Mackenzie Realty Capital (MKZR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.86 | Market Cap: $6.6 MilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Diversified REITs
Mackenzie Realty Capital (MKZR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.86Market Cap: $6.6 MilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Diversified REITs
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -25% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 57% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1567% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 307% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -256% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 878% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 57% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -25% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1567% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.7% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 307% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -256% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 878% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MKZR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Negative Financial Results and Missed Expectations
MacKenzie Realty Capital reported its First Quarter 2026 financial results on November 18, 2025, revealing an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$3.926, which missed market expectations. Additionally, the company had reported its full-year 2025 financial results on September 30, 2025. Negative earnings and missed analyst estimates are significant factors that can lead to a decline in stock price.
2. Persistent Bearish Trend and High Volatility
During the approximate time period, MacKenzie Realty Capital's stock exhibited a bearish trend. The share price on December 2, 2025, was reported to be below its 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a continued downward momentum. The stock's price has also been notably volatile over the three months leading up to the current period, and its weekly volatility remained higher than 75% of US stocks over the past year.
3. Significant Debt and Indicators of Financial Instability
The company's financial position highlighted concerns, including substantial debt totaling $142.38 million, resulting in a negative net cash position of -$137.53 million, or -$71.10 per share. This high leverage, coupled with negative operating cash flows and a negative return on equity, suggests underlying financial instability and potential liquidity issues, which can depress investor confidence and stock value.
4. Underperformance Relative to Market and Industry
MacKenzie Realty Capital's stock has consistently underperformed both the broader U.S. market and the U.S. REITs industry over the past year. This persistent underperformance can make the stock more susceptible to declines during periods of market weakness or in response to company-specific news, contributing to a substantial percentage drop.
5. Aftermath of a Reverse Stock Split
A 1-for-10 reverse stock split became effective on August 5, 2025. While this event occurred just before the requested period, such corporate actions often precede or coincide with significant share price adjustments. The drastic reduction in outstanding shares, frequently undertaken by companies facing low stock prices, can be followed by further market adjustments or reflect underlying issues that continue to impact the stock negatively within the specified timeframe.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MKZR Return | - | - | - | - | - | -88% | -88% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 52% | -15% | 4% | 14% | -1% | 36% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MKZR Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 43% | 10% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 67% | 42% | 48% | 60% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MKZR Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -98% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -5% | -25% | -16% | -11% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WPC, ALEX, CTO, OLP, EPRT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
MKZR has limited trading history. Below is the Real Estate sector ETF (XLRE) in its place.
| Event | XLRE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 393 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 120 days |
Compare to
In The Past
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (The)'s stock fell -37.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -37.9% loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MKZR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | MPW | Medical Properties Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 8.5% | 8.5% | -5.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Mackenzie Realty Capital
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 19.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 183 |
| Op Inc LTM | 53 |
| FCF LTM | 63 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 54 |
| CFO LTM | 86 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 75 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 34.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 35.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 50.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 49.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 50.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 49.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 5.4 |
| P/EBIT | 10.8 |
| P/E | 15.9 |
| P/CFO | 11.0 |
| Total Yield | 7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 6.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 10.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -61.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 9292025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9272024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9282023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9282022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2142022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |