast Community Bancorp

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NECBNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameNorthEas.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price22.0811.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap0.30.30.2--84.20.3
Rev LTM1022696090268,96796
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM49-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg47-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM51-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg48-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

NECBNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameNorthEas.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM-2.6%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.6%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%25.6%
Rev Chg Q-2.4%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM50.1%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg48.2%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM48.4%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg47.3%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

NECBNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameNorthEas.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap0.30.30.2--84.20.3
P/S2.71.12.7--7.42.7
P/EBIT-------
P/E6.24.911.6--28.88.9
P/CFO5.4-0.67.9--16.86.6
Total Yield20.4%20.2%13.5%--3.5%16.9%
Dividend Yield4.4%0.0%4.9%--0.0%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.5%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.62.60.2--0.00.4
Net D/E0.41.8-4.5---0.4-0.0

Returns

NECBNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameNorthEas.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn10.5%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.6%
3M Rtn2.1%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn2.9%10.7%29.3%--46.1%20.0%
12M Rtn-20.2%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%9.1%
3Y Rtn67.4%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%38.1%
1M Excs Rtn10.5%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-5.5%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-11.8%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-37.1%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-2.5%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-31.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment10165464234
Total10165464234


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment46    
Total46    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,764    
Total1,764    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity114,552
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202520.6%
Average Daily Volume42,628
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.69
Basic Shares Quantity13,252,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021330202210-K 12/31/2021